Fiscal adjustments in OECD countries: composition and macroeconomic effects

This ppaer studies how the composition of fiscal adjustments influences their likelihood of success, defined as a long lasting deficit reduction, and their macroeconomic consequences. We find that fiscal adjustments which rely primarily on spending cuts on transfers and the government wage bill have...

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Hauptverfasser: Alesina, Alberto 1957-2020 (VerfasserIn), Perotti, Roberto 1961- (VerfasserIn)
Format: Buch
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Cambridge, Mass. 1996
Schriftenreihe:National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: Working paper series 5730
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Zusammenfassung:This ppaer studies how the composition of fiscal adjustments influences their likelihood of success, defined as a long lasting deficit reduction, and their macroeconomic consequences. We find that fiscal adjustments which rely primarily on spending cuts on transfers and the government wage bill have a better chance of being successful and are expansionary. On the contrary fiscal adjustments which rely primarily on tax increases and cuts in public investment tend not to last and are contractionary. We discuss alternate explanations for these findings by studying both a full sample of OECD countries and by focusing on three case studies: Denmark, Ireland and Italy.
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