Economic and monetary integration: options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
[Breukelen]
Nijenrode Univ. Press [u.a.]
[1997]
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Zugl.: Breukelen, Univ. Nijenrode, Diss., 1997 |
| Beschreibung: | IX, 509 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9051665601 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Table of Contents
I General Introduction and Methodology
I.I Why this study 1
I.II Definitions and choices in the research 2
I.III Limitations of the research 4
I.IV Problem statement and research questions 9
I.V Conceptual framework and research design 11
1 Economic Integration: The Mainstream of Theory 14
1.1 Introduction 14
1.2 The Vinerian approach 15
1.3 The size of the static effects 22
1.4 Extension of the customs union theory in line with Viner 27
1.4.1 Welfare increasing aspects of trade diversion 28
1.4.2 Second best strategy 29
1.5 Dynamic effects of a customs union 31
Economies of scale 32
Increased competition 34
Forced efficiency and improved technology 34
Increase in investments 35
Externalities and public goods 35
1.6 Distributional and Institutional aspects 36
Distributional dimensions of preferential trading areas 36
Institutional dimensions of preferential trading arrangements 3 7
1.7 Degree of Integration 38
1.7.1 Free trade, customs union, common market,
economic union and economic monetary union 38
1.7.2 The common external tariff 39
1.7.3 Positive integration 41
1.8 Conclusion 42
2. Empirical Evidence 43
2.1 Introduction 43
2.2 Indicators 44
Intra area trade flows 44
Correcting the intra trade figures 46
Income elasticities of import demand and related indicators 48
Measurements of dynamic effects 53
2.3 Empirical studies 54
2.3.1 Limitations of the studies 54
2.3.2 Conclusions from the studies 56
2.4 Regional integration schemes: Less Developed Countries 59
I]
2.4.1 Introduction 59
2.4.2 Rationale for economic integration 62
Training ground argument 62
Dynamic effects and terms of trade 63
Resource allocation 65
Additional motives 65
2.4.3 Implementation problems 66
Timetables and negotiation procedures 66
Distribution problems 69
2.4.4 Review 71
2.5 Regional integration schemes: industrial countries 73
2.5.1 Rationale for economic integration 73
2.5.2 Implementation problems 76
Timetables and negotiation problems 76
Distribution problems 79
2.6 Conclusion 82
3. Monetary integration: the mainstream of theory 84
3.1 Introduction 84
3.2 The costs of a monetary union 85
3.2.1 Introduction 85
3.2.2 Not reaching the national propensity to inflation 86
3.2.3 Loss of the nominal exchange rate instrument 90
3.2.4 No insulation against shocks from abroad 91
3.2.5 Spill over effects 92
5.2.6 Other costs 93
3.3 The benefits of a monetary union 94
3.3.1 Introduction 94
3.3.2 Microeconomic benefits 95
International trade 95
Foreign Direct Investment 96
Transaction and information costs 96
International reserves 98
5.5.5 Macroeconomic implications 98
5.5.4 Dynamic effects 101
3.4 Structural factors: the theory of the optimum currency area 102
5.4.7 Introduction 1°2
5.4.2 Labour and capital mobility 103
/« rep/y to Mundell 104
5.4.5 Product diversification 107
7« rep/y to Kenen 108
5.4.4 Openness and economic size 109
7« rep/y to McKinnon 110
5.4.J Fiscal policy HI
5.4.6 /?ev/ew 112
3.5 A cost benefit analysis 113
3.6 A single currency 118
3.6.1 Introduction 118
3.6.2 Additional benefits 119
Microeconomic benefits 119
Macroeconomic benefits 120
3.7 Conclusion 121
4. Aspects of monetary integration: Empiri 123
4.1 Introduction 123
4.2 Exchange rate mechanisms 123
4.2.1 Choice between fixed and floating exchange
rates 123
4.2.2 The pre 1914 gold standard 127
4.2.3 Intenvar monetary instability 128
4.2.4 The Bretton Woods System, 1944 1971 129
4.2.5 Floating rates after 1973 and regional differences 131
4.3 The optimum currency area: indicators and results 134
4.3.1 Introduction 134
4.3.2 Economic structure 136
Likelihood of (Asymmetrical shocks 137
Correlation of regional shocks 13 7
Real exchange rate changes 141
Intra industry trade 142
4.3.3 Effectiveness of the nominal exchange rate 143
Intra trade as percentage of GDP 143
Wage flexibility 144
4.3.4 Correcting asymmetrical shocks 145
Labour mobility 145
Fiscal flexibility 146
4.3.5 Review 148
4.4 Monetary integration in Europe 149
4.4.1 Introduction 149
4.4.2 Six waves of monetary integration 15 0
4.4.3 Some institutional aspects 160
4.5 Monetary integration outside Europe 161
4.5.1 Introduction 161
4.5.2 Developments in the field of monetary integration 161
outside Europe
4.6 Conclusion 168
5. Elements of transformation: internal liberalisation 170
5.1 Introduction 170
5.2 Economic miracles 173
Country specific characteristics 173
The benefit of being backward 173
Right macroeconomic policy is essential 175
Solving macroeconomic disequilibrium 175
Price liberalisation and stimulating market forces 176
High saving rate 176
Human capital 178
Trade liberalisation 179
Exchange rate 180
5.3 Economic slowdown in Central and Eastern Europe 181
5.3.1 Pre transformation period 181
5.3.2 Output collapse: the transition recession 184
Statistical correction 185
Insufficient demand 186
Supply side inflexibility 188
CMEA collapse 189
5.4 Issues in transition 189
5.4.1 Solving the main problems 189
5.4.2 Macroeconomic disequilibrium and the
monetary overhang 190
5.4.3 Monetary and fiscal policy 194
Monetary policy 194
Fiscal policy 197
5.4.4 Price liberalisation 201
5.4.5 Privatisation and market reform 205
5.5 Conclusion 208
6. Elements of transformation: external sector 210
6.1 Introduction 210
6.2 Trade pattern in Central and Eastern Europe 213
6.3 Trade reforms 217
6.4 Convertibility issue 224
6.5 Exchange rate systems 227
Overvaluation should be avoided 229
A chieving credibility 231
6.6 Exchange rate arrangements in Central and Eastern Europe 233
6.7 Conclusion 235
7. The experience based path of transformation and the role
of regional integration in it 238
7.1 Introduction 238
7.2 The speed of transformation 240
The rationale of a shock therapy 242
The rationale for a gradual approach 244
7.3 The sequence of reforms 245
Stabilisation policy 251
Privatisation and restructuring of the supply side 253
Price Liberalisation 254
Legal, regulatory and institutional changes 255
Trade policy, convertibility and exchange rate changes 256
7.4 The experience based path of transformation 256
7.5 Regional integration within the transformation process 261
Clearing and payments union 262
The German Economic, Monetary and Social Union
Regional groupings 264
Economic (and Monetary) Integration with the European Union 268
7.6 Conclusion 271
8. Regional integration: options for Central and Eastern Europe 277
8.1 Introduction 277
8.2 Direction and structure of international trade 278
8.2.1 Direction of trade 278
8.2.2 Structure of trade 284
8.3 Market access 291
8.4 Economic integration with the West 300
8.4.1 Introduction 300
8.4.2 Static effects 301
Intra regional trade relations 301
Competitive/complementarity trade
structures 303
8.4.3 Dynamic effects 307
Level and development of intra industry
trade 307
Market economy and elastic supply 310
8.4.4 Readiness Indicators 312
Price stability 313
Real exchange rate development 314
Fiscal discipline 317
Market oriented policy 319
Taxes on international trade 319
Changing the institutional framework 320
8.4.5 Review 321
8.5 Monetary integration with the European Union 323
8.5.1 Introduction 323
8.5.2 The European Union perspective 323
Stock market development 324
Diversity Index 327
8.5.3 Admission to the Economic Monetary Union 111
8.5.4 Review 332
8.6 Economic integration with the East 333
8.6.1 Introduction 333
VII
8.6.2 Static effects 334
8.6.3 Dynamic effects 336
8.6.4 Region specific factors 338
Balance of payments situation 340
Adjustment costs 341
8.7 Conclusion 342
9. The Romanian case 345
9.1 Introduction 345
9.2 Key elements of transformation; 1990 1991 349
9.2.1 Gradualism 350
9.2.2 Acceleration 354
9.2.3 Macroeconomic stabilisation 357
9.2.4 1990 1991 in retrospect 360
9.3 Transformation during 1992 1993 363
9.3.1 The road to positive economic growth 363
9.3.2 1992 1993 in retrospect 366
9.4 Establishing the preconditions for sustained economic growth;
1994 1995 367
9.4.1 The monetary policy 367
9.4.2 The exchange rate policy 372
9.4.3 Development of international trade 375
9.4.4 Regional integration 379
9.4.5 Review 382
The Romanian transformation process 382
Macroeconomic stability 384
Readiness for economic and monetary
integration with the European Union 385
10. Conclusion 387
11. Executive summary in Dutch 398
11.1 Inleiding 398
11.2 Economische Integrate;
theorie enpraktijk 399
11.3 Monetaire Integratie;
theorie enpraktijk 403
11.4 Het Transformatieproces 406
11.5 Regionale Integratie;
mogelijke opties 410
Appendices
1.1 Accuracy of forecasts, different institutions 416
vm
2.1 Integration studies 417
2.2 Regional integration 438
2.3 The (British) Commonwealth 448
3.1 Graphical analysis of the adjustment process 449
7.1 Classification system for transformation indicators 452
8.1 Revealed comparative advantage Czechoslovakia and the European Union 453
8.2 Specialisation index 459
8.3 Real effective exchange rate 460
8.4 Qualitative analysis of impact of selected events on stock markets 462
8.5 Stock market data 464
8.6 Basic data of the Diversity Index 484
8.7 Influence Russian elections on stock markets in Germany, the Netherlands 488
and Finland
References 490
IX
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| spelling | Ebbers, Hendrikus A. Verfasser aut Economic and monetary integration options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe door Ebbers, Hendricus Andreas (Haico) [Breukelen] Nijenrode Univ. Press [u.a.] [1997] IX, 509 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Zugl.: Breukelen, Univ. Nijenrode, Diss., 1997 Europäische Union Economische integratie gtt Europese Unie gtt Monetaire samenwerking gtt Wirtschaftspolitik European Union Europe, Central European Union Europe, Eastern Monetary unions European Union countries Europäische Integration (DE-588)4071013-0 gnd rswk-swf Geldpolitik (DE-588)4019902-2 gnd rswk-swf Währungspolitik (DE-588)4064152-1 gnd rswk-swf Europäische Union. Mitgliedsstaaten Europe, Central Economic integration Europe, Eastern Economic integration European Union countries Economic policy Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 g Europäische Integration (DE-588)4071013-0 s Währungspolitik (DE-588)4064152-1 s DE-604 Geldpolitik (DE-588)4019902-2 s HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008117115&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Ebbers, Hendrikus A. Economic and monetary integration options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe Europäische Union Economische integratie gtt Europese Unie gtt Monetaire samenwerking gtt Wirtschaftspolitik European Union Europe, Central European Union Europe, Eastern Monetary unions European Union countries Europäische Integration (DE-588)4071013-0 gnd Geldpolitik (DE-588)4019902-2 gnd Währungspolitik (DE-588)4064152-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4071013-0 (DE-588)4019902-2 (DE-588)4064152-1 (DE-588)4075739-0 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Economic and monetary integration options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe |
| title_auth | Economic and monetary integration options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe |
| title_exact_search | Economic and monetary integration options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe |
| title_full | Economic and monetary integration options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe door Ebbers, Hendricus Andreas (Haico) |
| title_fullStr | Economic and monetary integration options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe door Ebbers, Hendricus Andreas (Haico) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Economic and monetary integration options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe door Ebbers, Hendricus Andreas (Haico) |
| title_short | Economic and monetary integration |
| title_sort | economic and monetary integration options for countries in central and eastern europe |
| title_sub | options for countries in Central and Eastern Europe |
| topic | Europäische Union Economische integratie gtt Europese Unie gtt Monetaire samenwerking gtt Wirtschaftspolitik European Union Europe, Central European Union Europe, Eastern Monetary unions European Union countries Europäische Integration (DE-588)4071013-0 gnd Geldpolitik (DE-588)4019902-2 gnd Währungspolitik (DE-588)4064152-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Europäische Union Economische integratie Europese Unie Monetaire samenwerking Wirtschaftspolitik European Union Europe, Central European Union Europe, Eastern Monetary unions European Union countries Europäische Integration Geldpolitik Währungspolitik Europäische Union. Mitgliedsstaaten Europe, Central Economic integration Europe, Eastern Economic integration European Union countries Economic policy Osteuropa Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008117115&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ebbershendrikusa economicandmonetaryintegrationoptionsforcountriesincentralandeasterneurope |