Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe:
Gespeichert in:
Format: | Buch |
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Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Cheltenham, [u.a.]
Elgar
1999
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | XIX, 477 S. graph. Darst. |
ISBN: | 185898498X |
Internformat
MARC
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe |c ed. by Christian Helmenstein |
264 | 1 | |a Cheltenham, [u.a.] |b Elgar |c 1999 | |
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adam_text | Contents
List of figures viii
List of tables x
Acknowledgements xvi
Contributors xvjj
Introduction 1
Christian Helmenstein
Parti COUNTRY PROFILES
1. Albania 13
Rexhina Bajraktari and Ermira Brahja
2. Bulgaria 38
Todor Balabanov, Tatiana Houbenova and Borislav Vladimirov
3. Croatia 67
Velimir Sonje
4. Czech Republic 89
Oldfich Rejnus and Radek Schmied
5. Hungary 109
Istvdn Abel
6. Macedonia 129
Gordana Bival and Vladimir Gligorov
7. Poland 148
Ryszard Kokoszczyriski
8. Romania 163
Ion Dragulin andDaniela Grozea Helmenstein
v
Contents
9. Slovak Republic 184
Jarko Fidrmuc, Viliam Pdlenik and Ladislav Uncovsky
10. Slovenia 214
Gordana Bival and Vlado Dimovski
11. FR Yugoslavia 239
Vladimir Gligorov
Partn SELECTED TOPICS
12. The Role of Central Bank Independence for Seigniorage:
A Study of Transitional Economies 251
Eduard Hochreiter, Riccardo Rovelli and Georg Winckler
13. Collusive Trade Credit and Stabilization Policies 270
Enrico Perotti
14. Banks in the Czech Republic: Current State and Prospects 283
Petr Zahradnik
15. Establishing and Cooperating With Promotional Banks
in Central and Eastern Europe 301
Norbert Irsch and Heike Wiegand
16. Privatization: A Comparative Experiment
Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary 318
Lina Takla
17. RM System Slovakia 371
Viliam Pdlenik
18. Managing Central European Financial Risks
With a Case Study on the CECE Index Family 3 81
Giinther Schiendl
vi
Contents
19. The Extent of Efficiency in Central European Equity Markets 392
Randall K. Filer and Jan Hanousek
20. Modeling Polish Stock Returns 417
Martin Scheicher
21. Foreign Debt Settlements in Bulgaria, Hungary and Poland
1989 1996 438
Jerome Sgard
Index 461
vii
Figures
Figure 1.1 The consumer price index and inflation 17
Figure 1.2 Interest rates 1993 1995 31
Figure 2.1 Internal credit to the government and non¬
government sectors 41
Figure 2.2 The Reuters All Bulgarian Stock Index (RABSI) 53
Figure 2.3 Term structure of government securities 56
Figure 2.4 EMBI+ for Bulgarian Bradies 64
Figure 3.1 International reserves and USS equivalents of M1
in USS millions 68
Figure 3.2 Exchange rate of the Croatian Kuna (end of month) 70
Figure 3.3 Rate of reserve requirements and the share of NBC
bills in Ml 71
Figure 3.4 Average monthly trading volume on the Zagreb
Stock Exchange 82
Figure 4.1 Exchange rate CZK/USS and CZK/DEM 92
Figure 4.2 Prague Stock Exchange Index PX50 101
Figure 4.3 Change in foreign portfolio investment between
1994 and 1995 104
Figure 7.1 The US $ Zloty exchange rate 152
Figure 7.2 Warsaw Stock Exchange Index and main market
turnover 160
Figure 8.1 Refinancing interest rate and inflation rate 165
Figure 8.2 Interest rates applied by banks 166
Figure 8.3 Real exchange rate and current account balance 168
Figure 8.4 Companies in the mass privatization program by
branches 174
Figure 8.5 Market capitalization and turnover on the Bucharest
Stock Exchange 178
Figure 8.6 Imports versus foreign direct investment 181
Figure 10.1 Exchange rates SIT/DEM in Slovenia 217
Figure 10.2 The Ljubljana Stock Exchange market capitalization 235
Figure 13.1 Adjustment under a credible program 273
Figure 13.2 Adjustment under a program with low credibility 273
Figure 13.3 Adjustment as a function of credibility 275
viii
Figures
Figure 16.1 Sector breakdown of ownership transformation type
as a percentage of total 344
Figure 16.2 Size breakdown by ownership transformation type
as a percentage of total 344
Figure 17.1 Regional Structure of RM System Slovakia 373
Figure 17.2 RM S Indices 378
Figure 19.1 Capitalization of equity markets/GDP 396
Figure 20.1 The Warsaw General Index 419
Figure 20.2 Returns of the WGI 422
Figure 20.3 Returns of the D AX 422
Figure 20.4 Normalized estimated unconditional distribution
of the WGI 423
Figure 20.5 Normalized estimated unconditional distribution
oftheDAX 423
Figure 20.6 20 day volatility of the WGI 426
Figure 20.7 20 day volatility of the D AX 426
Figure 20.8 G ARCH volatility of the WGI 429
Figure 20.9 GARCH volatility of the DAX 429
Figure 21.1 Emerging market yields 450
ix
Tables
Table 1.1 Structure of interest rates 20
Table 1.2 Structure of interest rates in the bond market 31
Table 1.3 The dynamics of the Lek/US $ exchange rate 32
Table 1.4 Foreign Direct Investment in Albania 1992 1995 33
Table 1.5 The dynamics of foreign financing 35
Table 2.1 Growth of broad money 40
Table 2.2 The top five Bulgarian banks 45
Table 2.3 Prices of selected OTC securities as of July 1996 51
Table 2.4 Prices of stock exchange and over the counter
traded securities of selected non financial stock 52
Table 2.5 The ZUNK market from January to October 1995 57
Table 2.6 BGL and US $ denominated ZUNK bonds 58
Table 2.7 Features of Bulgarian DISCs, FLIRBs and IABs 61
Table 2.8 Daily spot prices for Bulgarian Brady bonds,
as a percentage of their face value 62
Table 2.9 Returns on Bulgarian Brady bonds 65
Table 3.1 Structure of the NBC balance sheet (percentages) 72
Table 3.2 End period annual interest rates and financial ratios
(percentages) 73
Table 3.3 Ownership structure of the banking sector 76
Table 3.4 Results of privatization 1995 80
Table 3.5 Foreign investments through the privatization
process 1991 1995 84
Table 3.A Balance of payments (US $ million) and related
indicators 1993 1996 87
Table 3.B Most active shares by turnover during January
September 1996 88
Table 4.1 Economic and financial indicators 92
Table 4.2 Average interbank depository offer rate (PRIBOR) 92
Table 4.3 Number of commercial banks in the Czech Republic 94
Table 4.4 Comparison of domestic banks, according to various
criteria 95
Table 4.5 Results of privatization (CZK billion end of 1995) 97
Table 4.6 Selected indicators of the Prague Stock Exchange 105
x
Tables
Table 4.7 The capital account in US $ million 106
Table 5.1 Market share of groups of banks 111
Table 5.2 Total balance sheet by groups of banks in Hungary
1995 111
Table 5.3 Ownership structure of banks in Hungary 112
Table 5.4 The privatization of MOL 115
Table 5.5 Privatization of the electricity sector 117
Table 5.6 Budapest Stock Exchange listing requirements 120
Table 5. A Main figures of the Budapest Stock Exchange 126
Table 5.B Turnover of the Budapest Stock Exchange 127
Table 6.1 Money supply (M1) growth and inflation (CPI)
dynamics 131
Table 6.2 Discount and interest rates in Macedonia (by end
of period) 132
Table 6.3 Privatization process by sectors 137
Table 6.4 Macedonian current account 1990 1995 139
Table 6.5 The first three months of trading on the Macedonian
Stock Exchange 144
Table 7.1 Polish banks by ownership structure 154
Table 7.2 Market share of major bank groups in assets, loans
and deposits 155
Table 8.1 Monetary indicators 1996 167
Table 8.2 Prudential rules 170
Table 8.3 Share price dynamics on the Bucharest Stock
Exchange 178
Table 8.4 External sector (eop) 181
Table 8.A Selected macroeconomic indicators 1990 1996 182
Table 9.1 Minimum listing conditions on the Bratislava Stock
Exchange 196
Table 9.2 Securities listed on the Bratislava Stock Exchange 197
Table 9.3 Trading volumes on the Bratislava Stock Exchange 198
Table 9.4 SAX index component stocks 199
Table 9.5 Development of the SAX Index 200
Table 9.6 Total trading volume on the Bratislava Options
Exchange 202
Table 9.7 Trade volume as a percentage of GDP 203
Table 9.8 External finance and foreign debt in Slovakia 205
Table 9. A Instruments of interest rate policy 210
Table 9.B The currency basket of the SK.K as of 14 July 1994 211
xi
Tables
Table 10.1 Bills issued by Bank of Slovenia 216
Table 10.2 The top five Slovenian banks by total assets as of
30 June 1996 219
Table 10.3 Summary balance sheet structure of the banking
sector 221
Table 10.4 The Ljubljana Stock Exchange listing requirements 227
Table 10.5 Openness of the selected sectors for foreign
investment 236
Table 10.6 The most important foreign investors
(as of December 1995) 236
Table 10.7 Foreign financial assistance by international
financial institutions 236
Table 11.1 Indicators of bank performance 246
Table 12.1 Central banks: liabilities and assets, 1993
(ratio to GDP, percentage points) 258
Table 12.2 Seigniorage earning liabilities and imputed central
bank seigniorage (1993) 259
Table 12.3 Appropriation of central bank seigniorage
(ratio to GDP, %) 260
Table 12.4 Central bank legislation relevant to the generation
of seigniorage 269
Table 14.1 Market shares of the largest Czech banks
(%, 31 December 1995) 285
Table 14.2 Market shares of the largest Czech banks
(billion CZK, 31 December 1995) 285
Table 14.3 Concentration in the Czech banking industry by
market shares (%, 31 December 1995) 285
Table 14.4 Concentration in the Czech banking industry by
assets and liabilities
(billion CZK, 31 December 1995) 286
Table 14.5 Moody s ratings of Czech banks 289
Table 14.6 IBC A ratings of Czech banks 290
Table 14.7 Average interest rates from primary deposits
compared with the rate of inflation (in %) 291
Table 14.8 Structure of the money aggregate M2
(in %, end of period) 291
Table 14.9 Total volume and development of credits in the
banking sector (in billion CZK) 293
Table 14.10 Banks by market capitalization 297
xii
Tables
Table 14.11 Banks by total assets 298
Table 16.1 The share of the state sector in the Czech Republic,
Hungary and Poland 320
Table 16.2 Ownership and legal form structure of industrial
companies at the onset of reform 321
Table 16.3 Initial macroeconomic conditions 324
Table 16.4 Debt cross country comparisons 1989 326
Table 16.5 Subsidies outcome in Poland, Hungary and the
Czech Republic in the first years of transition 330
Table 16.6 Privatization plans in the Czech Republic, Hungary
and Poland in mid 1991 compared to privatization
outcomes 335
Table 16.7 Summary of the progress of privatization
(cumulative number of enterprises eop) 339
Table 16.8 Distribution of shares by end 1995 343
Table 16.9 Employment distribution of Polish state enterprises,
30 June 1994 345
Table 16.10 Employment distribution of Polish joint stock
companies, end 1995 346
Table 16.11 Sales revenues from privatization 346
Table 16.12 Distribution of shares by 31 December 1993 349
Table 16.13 Privatization of stocks 350
Table 16.14 Approved privatization projects in the Czech
Republic in the two waves 350
Table 16.15 State led restructuring as part of the privatization
program 352
Table 16.16 Importance of vouchers and other privatization
methods in the first privatization wave 354
Table 16.17 First wave results the importance of funds 356
Table 16.18 Structure of NPF ownership after the first wave of
privatization at the end of 1993 357
Table 16.19 Distribution of shares by the end of 1993 358
Table 16.20 Revenues from privatization SPA/SHC separate
accounts 1990 1994 Q3 359
Table 16.21 Revenues from privatization SPA/SHC joint
accounts 1990 1995 (HUF billion) 359
Table 16.22 Incidence of state ownership in Hungary
December 1992 365
Table 16.23 The role of the state: State Property Agency (SPA) 366
xiii
Tables
Table 16.24 Changes in ownership structure 367
Table 17.1 Results of trading at RM S 3 74
Table 18.1 Number of banks and brokers 381
Table 18.2 Number and volume of mutual funds 382
Table 18.3 Foreign trading places for Central and Eastern
European shares 385
Table 18.4 Prominent emerging markets index families 386
Table 18.5 Local equity indices for Central and Eastern
European markets 387
Table 18.6 The CECE index family 390
Table 18.7 Key data on the CECE indices 390
Table 19.1 Extent and liquidity of equity markets (1997) 397
Table 19.2 Variance ratio tests of random walk hypothesis.
Monthly returns variance ratio 402
Table 19.3 Variance ratio tests of random walk hypothesis.
Weekly returns variance ratio 403
Table 19.4 Distribution of returns in Central European equity
markets 405
Table 19.5 Runs tests of weak form efficiency 406
Table 20.1 Unit root tests 420
Table 20.2 Statistical properties of returns 421
Table 20.3 Autocorrelations of returns 424
Table 20.4a GARCH t with AR( 1) 427
Table 20.4b Integrated GARCH t 428
Table 20.4c Properties of standardized residuals 428
Table 20.5 GARCH in mean 431
Table 20.6 EG ARCH t with AR( 1) 432
Table 20.7 Poisson jump process 434
Table 21.1 Debt indicators, 1985 1995 440
Table 21.2 Debt settlements since 1981 445
Table 21.3 Contributions to variations in the debt to GDP
ratio 1989 1994 453
Table 21 .A Growth in real gross domestic product
(percentage change year on year) 457
Table 21 .B Short term interest rates (treasury bill rates)
(in percentage p.a., end of year) 457
Table 21 .C US $ exchange rates (end of year) 458
Table 21 .D Inflation (consumer price index)
(percentage change year on year) 458
xiv
Tables
Table 21 .E General government balances
(in per cent of gross domestic product) 459
Table 21 .F Current account and trade balances
(in per cent of gross domestic product,
1996, estimated) 459
Table 21 .G Foreign direct investment
(net inflows recorded in the balance of payments,
in US $, estimated) 460
Table 21 .H Current account and trade balances
(in per cent of gross domestic product,
1996, estimated) 460
* Rounding errors may prevent equalization of table sums.
xv
|
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genre_facet | Konferenzschrift 1997 Wien |
geographic | Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 gnd |
geographic_facet | Osteuropa |
id | DE-604.BV012148831 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:22:32Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 185898498X |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-008228125 |
oclc_num | 40646619 |
open_access_boolean | |
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physical | XIX, 477 S. graph. Darst. |
publishDate | 1999 |
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spelling | Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe ed. by Christian Helmenstein Cheltenham, [u.a.] Elgar 1999 XIX, 477 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Capital market - Europe, Central - Congresses Hervormingen gtt Kapitaalmarkt gtt Capital market -- Europe, Eastern -- Congresses Kapitalmarkt (DE-588)4029578-3 gnd rswk-swf Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift 1997 Wien gnd-content Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 g Kapitalmarkt (DE-588)4029578-3 s DE-604 Helmenstein, Christian 1966- Sonstige (DE-588)120109298 oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008228125&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe Capital market - Europe, Central - Congresses Hervormingen gtt Kapitaalmarkt gtt Capital market -- Europe, Eastern -- Congresses Kapitalmarkt (DE-588)4029578-3 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4029578-3 (DE-588)4075739-0 (DE-588)1071861417 |
title | Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe |
title_auth | Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe |
title_exact_search | Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe |
title_full | Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe ed. by Christian Helmenstein |
title_fullStr | Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe ed. by Christian Helmenstein |
title_full_unstemmed | Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe ed. by Christian Helmenstein |
title_short | Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe |
title_sort | capital markets in central and eastern europe |
topic | Capital market - Europe, Central - Congresses Hervormingen gtt Kapitaalmarkt gtt Capital market -- Europe, Eastern -- Congresses Kapitalmarkt (DE-588)4029578-3 gnd |
topic_facet | Capital market - Europe, Central - Congresses Hervormingen Kapitaalmarkt Capital market -- Europe, Eastern -- Congresses Kapitalmarkt Osteuropa Konferenzschrift 1997 Wien |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008228125&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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