Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables:
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
---|---|
Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
Sprache: | German |
Veröffentlicht: |
Heidelberg u.a.
Physica-Verl.
1997
|
Schriftenreihe: | Contributions to economics
|
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | XIX, 222 S. graph. Darst. |
ISBN: | 379081041X |
Internformat
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100 | 1 | |a Hafner, Christian M. |d 1967- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)115629793 |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables |c Christian M. Hafner |
264 | 1 | |a Heidelberg u.a. |b Physica-Verl. |c 1997 | |
300 | |a XIX, 222 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
490 | 0 | |a Contributions to economics | |
502 | |a Zugl.: Berlin, Humboldt-Univ., Diss., 1996 | ||
650 | 4 | |a Mathematisches Modell | |
650 | 4 | |a Foreign exchange rates -- Mathematical models | |
650 | 4 | |a Time-series analysis | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text |
CONTENTS
PREFACE
.
IX
LIST
OF
TABLES
.
XV
LIST
OF
FIGURES
.
XVII
1
INTRODUCTION
.
1
2
MODELLING
VOLATILITY
OF
FINANCIAL
TIME
SERIES
.
7
2.1
RISK
AND
VOLATILITY
.
7
2.1.1
RISK
AND
VOLATILITY
IN
THE
CAPM
.
7
2.1.2
GENERALIZED
RISK
.
10
2.2
STOCK
RETURNS
.
13
2.3
INTEREST
RATES
.
19
2.4
FOREIGN
EXCHANGE
RATES
.
22
2.4.1
THE
FX
MARKET
.
22
2.4.2
HIGH
FREQUENCY
DATA
.
22
2.4.3
THE
CHEMICAL
BANK
DATA
SETS
.
24
2.4.4
THE
DATA
SET
HFDF93
.
24
2.4.5
SOME
DEFINITIONS
.
26
2.4.6
SEASONAL
VOLATILITY
AND
THE
TIME
SCALE
.
27
2.4.7
PROPERTIES
OF
THE
FX
RATES
IN
I?-TIME
.
38
2.4.8
THE
ROLE
OF
BID-ASK
SPREADS
.
45
2.4.9
HOW
ARE
MAJOR
JUMPS
RELATED
TO
NEWS?
.
46
2.5
CONCLUSIONS
.
50
3
NONLINEAR
TIME
SERIES
ANALYSIS
.
51
3.1
INTRODUCTION
.
51
3.2
DETERMINISTIC
SYSTEMS
AND
CHAOS
.
53
3.3
PARAMETRIC
STOCHASTIC
MODELS
.
57
3.3.1
THRESHOLD
AUTOREGRESSIVE
MODELS
.
58
3.3.2
EXPONENTIAL
AUTOREGRESSIVE
MODELS
.
59
3.3.3
BILINEAR
MODELS
.
59
XII
CONTENTS
3.3.4
MODELS
WITH
AUTOREGRESSIVE
CONDITIONAL
HETEROSKEDASTICITY
.
61
3.3.5
STOCHASTIC
VOLATILITY
MODELS
.
62
3.3.6
MARKOV
SWITCHING
REGIMES
.
64
3.3.7
PARAMETER
ESTIMATION
.
65
3.4
NONPARAMETRIC
AND
SEMIPARAMETRIC
MODELS
.
65
3.4.1
LOCAL
CONDITIONAL
MEAN
(MEDIAN)
ESTIMATION
.
67
3.4.2
NADARAYA-WATSON
ESTIMATION
.
67
3.4.3
LOCAL
POLYNOMIAL
ESTIMATION
.
69
3.4.4
^-NEAREST
NEIGHBOR
ESTIMATION
.
72
3.4.5
FUNCTIONAL
COEFFICIENT
AR
MODEL
.
72
3.4.6
NONLINEAR
ADDITIVE
AR
MODEL
.
74
3.4.7
PROJECTION
PURSUIT
MODEL
.
75
3.4.8
NEURAL
NETWORK
MODEL
.
76
3.5
TESTING
LINEARITY
.
77
3.5.1
LAGRANGE
MULTIPLIER
TESTS
AGAINST
AN
UNSPECIFIED
ALTERNATIVE
.
77
3.5.2
LAGRANGE
MULTIPLIER
TESTS
AGAINST
CONDITIONAL
HETEROSKEDASTICITY
.
78
3.5.3
PORTMANTEAU
TESTS
.
79
3.5.4
TESTS
AGAINST
THRESHOLD
NONLINEARITY
.
80
3.5.4.1
CUSUM
TEST
.
80
3.5.4.2
LIKELIHOOD
RATIO
TEST
.
81
3.5.4.3
TAR-F
TEST
.
81
3.5.5
NEW-F
TEST
.
81
3.5.6
BDS
TEST
.
82
3.5.7
NONPARAMETRIC
TESTS
.
82
3.6
NONLINEAR
PREDICTION
.
83
3.6.1
PARAMETRIC
APPROACHES
.
84
3.6.1.1
NUMERICAL
INTEGRATION
.
84
3.6.1.2
SIMULATION
.
85
3.6.2
NONPARAMETRIC
APPROACHES
.
86
3.6.2.1
DIRECT
KERNEL
SMOOTHER
.
86
3.6.2.2
MULTISTAGE
SMOOTHER
.
87
3.7
DIRECTIONALITY
AND
REVERSIBILITY
.
88
3.8
CONCLUSIONS
.
91
4
ARCH
MODELS
AND
EXTENSIONS
.
93
4.1
INTRODUCTION
.
93
4.2
STANDARD
ARCH
AND
GARCH
.
94
4.2.1
ARCH:
DEFINITION,
MOMENTS
AND
STATIONARITY
.
94
CONTENTS
XIII
4.2.2
ARCH:
ESTIMATION
.
95
4.2.3
GENERALIZED
ARCH
.
98
4.3
SPECIFICATION
OF
THE
CONDITIONAL
DISTRIBUTION
.
99
4.3.1
CONDITIONALLY
STUDENT
'
S
T
DISTRIBUTED
ERRORS
.
100
4.3.2
NONPARAMETRIC
ESTIMATION
OF
THE
CONDITIONAL
ERROR
DENSITY
.
101
4.4
PERSISTENCE
OF
VOLATILITY
.
102
4.4.1
INTEGRATED
GARCH
.
103
4.4.2
FRACTIONALLY
INTEGRATED
GARCH
.
104
4.5
ASYMMETRY
OF
VOLATILITY
.
105
4.5.1
EXPONENTIAL
GARCH
.
105
4.5.2
THRESHOLD
ARCH
MODELS
.
107
4.6
RISK
AND
RETURN
.
108
4.7
ASYMMETRY
AND
PERSISTENCE
OF
THE
FX
RATES
.
108
4.8
NEWS
IMPACT
FUNCTIONS
.
112
4.9
TEMPORAL
(DIS-)AGGREGATION
.
117
4.10
MARKET
COMPONENTS
AND
HETEROGENEOUS
ARCH
.
121
4.11
DIRECTIONALITY
OF
ARCH
PROCESSES
.
123
4.12
CONCLUSIONS
.
126
5
NONPARAMETRIC
AND
SEMIPARAMETRIC
MODELS
.127
5.1
INTRODUCTION
.
127
5.2
THE
CHARN
MODEL
.
128
5.2.1
KERNEL
ESTIMATES
.
129
5.2.1.1
KERNEL
FUNCTIONS
.
129
5.2.1.2
NADARAYA-WATSON
ESTIMATOR
.
130
5.2.1.3
LOCAL
POLYNOMIAL
ESTIMATOR
.
131
5.2.2
BANDWIDTH-SELECTION
.
132
5.2.3
UNIFORM
CONFIDENCE
BANDS
.
134
5.2.4
FX
RESULTS
.
135
5.3
HIGHER
ORDER
CONDITIONAL
MOMENTS
AND
STOCHASTIC
VOLATILITY
144
5.4
MULTIPLICATIVE
NONPARAMETRIC
ARCH
MODELS
.
153
5.5
NONPARAMETRIC
GENERALIZED
ARCH
MODELS
.
158
5.5.1
ESTIMATES
OF
THE
NEWS
IMPACT
CURVE
AND
AUTOREGRESSION
COEFFICIENT
.
159
5.5.2
A
SIMULATION
STUDY
.
161
5.5.3
FX
RESULTS
.
164
5.6
CONCLUSIONS
.
168
6
CONCLUSIONS
AND
OUTLOOK
.
173
XIV
CONTENTS
A
THE
MOMENTS
OF
LOG
|^
T
|
.177
B
TIMES.LIB
-
A
TIME
SERIES
LIBRARY
FOR
XPLORE
4
.179
REFERENCES
.195
AUTHOR
INDEX
.
211
SUBJECT
INDEX
.
215 |
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Hafner, Christian M. 1967- |
author_GND | (DE-588)115629793 |
author_facet | Hafner, Christian M. 1967- |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | Hafner, Christian M. 1967- |
author_variant | c m h cm cmh |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV011587875 |
callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
callnumber-label | HG3823 |
callnumber-raw | HG3823.H34 1997 |
callnumber-search | HG3823.H34 1997 |
callnumber-sort | HG 43823 H34 41997 |
callnumber-subject | HG - Finance |
classification_rvk | QH 237 QM 331 |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)75780968 (DE-599)BVBBV011587875 |
dewey-full | 332.4/5/01511821 332.4/5/015118 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 332 - Financial economics |
dewey-raw | 332.4/5/015118 21 332.4/5/015118 |
dewey-search | 332.4/5/015118 21 332.4/5/015118 |
dewey-sort | 3332.4 15 515118 221 |
dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Thesis Book |
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genre | (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content |
genre_facet | Hochschulschrift |
id | DE-604.BV011587875 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-08-19T00:25:27Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 379081041X |
language | German |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-007804766 |
oclc_num | 75780968 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | DE-12 DE-521 |
owner_facet | DE-12 DE-521 |
physical | XIX, 222 S. graph. Darst. |
publishDate | 1997 |
publishDateSearch | 1997 |
publishDateSort | 1997 |
publisher | Physica-Verl. |
record_format | marc |
series2 | Contributions to economics |
spelling | Hafner, Christian M. 1967- Verfasser (DE-588)115629793 aut Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables Christian M. Hafner Heidelberg u.a. Physica-Verl. 1997 XIX, 222 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Contributions to economics Zugl.: Berlin, Humboldt-Univ., Diss., 1996 Mathematisches Modell Foreign exchange rates -- Mathematical models Time-series analysis Wechselkurs (DE-588)4064921-0 gnd rswk-swf Wechselkursänderung (DE-588)4129405-1 gnd rswk-swf Kapitalmarkttheorie (DE-588)4137411-3 gnd rswk-swf ARCH-Prozess (DE-588)4346437-3 gnd rswk-swf Volatilität (DE-588)4268390-7 gnd rswk-swf Nichtlineare Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4276267-4 gnd rswk-swf Nichtparametrisches Modell (DE-588)4434654-2 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Nichtlineare Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4276267-4 s Volatilität (DE-588)4268390-7 s ARCH-Prozess (DE-588)4346437-3 s Nichtparametrisches Modell (DE-588)4434654-2 s Kapitalmarkttheorie (DE-588)4137411-3 s Wechselkurs (DE-588)4064921-0 s DE-604 Wechselkursänderung (DE-588)4129405-1 s DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=007804766&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Hafner, Christian M. 1967- Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables Mathematisches Modell Foreign exchange rates -- Mathematical models Time-series analysis Wechselkurs (DE-588)4064921-0 gnd Wechselkursänderung (DE-588)4129405-1 gnd Kapitalmarkttheorie (DE-588)4137411-3 gnd ARCH-Prozess (DE-588)4346437-3 gnd Volatilität (DE-588)4268390-7 gnd Nichtlineare Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4276267-4 gnd Nichtparametrisches Modell (DE-588)4434654-2 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4064921-0 (DE-588)4129405-1 (DE-588)4137411-3 (DE-588)4346437-3 (DE-588)4268390-7 (DE-588)4276267-4 (DE-588)4434654-2 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
title | Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables |
title_auth | Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables |
title_exact_search | Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables |
title_full | Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables Christian M. Hafner |
title_fullStr | Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables Christian M. Hafner |
title_full_unstemmed | Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables Christian M. Hafner |
title_short | Nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility ; with 29 tables |
title_sort | nonlinear time series analysis with applications to foreign exchange rate volatility with 29 tables |
topic | Mathematisches Modell Foreign exchange rates -- Mathematical models Time-series analysis Wechselkurs (DE-588)4064921-0 gnd Wechselkursänderung (DE-588)4129405-1 gnd Kapitalmarkttheorie (DE-588)4137411-3 gnd ARCH-Prozess (DE-588)4346437-3 gnd Volatilität (DE-588)4268390-7 gnd Nichtlineare Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4276267-4 gnd Nichtparametrisches Modell (DE-588)4434654-2 gnd |
topic_facet | Mathematisches Modell Foreign exchange rates -- Mathematical models Time-series analysis Wechselkurs Wechselkursänderung Kapitalmarkttheorie ARCH-Prozess Volatilität Nichtlineare Zeitreihenanalyse Nichtparametrisches Modell Hochschulschrift |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=007804766&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT hafnerchristianm nonlineartimeseriesanalysiswithapplicationstoforeignexchangeratevolatilitywith29tables |