Holdings: Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales

Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales:

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Bibliographic Details
Format:	Book
Language:	English
Published:	Washington, D.C. National Acad. Press 1995
Subjects:	Climat - Changements - Congrès Klimaänderung Climatic changes > Congresses Klimaschwankung Konferenzschrift
Online Access:	Inhaltsverzeichnis
Physical Description:	XIV, 630 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt.
ISBN:	0309054494

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MARC


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adam_text	NATURAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY ON DECADE-TO-CENTURY TIME SCALES / CLIMATE RESEARCH COMMITTEE BOARD ON ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES AND CLIMATE COMMISSION ON GEOSCIENCES, ENVIRONMENT, AND RESOURCES NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS WASHINGTON, D.C. 1995 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION 5 ! CHAPTER 2. THE ATMOSPHERE 9 INTRODUCTION 10 ATMOSPHERIC OBSERVATIONS: AN ESSAY BY THOMAS R. KARL 12 DOCUMENTING NATURAL CLIMATIC VARIATIONS: HOW DIFFERENT IS THE CLIMATE OF THE TWENTIETH CENTURY FROM THAT OF PREVIOUS CENTURIES? HENRY F. DIAZ AND RAYMOND S. BRADLEY 17 COMMENTARY BY EUGENE M. RASMUSSON 30 DISCUSSION 31 VARIABILITY OF AFRICAN RAINFALL ON INTERANNUAL AND DECADAL TIME SCALES SHARON E. NICHOLSON 32 ON THE INITIATION AND PERSISTENCE OF THE SAHEL DROUGHT JAGADISH SHUKLA 44 DISCUSSION 47 CONTINENTAL SNOW COVER AND CLIMATE VARIABILITY JOHN E. WALSH 49 COMMENTARY BY DAVID A. ROBINSON 58 DISCUSSION 59 IX CONTENTS DECADAL VARIATIONS OF SNOW COVER DAVID A. ROBINSON 60 VARIABILITY AND TRENDS OF PRECIPITATION AND SNOWFALL OVER NORTH AMERICA PAVEL YA. GROISMAN AND DAVID R. EASTERLING 67 COMMENTARY BY DAVID A. ROBINSON 77 DISCUSSION 79 ASYMMETRIC TRENDS OF DAILY MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURE: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE AND POSSIBLE CAUSES THOMAS R. KARL, PHILIP D. JONES, RICHARD W. KNIGHT, GEORGE KUKLA, NEIL PLUMMER, VYACHESLAV RAZUVAYEV, KEVIN P. GALLO, JANETTE A. LINDESAY, AND ROBERT J. CHARLSON 80 DISCUSSION 95 DECADAL OSCILLATIONS IN GLOBAL TEMPERATURE AND ATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE CHARLES D. KEELING AND TIMOTHY P. WHORF 97 DISCUSSION 110 OBSERVED VARIABILITY OF THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION DAVID J. KAROLY ILL COMMENTARY BY DAVID E. PARKER 119 DISCUSSION 119 SURFACE CLIMATE VARIATIONS OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN DURING WINTER, 1900-1989 CLARA DESER AND MAURICE L. BLACKMON 120 / COMMENTARY BY LAWRENCE A. MYSAK 130 I DISCUSSION 132 SEASONAL-TO-INTERANNUAL FLUCTUATIONS IN SURFACE TEMPERATURE OVER THE PACIFIC: EFFECTS OF MONTHLY WINDS AND HEAT FLUXES DANIEL R. CAYAN, ARTHUR J. MILLER, TIM P. BARNETT, NICHOLAS E. GRAHAM, JACK N. RITCHIE, AND JOSEF M. OBERHUBER 13 3 COMMENTARY BY STEPHEN E. ZEBIAK 148 DISCUSSION 149 ATMOSPHERIC OBSERVATIONS REFERENCE LIST 151 ATMOSPHERIC MODELING: AN ESSAY BY MICHAEL GHIL 164 MODELING LOW-FREQUENCY CLIMATE VARIABILITY: THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT AND THE INTERPRETATION OF PALEOCLIMATIC DATA TOM M.L. WIGLEY AND SARAH C.B. RAPER 169 DISCUSSION 174 DETECTION OF FORCED CLIMATE SIGNALS GERALD R. NORTH AND KWANG-YUL KIM 175 DISCUSSION 181 CONSTRAINING POSSIBILITIES VERSUS SIGNAL DETECTION RICHARD S. LINDZEN 182 MODELING THE POSSIBLE CAUSES OF DECADAL-TO-MILLENNIAL-SCALE VARIABILITY DAVID H. RIND AND JONATHAN T. OVERPECK 187 COMMENTARY BY JOHN M. WALLACE 197 DISCUSSION 198 CONTENTS XI NATURAL AND FORCED VARIABILITY IN THE CLIMATE RECORD JOHN M. WALLACE 199 COMMENTARY BY HENRY F. DIAZ 208 DISCUSSION 209 ATMOSPHERIC MODELING REFERENCE LIST 211 CHAPTER 3. THE OCEAN 233 INTRODUCTION 234 OCEAN OBSERVATIONS: AN ESSAY BY MELINDA M. HALL 236 MARINE SURFACE DATA FOR ANALYSIS OF CLIMATIC FLUCTUATIONS ON INTERANNUAL-TO- CENTURY TIME SCALES DAVID E. PARKER, CHRIS K. FOLLAND, ALISON C. BEVAN, M. NEIL WARD, MICHAEL JACKSON, AND KATHY MASKELL 241 COMMENTARY BY THOMAS L. DELWORTH 251 DISCUSSION 252 DECADAL-SCALE VARIABILITY OF ICE COVER AND CLIMATE IN THE ARCTIC OCEAN AND GREENLAND AND ICELAND SEAS LAWRENCE A. MYSAK 253 COMMENTARY BY DOUGLAS G. MARTINSON 262 DISCUSSION 262 LONG-TERM SEA-LEVEL VARIATION / BRUCE C. DOUGLAS 264 COMMENTARY BY MICHAEL GHIL 270 DISCUSSION 272 ACOUSTIC THERMOMETRY OF OCEAN CLIMATE (SUMMARY OF DINNER REMARKS) WALTER H. MUNK 273 TRANSIENT TRACERS AS A TOOL TO STUDY VARIABILITY OF OCEAN CIRCULATION PETER SCHLOSSER AND WILLIAM M. SMETHIE, JR. 274 COMMENTARY BY JAMES H. SWIFT 288 DISCUSSION 288 A FEW NOTES ON A REPENT DEEP-WATER FRESHENING JAMES H. SWIFT 290 THE SALINITY DECREASE IN THE LABRADOR SEA OVER THE PAST THIRTY YEARS JOHN R.N. LAZIER 295 COMMENTARY BY LYNNE D. TALLEY 302 DISCUSSION 303 THE LOCAL, REGIONAL, AND GLOBAL SIGNIFICANCE OF EXCHANGES THROUGH THE DENMARK STRAIT AND IRMINGER SEA ROBERT R. DICKSON 305 DISCUSSION 317 OBSERVATIONAL EVIDENCE OF DECADAL-SCALE VARIABILITY OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN SYDNEY LEVITUS, JOHN I. ANTONOV, ZHOU ZENGXI, HARRY DOOLEY, VLADIMIR TSERESCHENKOV, KONSTANTIN SELEMENOV, AND ANTHONY F. MICHAELS 318 XII CONTENTS COMMENTARY BY JOHN R.N. LAZIER 325 DISCUSSION 326 OCEAN OBSERVATIONS REFERENCE LIST 328 OCEAN MODELING: AN ESSAY BY KIRK BRYAN 336 SUB-GRID-SCALE PARAMETERIZATIONS IN OCEANIC GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODELS JAMES C. MCWILLIAMS 339 COMMENTARY BY KIRK BRYAN 353 DISCUSSION 353 A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF NORTH ATLANTIC CLIMATE VARIABILITY ON DECADE-TO-CENTURY TIME SCALES KIRK BRYAN AND FRANK C. HANSEN 355 DISCUSSION 363 DECADAL-TO-MILLENNIAL INTERNAL OCEANIC VARIABILITY IN COARSE-RESOLUTION OCEAN GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODELS ANDREW J. WEAVER 365 COMMENTARY BY EDWARD S. SARACHIK 381 DISCUSSION 382 THERMOHALINE CIRCULATIONS AND VARIABILITY IN A TWO-HEMISPHERE SECTOR MODEL OF THE ATLANTIC DAVID MCDERMOTT AND EDWARD S. SARACHIK 384 COMMENTARY BY MICHAEL GHIL 396 / DISCUSSION 397 / LOW-FREQUENCY OCEAN VARIABILITY INDUCED BY STOCHASTIC FORCING OF VARIOUS COLORS TIM P. BARNETT, MING CHU, ROBERT W. WILDE, AND UWE MIKOLAJEWICZ 398 COMMENTARY BY KEVIN E. TRENBERTH 406 DISCUSSION 406 OCEAN MODELING REFERENCE LIST 40 8 CHAPTER 4. COUPLED SYSTEMS 413 AN ESSAY BY EDWARD S. SARACHIK 414 DECADE-TO-CENTURY TIME-SCALE VARIABILITY IN THE COUPLED ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN SYSTEM: MODELING ISSUES DAVID S. BATTISTI 419 COMMENTARY BY GERALD R. NORTH 430 DISCUSSION 431 NORTH ATLANTIC INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY IN A COUPLED MODEL THOMAS L. DELWORTH, SYUKURO MANABE, AND RONALD J. STOUJFER 432 COMMENTARY BY STEPHEN E. ZEBIAK 439 DISCUSSION 440 MODEL STUDIES OF THE LONG-TERM BEHAVIOR OF ENSO MARK A. CANE, STEPHEN E. ZEBIAK, AND YAN XUE 442 COMMENTARY BY S. GEORGE H. PHILANDER 456 DISCUSSION 456 CONTENTS XLLL SECULAR VARIABILITY OF THE ENSO CYCLE EUGENE M. RASMUSSON, XUELIANG WANG, AND CHESTER F. ROPELEWSKI 458 COMMENTARY BY YOCHANAN KUSHNIR 470 DISCUSSION 470 DECADAL CLIMATE VARIATIONS IN THE PACIFIC KEVIN E. TRENBERTH AND JAMES W. HURRELL 472 COMMENTARY BY YOCHANAN KUSHNIR 481 DISCUSSION 482 COUPLED SYSTEMS REFERENCE LIST 483 CHAPTER 5. PROXY INDICATORS OF CLIMATE 489 AN ESSAY BY SOROOSH SOROOSHIAN AND DOUGLAS G. MARTINSON 490 MONITORING THE TROPICAL OCEAN AND ATMOSPHERE USING CHEMICAL RECORDS FROM LONG-LIVED CORALS JULIA E. COLE, RICHARD G. FAIRBANKS, AND GLEN T. SHEN ...: 495 COMMENTARY BY CLARA DESER 504 DISCUSSION 505 NATURAL VARIABILITY OF TROPICAL CLIMATES ON 10- TO 100-YEAR TIME SCALES: LIMNOLOGICAL AND PALEOLIMNOLOGICAL EVIDENCE F. ALAYNE STREET-PERROTT 506 DECADE-TO-CENTURY-SCALE VARIABILITY OF REGIONAL AND HEMISPHERIC-SCALE TEMPERATURES PHILIP D. JONES AND KEITH R. BRIFFA : 512 COMMENTARY BY THOMAS R. KARL 520 DISCUSSION 521 INTERDECADAL TEMPERATURE OSCILLATIONS IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE: EVIDENCE FROM TASMANIAN TREE RINGS SINCE 300 B.C. EDWARD R. COOK, BRENDAN M. BUCKLEY, AND ROSANNE D. D ARRIGO 523 COMMENTARY BY WILLIAM E. REIFSNYDER 531 DISCUSSION - 532 VARIABILITY OF ATLANTIC CIRCULATION ON SUB-MILLENNIAL TIME SCALES SCOTT J. LEHMAN 533 COMMENTARY BY JULIA E. COLE 542 DISCUSSION 542 ICE CORES AS ARCHIVES OF DECADE-TO-CENTURY-SCALE CLIMATE VARIABILITY PIETER M. GROOTES 544 DISCUSSION 554 TEMPORAL CHANGE IN MARINE ECOSYSTEMS JOHN A. MCGOWAN 555 COMMENTARY BY ROBERT R. DICKSON 568 DISCUSSION 571 XIV CONTENTS MAXIMUM RATES OF PROJECTED AND ACTUAL INCREASES IN GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE AS COMPARED WITH BIOCLIMATIC FLUCTUATIONS WILLIAM E. REIFSNYDER 572 COMMENTARY BY SOROOSH SOROOSHIAN 580 DISCUSSION 581 PROXY INDICATORS OF CLIMATE REFERENCE LIST 583 CHAPTER 6. CONCLUSIONS 599 CHAPTER 7. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR CLIMATE-VARIABILITY RESEARCH PRIORITIES 605 LIST OF PARTICIPANTS 609 INDEX 615
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spelling	Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales Climate Research Committee Washington, D.C. National Acad. Press 1995 XIV, 630 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Climat - Changements - Congrès Klimaänderung Climatic changes Congresses Klimaschwankung (DE-588)4031175-2 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift gnd-content Klimaschwankung (DE-588)4031175-2 s DE-604 GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=007954816&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis
spellingShingle	Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales Climat - Changements - Congrès Klimaänderung Climatic changes Congresses Klimaschwankung (DE-588)4031175-2 gnd
subject_GND	(DE-588)4031175-2 (DE-588)1071861417
title	Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales
title_auth	Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales
title_exact_search	Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales
title_full	Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales Climate Research Committee
title_fullStr	Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales Climate Research Committee
title_full_unstemmed	Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales Climate Research Committee
title_short	Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales
title_sort	natural climate variability on decade to century time scales
topic	Climat - Changements - Congrès Klimaänderung Climatic changes Congresses Klimaschwankung (DE-588)4031175-2 gnd
topic_facet	Climat - Changements - Congrès Klimaänderung Climatic changes Congresses Klimaschwankung Konferenzschrift
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