Economic reform and the poor in Africa:
Gespeichert in:
Format: | Buch |
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Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Oxford
Clarendon Press
1996
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | XV, 488 S. graph. Darst. |
ISBN: | 0198290357 |
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264 | 1 | |a Oxford |b Clarendon Press |c 1996 | |
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adam_text | CONTENTS
LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS ix
LIST OF TABLES xi
LIST OF FIGURES xvi
PART I INTRODUCTION
1. Economic Reform and Poverty: An Overview 3
David E. Sahn
PART II TRADE AND EXCHANGE RATE POLICY:
A GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH TO EXAMINING
WELFARE OUTCOMES
2. Rents and Exchange Rates: Redistribution through Trade
Liberalization in Madagascar 29
Paul Dorosh
3. Vulnerability to Price Shocks under Alternative Policies in
Cameroon 62
Shankar Subramanian
4. Macroeconomic Policies and Household Welfare in Tanzania 104
Alexander H. Sarris
5. Terms of Trade and the Real Exchange Rate in the CFA Zone:
Implications for Income Distribution in Niger 147
Paul Dorosh, B. Essama Nssah, and Ousmane Samha Mamadou
PART III FISCAL POLICY AND
WELFARE OUTCOMES. RETRENCHMENT, TAX
REFORM, AND INVESTMENT PRIORITIES
6. Labor Market Consequences of Retrenchment for Civil Servants
in Ghana 185
Stephen Younger
VJji CONTENTS
7. Life after Public Sector Job Loss in Guinea 203
Bradford Mills and David E. Sahn
8. Estimating Tax Incidence in Ghana using Household Data 231
Stephen Younger
9. Growth Linkages in Madagascar: Implications for
Development Strategies 254
Paul Dorosh and Steven Haggblade
10. Sectoral Investment Priorities for Renewed Growth in Zaire 277
Solomane Kone and Erik Thorbecke
PART IV AGRICULTURE, FOOD POLICY REFORMS,
AND WELFARE OUTCOMES
11. Perpetuating Poverty for Malawi s Smallholders:
External Shocks and Policy Distortions 311
Yves Van Frausum and David E. Sahn
12. Market Liberalization and the Role of Food Aid in
Mozambique 339
Paul Dorosh, Carlo del Ninno, and David E. Sahn
13. Do Cheap Imports Harm the Poor? Rural Urban
Tradeoffs in Guinea 366
Jehan Arulpragasam and Carlo del Ninno
14. More than just Peanuts (Groundnuts): Aid Flows and
Policy Reform in The Gambia 398
Paul Dorosh and Mattias Lundberg
15. Price Movements and Economic Reform in Ghana:
Implications for Food Security 436
Harold Alderman and Gerald Shively
INDEX 475
TABLES
2.1. Madagascar: macroeconomic summary, 1973 1989 31
2.2. Madagascar: subsectors in SAM 34
2.3. Madagascar: household groups 35
2.4. Madagascar: estimated household income shares, 1984 36
2.5. Madagascar: foreign capital inflows for simulation of investment
boom and stabili2ation 39
2.6. Madagascar: investment boom and stabilization: simulation result 1 40
2.7. Madagascar: breakdown of household income changes:
simulation 1—investment boom 42
2.8. Madagascar: increased rice imports: simulation result 2 45
2.9. Madagascar: trade liberalization: simulation results 3 and 4 47
2.10. Madagascar: breakdown of household income changes:
simulation 3—trade liberalization, no change FSAV 49
2A.1. Madagascar: trade levels and parameters, 1984 (bn FMG) 58
2A.2. Madagascar: household budget shares, 1984 (%) 59
2A.3. Madagascar: household demand parameters 60
3.1. Cameroon: macroeconomic summary, 1975 1990 63
3.2. Cameroon: sectoral shares in value added, imports and exports,
1984/85 (%) 68
3.3. Cameroon: sources of household income and savings rates (%) 69
3.4. Cameroon: the base run, 1984/85 1989/90 79
3.5. Cameroon: run 2 (no oil price shock) 82
3.6. Cameroon: run 3 (no agricultural export price shock) 84
3.7. Cameroon: run 4 (investment kept constant at 1983/84 level after
1984/85) 87
3.8. Cameroon: run 5 (25% devaluation in 1986/87) 89
3.9. Cameroon: run 6 (reduction of implicit tax on agricultural exports) 91
4.1. Accounting categories of the Tanzanian SAM 106
4.2. Tanzania: base year per capita income and wealth endowments of
households 117
4.3. Tanzania: results of adjustment type of policy runs 120
4.4. Tanzania: simulation of structural adjustment package and external
shocks 126
4.5. Tanzania: simulation of flexible exchange rate regime, without and
with adjustment program 131
xii LIST OF TABLES
5.1. Niger: production activities in the Niger SAM 149
5.2. Niger: macroeconomic trends, 1985 1991 151
5.3. Niger: revenue shares by household, 1987 154
5.4. Effects of a terms of trade shock: Niger simulation results 158
5.5. Niger: real income effects on households, simulation 1: full RER
adjustment 160
5.6. Niger: real income effects on households, simulation 2:
import quotas 162
5.7. Niger: real income effects on households, simulation 3:
naira depreciation 164
5.8. Niger: real income effects on households, simulation 4:
reduced public spending 165
5.9. Niger: real income effects on households, simulation 5:
increased taxes 167
5.10. Niger: real income effects on households, simulation 6:
increased public spending 168
5A.1. Niger: trade levels and parameters, 1987 (m FCFA) 177
5A.2. Niger: household budget shares, 1987 (%) 178
5A.3. Niger: effects of a terms of trade shock: simulation results, year 5 179
6.1. Ghana: cash flow of severance pay and salary savings for
redeployment program (m 1987 cedis) 188
6.2. Ghana: labor force participation status of redeployees and the
general population in three regions 190
6.3. Ghana: average monthly transition probabilities for redeployees 193
6.4. Ghana: logit function for probability of working after redeployment 194
6.5. Ghana: ordinary least square model of the difference between
earnings before and after redeployment 197
6.6. Ghana: expected change in earnings after redeployment, by location
and job status 198
6.7. Ghana: distribution of redeployees per capita household income
over GLSS per capita income deciles in three regions 199
7.1. Guinea: employment status in 1992 of individuals leaving a public
sector job between 1978 and 1990 (N= 189) 211
7.2. Guinea: labor force and work force participation rates in 1992 by
reason for departures from public sector 213
7.3. Guinea: household consumption quintiles in 1990 by reason for
leaving the public sector, and 1990 employment status (%) 214
7.4. Guinea: compensation for leaving the public sector, by reason of
departure, and 1992 employment status (%) 216
7.5. Guinea: multinomial logit—a model of type of compensation
received for individuals leaving the public sector 218
LIST OF TABLES xijj
7.6. Guinea: switching regression equation estimates (wage sector =1) 222
7.7. Guinea: earnings equations estimates from a switching regression
system of equations 223
7.8. Guinea: duration of unemployment, maximum likelihood
estimates with a weibull parameterizing, single and dual exit state
model 226
8.1. Ghana: central government revenues by source, 1977/78 1990
(proportions of GDP) 233
8.2. Ghana: actual government revenue for 1988 compared with
estimates from the GLSS 236
8.3. Ghana: cocoa yields by household per capita expenditure
deciles 238
8.4. Ghana: sources of revenue as a proportion of total revenue and
grants, 1977/78 1990 245
8.5. Ghana: sources of revenue as a proportion of total revenue, including
an adjustment for the implicit tax on cocoa exports arising from
exchange rate overvaluation, 1977/78 1990 247
8A. 1. Ghana: 1988 personal income tax schedules 250
8A.2. Ghana: consumption items covered in the Ghana Living Standard
Survey (GLSS) 250
8A.3. Ghana: information on outlier corrections in the sample 252
9.1. Madagascar: listing of SAM accounts 256
9.2. Madagascar: sectoral growth and investment, 1973 1990 257
9.3. Madagascar: multiplier decomposition under improved small farmer
technology 266
9.4. Madagascar: employment consequences of alternative growth
strategies 268
9.5. Madagascar: income distribution consequences of alternative growth
strategies 269
9.6. Madagascar: spatial implications of alternative growth strategies 270
9.7. Madagascar: direct impact on spatial distribution of income 271
9.8. Madagascar: indirect impact on spatial distribution of income 272
9A. 1. Madagascar: returns to investment in agriculture 274
10.1. Zaire: total output and formal/informal value added of production
activities, 1987 (m zaires) 282
10.2. Zaire: value added of production activities accruing to factors of
production, 1987 (m zaires) 284
10.3. Zaire: household incomes by source, and household characteristics,
1987 286
10.4. Zaire: value added fixed price and mixed multipliers for production
activities, 1987 292
xiv LIST OF TABLES
10.5. Zaire: output fixed price and mixed multipliers for production
activities, 1987 293
10.6. Zaire: most important paths of the impact on household incomes
of an exogenous injection into traditional agriculture, commerce,
private services, construction, or mining, 1987 (using unconstrained
fixed price multipliers Mc) 294
10.7a. Zaire: household per capita income multipliers for production
activities, 1987 (xlOm): unconstrained fixed price multipliers
(FPM) 295
10.76. Zaire: household per capita income multipliers for production
activities, 1987 (xlOm): mixed multipliers (MM); traditional
agriculture is supply constrained 297
10.8. Zaire: results of policy experiments with supply constraints in
traditional agriculture, 1987 (Base = 100) (% change) 301
11.1. Malawi: expenditures by household landholding quintile 319
11.2. Malawi: coefficient of Theil and MAPE (dynamic simulation) (%) 320
11.3. Malawi: counterfactual simulations 323
11.4. Malawi: functional distribution of income with respect to base
case 324
11.5. Malawi: nominal protection coefficients (NPCs) for tobacco and
groundnuts, 1980 1989 329
12.1. Mozambique: real exchange rate depreciation resulting from
reduced capital inflows 344
12.2. Mozambique: real exchange rate depreciation resulting from
reduced capital inflows (including income effects) 345
12.3. Mozambique: real exchange rate depreciation, rural recovery, and
food aid simulations 350
12.4. Mozambique: share of cardholder and all households consuming
commodities distributed through the NSA and the source of
products consumed (%) 354
12.5. Mozambique: poverty level and depth for alternative policy
simulations 358
12A.1. Mozambique: base data on supply and demand, 1991 363
12A.2. Mozambique: urban poor and rural demand elasticities 364
13.1. Guinea: consumption per capita of staple grains in Conakry,
1990/91 370
13.2. Guinea: daily per capita caloric intake by commodity group in
Conakry, by quintile (%) 372
13.3. Guinea: AIDS estimated income and own price elasticities of food
commodities in Conakry 377
13.4. Guinea: simulated sectoral effects of tariff increase (% changes) 380
13.5. Guinea: simulations of welfare effects on the urban poor 384
LIST OF TABLES xv
13.6. Guinea: summary effects of a 10% tariff on alternative food
commodities: Conakry 386
13A.1. Guinea: multi market baseline supply and demand, 1990/91 392
14.1. The Gambia: macroeconomic summary, 1975 1990 401
14.2. The Gambia: domestic and world prices for groundnuts,
1984 1990 403
14.3. The Gambia: value added and exports by sector, 1989/90 405
14.4. The Gambia: income shares, 1989/90 406
14.5. The Gambia: simulations 1 and 2—no adjustment (reduced
foreign aid) and reduced government spending (%) 409
14.6. The Gambia: simulations 3 6—effects of changes in groundnut
prices and policy (%) 412
14.7. The Gambia: simulations 7 and 8—changes in world rice prices and
import tariffs (%) 416
14.8. The Gambia: simulations 9 12 (%) 417
14.9. The Gambia: summary of simulation results 420
14.10. The Gambia: comparison of debt and development assistance 424
14A. 1. The Gambia: trade levels and parameters, 1989/90 (m dalasis) 431
14A.2. The Gambia: household budget shares, 1989/90 (%) 432
14A.3. The Gambia: base simulation results 433
15.1. Ghana: regressions indicating price trends of food prices,
1970 1993 443
15.2. Ghana: minimum wages in terms of kilograms of maize that could
be purchased with a day s wages in four regions 448
15.3. Ghana: test statistics for dynamic model of grain markets in
Bolgatanga 453
15.4. Ghana: indices of market connectedness and price transmittal 456
15.5. Ghana: measurements of real price variability 460
15.6. Ghana: results of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
(ARCH) model 462
FIGURES
1.1. Average annual GDP per capita growth, 1965 1985 4
1.2. Map depicting countries studied 7
3.1. Cameroon, 1976 1984 75
3.2. Base run, 1984/85 1989/90 80
5.1. Niger, government budget, 1976 1992 152
6.1. Proportion of Ghanaian redeployees recovering their employment
status, by months after redeployment 192
7.1. Cumulative rate of exits from unemployment in Guinea, by sector 225
8.1. Ghanaian government revenue and expenditures as a proportion of
GDP 232
8.2. Ghana: Lorenz curves for direct taxes 238
8.3. Ghana: Lorenz curve for all direct taxes combined and the sales tax 239
8.4. Ghana: Lorenz curve for non petroleum excise taxes 241
8.5. Ghana: Lorenz curves for petroleum excise taxes 242
8.6. Ghana: Lorenz curves for cocoa duties 244
8.7. Ghana: Lorenz curves for all taxes, 1977/78, 1981/82, 1987, 1990 248
9.1. Madagascar: graphic representation of multiplier effects 262
14.1. Groundnut producer prices, The Gambia and Senegal, 1984 1990 411
14.2. The Gambia: groundnut border prices, 1984 1990 413
15.1. Response to 100 percent devaluation in Ghana 446
15.2. Ghana: Impact on millet and sorghum prices of a 10 cedi increase
in the price of maize 455
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spelling | Economic reform and the poor in Africa ed. by David E. Sahn Oxford Clarendon Press 1996 XV, 488 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Geschichte 1975-1995 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftspolitik Foreign exchange administration -- Africa Fiscal policy -- Africa Agriculture and state -- Africa Income -- Africa Poor -- Africa Armut (DE-588)4002963-3 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd rswk-swf Afrika Africa -- Economic policy Subsaharisches Afrika (DE-588)4053770-5 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Subsaharisches Afrika (DE-588)4053770-5 g Armut (DE-588)4002963-3 s Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 s Geschichte 1975-1995 z DE-604 Sahn, David E. Sonstige oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=007467915&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Economic reform and the poor in Africa Wirtschaftspolitik Foreign exchange administration -- Africa Fiscal policy -- Africa Agriculture and state -- Africa Income -- Africa Poor -- Africa Armut (DE-588)4002963-3 gnd Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4002963-3 (DE-588)4066512-4 (DE-588)4053770-5 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
title | Economic reform and the poor in Africa |
title_auth | Economic reform and the poor in Africa |
title_exact_search | Economic reform and the poor in Africa |
title_full | Economic reform and the poor in Africa ed. by David E. Sahn |
title_fullStr | Economic reform and the poor in Africa ed. by David E. Sahn |
title_full_unstemmed | Economic reform and the poor in Africa ed. by David E. Sahn |
title_short | Economic reform and the poor in Africa |
title_sort | economic reform and the poor in africa |
topic | Wirtschaftspolitik Foreign exchange administration -- Africa Fiscal policy -- Africa Agriculture and state -- Africa Income -- Africa Poor -- Africa Armut (DE-588)4002963-3 gnd Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd |
topic_facet | Wirtschaftspolitik Foreign exchange administration -- Africa Fiscal policy -- Africa Agriculture and state -- Africa Income -- Africa Poor -- Africa Armut Wirtschaftsreform Afrika Africa -- Economic policy Subsaharisches Afrika Aufsatzsammlung |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=007467915&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT sahndavide economicreformandthepoorinafrica |