System dynamics modelling: a practical approach
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
London [u.a.]
Chapman & Hall
1996
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| Edition: | 1. ed. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XIV, 413 S. graph. Darst. 1 Diskette (9 cm) |
| ISBN: | 0412617102 |
Staff View
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Coyle, Robert G. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a System dynamics modelling |b a practical approach |c R. G. Coyle |
| 250 | |a 1. ed. | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a London [u.a.] |b Chapman & Hall |c 1996 | |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Contents
Foreword xi
Preface xiii
1 Introduction to system dynamics 1
System dynamics and management science 1
The paradigm of system dynamics 3
Positive and negative feedback 7
Definitions of system dynamics 9
A structured approach to system dynamics analysis 10
The process of system dynamics 13
System dynamics and top management 15
Summary 16
References 17
2 Influence diagrams 18
Introduction 18
An influence diagram for a central heating system 18
The conventions for influence diagrams 20
The central heating system revisited 22
A production management problem 24
The list extension method 31
The entity/state/transition method 33
The common modules method 36
Which is the right method to use? 39
Some general guidelines for drawing influence diagrams 40
Diagrams at a more aggregated level 40
The cone of influence diagrams 43
Limitations of influence diagrams 45
Level/rate diagrams 45
What is a good diagram? 47
Summary 47
3 Influence diagram case studies 48
Introduction 48
The purpose of a model 48
viii Contents
The consulting firm s problem 49
The pharmaceutical company s problem 57
A predator/prey system 62
A simple combat model 67
The decline of the Mayan civilization 73
Extending the case studies 74
Summary 81
References 83
4 Introduction to simulation 84
Fundamental ideas 84
The fundamental equations of system dynamics 86
Time shift and relabelling 89
The simulation process 90
A simulation example 91
Tests of confidence in a model 96
Representing delays in models 98
Smoothing of information 102
Policy experiments with the food model 106
Selecting a value for DT 109
The significance of DT 109
Summary 109
5 System dynamics modelling techniques 111
Introduction 111
TIME 112
A time dependent process the RAMP function 113
More time dependent processes the sine and cosine functions 114
Sudden changes the PULSE function 115
Intermittent information the SAMPLE function 116
Random effects the NOISE and NORMD functions 117
Logical operations the CLIP function 119
Limiting functions MAX and MIN 121
Non negativity constraints 123
Choosing a suitable delay function 124
Non linearities the TABLE function 130
Model mapping and documentation 136
The complex input pattern 137
Is that function really necessary? 138
Summary 138
6 Case studies in modelling 140
Introduction 140
The domestic manufacturing company (DMC) 140
The management consultant s problem 155
Contents ix
The simple combat model 169
The predator/prey model 180
The rules for time postscripts for variables 192
Summary 194
7 Policy experiments with system dynamics models 195
Introduction 195
Policy in system dynamics models 195
Experimentation versus design 196
Business process re engineering 197
The domestic manufacturing company 197
Pressure points in the combat model 222
Summary 231
8 Optimization in system dynamics 236
Introduction 236
The system response and the parameter plane 237
Hill climbing optimization 239
Overcoming the limitations of heuristic algorithms 241
The performance of a simple model 242
Formulating an objective function 243
The significance of the objective function 244
Optimization experiments 244
Simulation by repeated optimization 247
Summary 247
9 Optimization in practice 249
Introduction 249
The importance of experimentation before optimization 249
The DMC problem 250
Assessing the value of optimization 271
Constrained optimization 276
Optimization of the combat model 277
A matter of priorities 286
Maximum performance or minimum cost? 287
More complex objective functions 287
Factors in choosing an objective function 292
The significance of the objective function 293
Non linear optimization 294
Fitting models to data 295
Summary 296
10 Advanced modelling 297
11 The applications of system dynamics 306
X Contents
Introduction 306
Some system dynamics history 306
The New Zealand forestry industry 309
Developing Argentina s electricity capacity 315
Comparison of the New Zealand and Argentina cases 322
Qualitative system dynamics 323
An air traffic control system 323
The drugs problem 326
Business effectiveness the case of Universal Industries 330
A study of police force measures of performance 331
The collapse of a company 338
System dynamics applied to defence analysis 340
Summary 343
References 343
12 Summary and conclusion 346
Introduction 346
The essence of system dynamics 346
In what circumstances? 348
System dynamics in practice 350
Assessing the quality of a system dynamics model 353
Teaching system dynamics 355
Further reading 358
Definitions of system dynamics 359
Finally, on a personal note 359
References 360
Appendix A: System dynamics software packages 361
Introduction 361
Historical pedigree 361
Supplier summaries of the packages 363
Factors in selecting a package 366
Summary 371
Appendix B: System dynamics problems and solutions 374
Introduction 374
Problems 374
Solutions 381
Appendix C: COSMIC supporting documentation and software 404
Appendix D: Using the disk 407
Index 409
|
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| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T17:59:44Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0412617102 |
| language | English |
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| physical | XIV, 413 S. graph. Darst. 1 Diskette (9 cm) |
| publishDate | 1996 |
| publishDateSearch | 1996 |
| publishDateSort | 1996 |
| publisher | Chapman & Hall |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Coyle, Robert G. Verfasser aut System dynamics modelling a practical approach R. G. Coyle 1. ed. London [u.a.] Chapman & Hall 1996 XIV, 413 S. graph. Darst. 1 Diskette (9 cm) txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier System Dynamics (DE-588)4058802-6 gnd rswk-swf Management (DE-588)4037278-9 gnd rswk-swf Dynamisches System (DE-588)4013396-5 gnd rswk-swf Strategisches Management (DE-588)4124261-0 gnd rswk-swf Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Dynamisches System (DE-588)4013396-5 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s Strategisches Management (DE-588)4124261-0 s System Dynamics (DE-588)4058802-6 s Management (DE-588)4037278-9 s DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=007243560&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Coyle, Robert G. System dynamics modelling a practical approach System Dynamics (DE-588)4058802-6 gnd Management (DE-588)4037278-9 gnd Dynamisches System (DE-588)4013396-5 gnd Strategisches Management (DE-588)4124261-0 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4058802-6 (DE-588)4037278-9 (DE-588)4013396-5 (DE-588)4124261-0 (DE-588)4114528-8 |
| title | System dynamics modelling a practical approach |
| title_auth | System dynamics modelling a practical approach |
| title_exact_search | System dynamics modelling a practical approach |
| title_full | System dynamics modelling a practical approach R. G. Coyle |
| title_fullStr | System dynamics modelling a practical approach R. G. Coyle |
| title_full_unstemmed | System dynamics modelling a practical approach R. G. Coyle |
| title_short | System dynamics modelling |
| title_sort | system dynamics modelling a practical approach |
| title_sub | a practical approach |
| topic | System Dynamics (DE-588)4058802-6 gnd Management (DE-588)4037278-9 gnd Dynamisches System (DE-588)4013396-5 gnd Strategisches Management (DE-588)4124261-0 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | System Dynamics Management Dynamisches System Strategisches Management Mathematisches Modell |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=007243560&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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