Asset pricing with distorted beliefs: are equity returns too good to be true?
We study a Lucas asset pricing model that is standard in all respects representative agent's subjective beliefs about endowment growth are distorted. Using constant-relative-risk-aversion (CRRA) utility a CRRA coefficient below ten that exhibit, on average, excessive pessimism over expansions a...
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , , |
---|---|
Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Mass.
1998
|
Schriftenreihe: | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series
6354 |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | We study a Lucas asset pricing model that is standard in all respects representative agent's subjective beliefs about endowment growth are distorted. Using constant-relative-risk-aversion (CRRA) utility a CRRA coefficient below ten that exhibit, on average, excessive pessimism over expansions and excessive optimism over contractions, our model is able to match the first and second moments of the equity premium and risk-free rate, as well as the persistence and predictability of excess returns found in the data. |
Beschreibung: | 23 S. |
Internformat
MARC
LEADER | 00000nam a2200000 cb4500 | ||
---|---|---|---|
001 | BV011808886 | ||
003 | DE-604 | ||
005 | 00000000000000.0 | ||
007 | t | ||
008 | 980305s1998 xxu |||| 00||| engod | ||
035 | |a (OCoLC)38528556 | ||
035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV011808886 | ||
040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rakddb | ||
041 | 0 | |a eng | |
044 | |a xxu |c XD-US | ||
049 | |a DE-19 |a DE-521 | ||
050 | 0 | |a H11 | |
100 | 1 | |a Cecchetti, Stephen G. |d 1956- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)124773753 |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a Asset pricing with distorted beliefs |b are equity returns too good to be true? |c Stephen G. Cecchetti ; Pok-sang Lam ; Nelson C. Mark |
264 | 1 | |a Cambridge, Mass. |c 1998 | |
300 | |a 23 S. | ||
336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
490 | 1 | |a National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |v 6354 | |
520 | 3 | |a We study a Lucas asset pricing model that is standard in all respects representative agent's subjective beliefs about endowment growth are distorted. Using constant-relative-risk-aversion (CRRA) utility a CRRA coefficient below ten that exhibit, on average, excessive pessimism over expansions and excessive optimism over contractions, our model is able to match the first and second moments of the equity premium and risk-free rate, as well as the persistence and predictability of excess returns found in the data. | |
650 | 4 | |a Ökonometrisches Modell | |
650 | 4 | |a Assets (Accounting) |x Prices |z United States |x Forecasting |x Econometric models | |
650 | 4 | |a Rate of return |z United States |x Forecasting |x Econometric models | |
650 | 4 | |a Rational expectations (Economic theory) |z United States |x Econometric models | |
651 | 4 | |a USA | |
700 | 1 | |a Lam, Pok-sang |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Mark, Nelson C. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Online-Ausgabe |
830 | 0 | |a National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |v 6354 |w (DE-604)BV002801238 |9 6354 | |
856 | 4 | 1 | |u http://papers.nber.org/papers/w6354.pdf |z kostenfrei |3 Volltext |
999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-007973700 |
Datensatz im Suchindex
_version_ | 1804126354115919872 |
---|---|
any_adam_object | |
author | Cecchetti, Stephen G. 1956- Lam, Pok-sang Mark, Nelson C. |
author_GND | (DE-588)124773753 |
author_facet | Cecchetti, Stephen G. 1956- Lam, Pok-sang Mark, Nelson C. |
author_role | aut aut aut |
author_sort | Cecchetti, Stephen G. 1956- |
author_variant | s g c sg sgc p s l psl n c m nc ncm |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV011808886 |
callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
callnumber-label | H11 |
callnumber-raw | H11 |
callnumber-search | H11 |
callnumber-sort | H 211 |
callnumber-subject | H - Social Science |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)38528556 (DE-599)BVBBV011808886 |
format | Book |
fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>02117nam a2200409 cb4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV011808886</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">00000000000000.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">980305s1998 xxu |||| 00||| engod</controlfield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)38528556</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV011808886</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rakddb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="044" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">xxu</subfield><subfield code="c">XD-US</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-19</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-521</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="050" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">H11</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Cecchetti, Stephen G.</subfield><subfield code="d">1956-</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)124773753</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Asset pricing with distorted beliefs</subfield><subfield code="b">are equity returns too good to be true?</subfield><subfield code="c">Stephen G. Cecchetti ; Pok-sang Lam ; Nelson C. Mark</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Cambridge, Mass.</subfield><subfield code="c">1998</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">23 S.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series</subfield><subfield code="v">6354</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1="3" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">We study a Lucas asset pricing model that is standard in all respects representative agent's subjective beliefs about endowment growth are distorted. Using constant-relative-risk-aversion (CRRA) utility a CRRA coefficient below ten that exhibit, on average, excessive pessimism over expansions and excessive optimism over contractions, our model is able to match the first and second moments of the equity premium and risk-free rate, as well as the persistence and predictability of excess returns found in the data.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Ökonometrisches Modell</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Assets (Accounting)</subfield><subfield code="x">Prices</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="x">Forecasting</subfield><subfield code="x">Econometric models</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Rate of return</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="x">Forecasting</subfield><subfield code="x">Econometric models</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Rational expectations (Economic theory)</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="x">Econometric models</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">USA</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Lam, Pok-sang</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Mark, Nelson C.</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Online-Ausgabe</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="830" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series</subfield><subfield code="v">6354</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-604)BV002801238</subfield><subfield code="9">6354</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">http://papers.nber.org/papers/w6354.pdf</subfield><subfield code="z">kostenfrei</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-007973700</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
geographic | USA |
geographic_facet | USA |
id | DE-604.BV011808886 |
illustrated | Not Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:16:07Z |
institution | BVB |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-007973700 |
oclc_num | 38528556 |
open_access_boolean | 1 |
owner | DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-521 |
owner_facet | DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-521 |
physical | 23 S. |
publishDate | 1998 |
publishDateSearch | 1998 |
publishDateSort | 1998 |
record_format | marc |
series | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |
series2 | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |
spelling | Cecchetti, Stephen G. 1956- Verfasser (DE-588)124773753 aut Asset pricing with distorted beliefs are equity returns too good to be true? Stephen G. Cecchetti ; Pok-sang Lam ; Nelson C. Mark Cambridge, Mass. 1998 23 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 6354 We study a Lucas asset pricing model that is standard in all respects representative agent's subjective beliefs about endowment growth are distorted. Using constant-relative-risk-aversion (CRRA) utility a CRRA coefficient below ten that exhibit, on average, excessive pessimism over expansions and excessive optimism over contractions, our model is able to match the first and second moments of the equity premium and risk-free rate, as well as the persistence and predictability of excess returns found in the data. Ökonometrisches Modell Assets (Accounting) Prices United States Forecasting Econometric models Rate of return United States Forecasting Econometric models Rational expectations (Economic theory) United States Econometric models USA Lam, Pok-sang Verfasser aut Mark, Nelson C. Verfasser aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 6354 (DE-604)BV002801238 6354 http://papers.nber.org/papers/w6354.pdf kostenfrei Volltext |
spellingShingle | Cecchetti, Stephen G. 1956- Lam, Pok-sang Mark, Nelson C. Asset pricing with distorted beliefs are equity returns too good to be true? National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series Ökonometrisches Modell Assets (Accounting) Prices United States Forecasting Econometric models Rate of return United States Forecasting Econometric models Rational expectations (Economic theory) United States Econometric models |
title | Asset pricing with distorted beliefs are equity returns too good to be true? |
title_auth | Asset pricing with distorted beliefs are equity returns too good to be true? |
title_exact_search | Asset pricing with distorted beliefs are equity returns too good to be true? |
title_full | Asset pricing with distorted beliefs are equity returns too good to be true? Stephen G. Cecchetti ; Pok-sang Lam ; Nelson C. Mark |
title_fullStr | Asset pricing with distorted beliefs are equity returns too good to be true? Stephen G. Cecchetti ; Pok-sang Lam ; Nelson C. Mark |
title_full_unstemmed | Asset pricing with distorted beliefs are equity returns too good to be true? Stephen G. Cecchetti ; Pok-sang Lam ; Nelson C. Mark |
title_short | Asset pricing with distorted beliefs |
title_sort | asset pricing with distorted beliefs are equity returns too good to be true |
title_sub | are equity returns too good to be true? |
topic | Ökonometrisches Modell Assets (Accounting) Prices United States Forecasting Econometric models Rate of return United States Forecasting Econometric models Rational expectations (Economic theory) United States Econometric models |
topic_facet | Ökonometrisches Modell Assets (Accounting) Prices United States Forecasting Econometric models Rate of return United States Forecasting Econometric models Rational expectations (Economic theory) United States Econometric models USA |
url | http://papers.nber.org/papers/w6354.pdf |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV002801238 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT cecchettistepheng assetpricingwithdistortedbeliefsareequityreturnstoogoodtobetrue AT lampoksang assetpricingwithdistortedbeliefsareequityreturnstoogoodtobetrue AT marknelsonc assetpricingwithdistortedbeliefsareequityreturnstoogoodtobetrue |