Future climates of the world: a modelling perspective
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Amsterdam [u.a.]
Elsevier
1995
|
| Schriftenreihe: | World survey of climatology
16 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXV, 608 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 0444893229 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | WORLD SURVEY OF CLIMATOLOGY VOLUME 16 FUTURE CLIMATES OF THE WORLD: A
MODELLING PERSPECTIVE EDITED BY A. HENDERSON-SELLERS MACQUARIE
UNIVERSITY, SYDNEY (AUSTRALIA) 1995 ELSEVIER AMSTERDAM - LAUSANNE - NEW
YORK - OXFORD - SHANNON - TOKYO CONTENTS CHAPTER 1. CLIMATES OF THE
FUTURE BY A. HENDERSON-SELLERS WHY CONSIDER THE CLIMATE OF THE FUTURE? 1
FOCUS OF THIS BOOK 1 RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER REVIEWS OF THE FUTURE CLIMATE
2 EARTH S CLIMATE AND ITS FUTURE 4 MODELLING THE EARTH S CLIMATE 7
CLIMATES OF THE FUTURE 14 REFERENCES 17 I. GEOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVE ON
FUTURE CLIMATE CHAPTER 2. MODELLING THE RESPONSE OF THE CLIMATE SYSTEM
TO ASTRONOMICAL FORCING BY A. BERGER INTRODUCTION 21 CLIMATES OF THE
PAST 22 ASTRONOMICAL THEORY OF PALEOCLIMATES 25 PERTURBATIONS OF EARTH S
ORBITAL AND ROTATIONAL PARAMETERS 25 IMPACT ON SOLAR RADIATION 29
MILANKOVITCH THEORY 30 SNAPSHOT SIMULATIONS OF PAST CLIMATE 32
EQUILIBRIUM MODELS 32 THE LAST GLACIAL MAXIMUM (LGM) 34 CLIMATE SINCE
THE LGM 36 THE EEMIAN INTERGLACIAL 38 INITIATION OF THE LAST GLACIATION
39 CONCLUSIONS 39 SIMULATIONS OF TEMPORAL EVOLUTION OF CLIMATE 39
TRANSIENT RESPONSE OF A2-D CLIMATE MODEL TO ASTRONOMICAL FORCING 44
DESCRIPTION OF THE 2-D LLN MODEL 44 SIMULATION OF THE LAST 200 KA 46 THE
FEEDBACK MECHANISMS 50 ENTERING THE GLACIATION, 51*THE DEGLACIATION
PROCESS, 51 XIII CONTENTS THE CO2-WATER VAPOUR-ALBEDO FEEDBACK
MECHANISMS AT THE LGM 52 OTHER FEEDBACKS AND FUTURE WORK 54 FUTURE
CLIMATES UNDER ASTRONOMICAL FORCING 55 REFERENCES 59 CHAPTER 3. WARMER
WORLDS: GLOBAL CHANGE LESSONS FROM EARTH HISTORY BY E. J. BARRON
INTRODUCTION 71 CRETACEOUS WARMTH 72 THE CLIMATE RECORD 72 CRETACEOUS
CLIMATIC FORCING FACTORS 75 MODEL PREDICTIONS 75 COMPARISON OF
PREDICTIONS WITH OBSERVATIONS 79 IMPLICATIONS FOR THE PREDICTION OF
FUTURE CLIMATE 80 AN ALTERNATIVE WARM CLIMATE: AN EOCENE EXAMPLE 81 THE
CLIMATE RECORD 81 EOCENE CLIMATIC FORCING FACTORS 84 MODEL STUDIES 84
COMPARISON WITH OBSERVATIONS 86 IMPLICATIONS FOR THE PREDICTION OF
FUTURE CLIMATES 88 DISCUSSION OF IMPLICATIONS FOR FUTURE CLIMATE AND
CONCLUSIONS 89 REFERENCES 90 CHAPTERS CATASTROPHE: IMPACT OF COMETS AND
ASTEROIDS BY M. R. RAMPINO INTRODUCTION 95 THEORETICAL ESTIMATES OF
IMPACT-INDUCED CLIMATE CHANGE 97 GLOBAL DUST CLOUD 97 WATER VAPOUR IN
THE ATMOSPHERE 99 FORMATION OF NO AND ACID RAIN EFFECTS 100 GLOBAL
WILDFIRES 101 IMPACT INTO CARBONATES OR EVAPORITES 102 OTHER POSSIBLE
EFFECTS 102 CLIMATIC CHANGES FROM PERTURBATIONS OF BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES
IN THE AFTERMATH OF IMPACT-INDUCED EXTINCTIONS 102 OCEAN ALKALINITY
CRISIS AT THE K/T BOUNDARY? 104*PLANKTON EXTINCTION, DMS REDUC- TION AND
POSSIBLE CLIMATIC WARMING, 106 EVIDENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL PERTURBATIONS
AT THE K/T BOUNDARY 107 CARBON ISOTOPE AND CARBONATE CHANGES 107
OXYGEN-ISOTOPIC STUDIES AND PALEOTEMPERATURES 108 OXYGEN-ISOTOPIC
PALEOTEMPERATURE STUDIES AT THE K/T BOUNDARY 109 XIV CONTENTS
PALEOFLORAL, PALEOSOL AND OTHER ANALYSES, 111 CLIMATE CHANGE AT THE K/T
BOUNDARY: SUMMARY 112 OTHER GEOLOGICAL BOUNDARIES: CLIMATIC CHANGES AND
POSSIBLE ROLE OF IMPACTS 113 CLIMATIC CHANGES AT TIMES OF EXTINCTION
EVENTS 117 LATE PLIOCENE, 117*EOCENE-OLIGOCENE, 118*LATE TRIASSIC,
119*PERMIAN-TRIASSIC, 120*FRASNIAN-FAMENNIAN, 124*ORDOVICIAN-SILURIAN,
125*PRECAMBRIAN/CAMBRIAN, 126 IMPACT-INDUCED VOLCANISM? 127 CLIMATIC
CHANGES CAUSED BY FLOOD-BASALT ERUPTIONS 129 COOLING OF THE CLIMATE 129
GREENHOUSE EFFECT FROM VOLCANIC OUTGASSING 132 THE POSSIBLE ROLE OF
VOLCANISM IN MASS EXTINCTIONS..... 134 FUTURE CLIMATES? 135 REFERENCES
136 N. OBSERVATIONS OF CLIMATE AND FUTURE PROJECTION CHAPTER 5.
OBSERVATION S FROM THE SURFACE: PROJECTION FROM TRADITIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL OBSERVATIONS BY P. D. JONES INTRODUCTION 151 DEVELOPMENT
OF INSTRUMENTATION AND METEOROLOGICAL OBSERVATIONAL NETWORKS 151
HOMOGENEITY OF TEMPERATURE RECORDS 152 CHANGES IN INSTRUMENTATION,
EXPOSURE AND MEASURING TECHNIQUES, 153*CHANGES IN STATION LOCATIONS,
154*CHANGES IN OBSERVATION TIME AND THE METHODS USED TO CALCULATE
MONTHLY AVERAGES, 154*CHANGES IN THE STATION ENVIRONMENT,
155*PRECIPITATION AND PRESSURE HOMOGENEITY, 155*DATA HOMOGENISATION
TECHNIQUES, 156 WHAT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TELL US ABOUT THE LAST 140
YEARS 156 __ SURFACE TEMPERATURE 157 HEMISPFIERIC.AYERAGES, 157*SPATIAL
PATTERNS OF CHANGE, 159*DIURNAL TEMPERATURE CHANGE, 163 PRECIPITATION
164 PRESSURE 167 THE LAST 140 YEARS IN A LONGER TERM CONTEXT 168 UPPER
AIR DATA DURING THE LAST 40 YEARS 169 COMPARISONS OF LOWER TROPOSPHERIC
DATA SETS 170 COMPARISONS OF LOWER STRATOSPHERIC DATA SETS 171
EXPLANATIONS OF THE INSTRUMENTAL TEMPERATURE RECORD 172 INTERNAL FORCING
OF THE CLIMATE 173 EXTERNAL FORCING OF THE CLIMATE 175 PROJECTIONS TO
THE FUTURE 179 THE NEAR FUTURE ( 30 YEARS) 179 THE SECOND HALF OF THE
NEXT CENTURY 180 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 182 REFERENCES.: 182 XV CONTENTS
CHAPTER 6. CLIMATIC VARIABILITY ON DECADAL TO CENTURY TIME-SCALES BY H.
F. DIAZ AND G. N. KLLADIS INTRODUCTION 191 CLIMATE VARIATIONS IN THE
PAST 1,000 YEARS 193 THE MEDIEVAL WARM PERIOD 193 THE LITTLE ICE AGE 195
POSSIBLE CAUSES OF CLIMATIC VARIABILITY ON DECADAL TO CENTURY
TIME-SCALES 199 SOLAR VARIABILITY 199 VOLCANISM AND CLIMATE 205 EL NINO
AND THE SOUTHERN OSCILLATION 207 WHAT IS ENSO?, 208*MEAN CONDITIONS,
208*ENSO PERTURBATIONS, 210* TELECONNECTIONS, 214*PRECIPITATION,
214*TEMPERATURE, 220*ENSO VARIABILITY OVER TIME, 222*FUTURE CLIMATE
CHANGE AND ENSO, 224 OTHER SOURCES OF INTERNAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY 225
CLIMATES OF THE FUTURE 230 CHANGES FROM ANTHROPOGENIC SOURCES 230
REFERENCES 233 CHAPTER 7. SATELLITE SYSTEMS AND MODELS FOR FUTURE
CLIMATE CHANGE BY R. E. DICKINSON INTRODUCTION 245 RELATIONSHIP OF
SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS TO THE CLIMATE SYSTEM 245 SOME OF THE KEY
SATELLITES AND THEIR INSTRUMENTS 245 CURRENT CLIMATE MODELS:
LIMITATIONS, OUTSTANDING QUESTIONS AND SATELLITE PATHS TO IM- PROVEMENT
250 GLOBAL RADIATION BALANCE AND THE ROLE OF CLOUDS 252 SOLAR CONSTANT
252 RELATING GLOBAL TEMPERATURE TO GLOBAL RADIATIVE BALANCE 253 EARTH
RADIATION BUDGET SATELLITE MEASUREMENTS 254 SATELLITE CLOUD CLIMATOLOGY
255 CLOUD FEEDBACKS . 256 PRECIPITATION . 260 ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMIC AND
THERMODYNAMIC FIELDS 262 DATA ASSIMILATION ISSUES 263 I INCLUSION OF
DIABATIC PROCESSES 264 LAND SURFACE PROPERTIES FOR CLIMATE MODELS 264
RADIATIVE FORCING....J 265 LATENT HEAT ATMOSPHERIC FORCING 267 LAND
COVER PROPERTIES 269 SURFACE PARAMETERIZATIONS AND FIELD PROGRAMMES 270
OCEANS AND CRYOSPHERE ... 271 OCEANS 271 XVI CONTENTS CRYOSPHERE 272
SATELLITES AND FUTURE CLIMATE 274 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 275 REFERENCES 275
CHAPTER 8. DYNAMICS OF FUTURE CLIMATES BY B. J. MCAVANEY AND G. J.
HOLLAND INTRODUCTION 281 DIAGNOSTIC METHODS 282 DIAGNOSTIC MODELS 282
CLIMATE MODELS 282 CLIMATE ANALYSIS 283 LARGE-SCALE DYNAMICS 288
ATMOSPHERIC WAVES 288 WAVE GENERATION 289 BAROTROPIC AND BAROCLINIC
INSTABILITY, 289*MOUNTAIN TORQUES, 290*DIABATIC HEATING, 290 ENERGETIC
CONSTRAINTS ON THE GENERAL CIRCULATION 291 ANGULAR MOMENTUM,
291*THERMODYNAMIC ENERGY, 293*WATER VAPOUR, 296 LARGE SCALE INTERACTIONS
297 REGIONAL-SCALE INTERACTIONS 300 STORM TRACKS 302 SUMMER MONSOON
CIRCULATION IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC 304 FUTURE CLIMATE DYNAMICS 306
REFERENCES 310 III. HUMAN FACTORS AFFECTING FUTURE CLIMATE CHAPTER 9.
THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT OF TRACE GASES BY W.-C. WANG, M. P. DUDEK AND
X.-Z. LIANG INTRODUCTION 317 THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT 317 RADIATIVE FORCING
320 APPROACHES FOR STUDYING CLIMATE CHANGE 320 UNIFORMLY MIXED GASES
322 EMISSION AND CONCENTRATION OF RECENT YEARS 322 FUTURE ATMOSPHERIC
CONCENTRATIONS 323 EMISSION SCENARIOS, 323*CONCENTRATION LEVEL, 324
CLIMATIC EFFECTS 325 EQUILIBRIUM EXPERIMENT, 327*TRANSIENT RESPONSE
EXPERIMENTS, 331 ATMOSPHERIC OZONE 334 STRATOSPHERIC OZONE DEPLETION,
335*TROPOSPHERIC OZONE, 338 XVII CONTENTS FUTURE CLIMATES 342
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 344 REFERENCES 344 CHAPTER 10. CLIMATIC EFFECTS OF
CHANGING ATMOSPHERIC AEROSOL LEVELS BY M. O. ANDREAE INTRODUCTION 347
AEROSOL SOURCES 349 SOIL DUST, 349*SEA-SALT, 351*VOLCANIC AEROSOLS,
351*INDUSTRIAL DUST, 353*BLACK CARBON, 353*BIOMASS BURNING, 353*ORGANIC
PARTICLES, 355*NITRATE AEROSOLS, 356* SULPHATE AEROSOLS, 357 CLIMATIC
EFFECTS 358 DIRECT RADIATIVE EFFECTS 359 THE EFFECT OF PARTICLE SIZE,
360*GLOBAL-MEAN RADIATIVE FORCING PERTURBATION BY DIRECT EFFECT,
361*RELATIVE IMPORTANCE OF AEROSOL SOURCES, 363*WARMING EFFECTS
RESULTING FROM ABSORPTION OF RADIATION BY AEROSOLS, 365*MODELLING THE
DIRECT RADIATIVE EFFECT OF AEROSOLS, 368 INDIRECT EFFECTS THROUGH
PERTURBATION OF CLOUD PROPERTIES 369 ESTIMATING INDIRECT RADIATIVE
FORCING, 374*ESTIMATE OF TOTAL (DIRECT PLUS CLOUD) AN- THROPOGENIC
CLIMATE FORCING BY AEROSOLS, 378 EVIDENCE FOR THE CLIMATIC IMPACT OF
ANTHROPOGENIC AEROSOLS 379 AEROSOL TRENDS, 379*HEMISPHERIC ASYMMETRY OF
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE CHANGE, 382* REDUCED DIURNAL TEMPERATURE VARIATION,
384 THE EFFECT OF ATMOSPHERIC AEROSOLS ON FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS 384
REFERENCES 389 CHAPTER 11. OZONE DEPLETION BY G. P. BRASSEUR, J. C.
GLLLE AND S. MADRONICH , INTRODUCTION /.. 399 OZONE PHOTOCHEMISTRY /..
400 OZONE IN THE POLAR REGIONS C.. 406 OZONE OBSERVATIONS .. 408 TOTAL
COLUMN OZONE ( 408 VERTICAL OZONE DISTRIBUTION I. 410 OZONE DEPLETION
.: 412 OZONE CHANGES AND THE CLIMATE SYSTEM .... 418 INCREASES IN
ULTRAVIOLET RADIATION DUE TO OZONE DEPLETION . ... 420 POLICY STRATEGIES
TO PROTECT THE OZONE LAYER ^...^^ 425 ISSUES FOR RESEARCH PERTAINING TO
FUTURE CLIMATES 428 IMPROVED OBSERVATION AND UNDERSTANDING OF OZONE
DEPLETION 428 IMPROVED ASSESSMENT OF THE EFFECTS OF OZONE DEPLETION 429
CONCLUSION 429 XVIII CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 429 REFERENCES 430
CHAPTER 12. HUMAN EFFECTS ON CLIMATE THROUGH THE LARGE-SCALE IMPACTS OF
LAND-USE CHANGE BY A. HENDERSON-SELLERS INTRODUCTION 433 PEOPLE AND
LAND-USE CHANGE 433 CLIMATIC SENSITIVITY TO LAND-COVER 435 HUMAN-INDUCED
LAND-USE CHANGE 438 AGRICULTURE AND ENGINEERING 438 SOIL EROSION AND
LAND DEGRADATION 440 DESERTIFICATION 441 DEFORESTATION 441 LAND-COVER
CHANGE INFLUENCES ON CLIMATE 446 LAND-COVER CHANGES AND GLOBAL CLIMATE
446 GREENHOUSE GASES, 446*ATMOSPHERIC AEROSOLS, 451*SURFACE ALBEDO, 452
LOCAL LAND-COVER FACTORS IMPLICATED IN CLIMATIC DISTURBANCE 452 ALBEDO,
453*ROUGHNESS LENGTH, 454 REGIONAL-SCALE IMPACTS OF LAND-COVER CHANGE ON
CLIMATE 456 MODEL STUDIES OF DESERTIFICATION 456 MODEL STUDIES OF
TROPICAL DEFORESTATION 459 FUTURE LAND-USE CHANGE AND FUTURE CLIMATE 464
FUTURE GREENHOUSE GAS RELEASES: THE CASE OF TROPICAL DEFORESTATION 464
LAND-COVER AS AN INTERACTIVE COMPONENT OF THE FUTURE CLIMATE 465 FUTURE
CLIMATES 467 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 468 REFERENCES 468 CHAPTER 13. URBAN
CLIMATES BY H. CLEUGH INTRODUCTION 477 OVERVIEW 477 FUTURE CITIES 480
METHODOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS 481 SCALES, 482*NATURE OF THE URBAN
SURFACE, 483 URBAN CLIMATE PROCESSES 485 RADIATIVE EFFECTS 485 SURFACE
ENERGY BALANCE IN CITIES 489 AIRFLOW 494 CURRENT AND FUTURE URBAN
CLIMATES 497 XIX CONTENTS TEMPERATURE 497 HUMIDITY 502 THE UBL CLIMATE
503 PRECIPITATION 503 FUTURE URBAN CLIMATES 505 REFERENCES 509 IV.
GEOPHYSIOLOGY AND FUTURE CLIMATES CHAPTER 14. FUTURE CLIMATE SURPRISES
T.-H. PENG INTRODUCTION 517 CHANGES IN CLIMATE AND OCEAN CIRCULATION IN
THE PAST 518 ATMOSPHERIC CO2 VARIATIONS IN THE PAST 524 CAUSES OF
GLACIAL-TO-INTERGLACIAL CHANGE IN ATMOSPHERIC CO2 525 ROLE OF OCEAN
CONVEYOR CIRCULATION 528 FUTURE SURPRISES 531 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 533
REFERENCES 533 CHAPTER 15. THE GEOPHYSIOLOGY OF CLIMATE L. R. KUMP AND
J. E. LOVELOCK INTRODUCTION 537 CLIMATE REGULATION 538 GREENHOUSE GASES
AND THE BIOTA 538 THE BIOTA AND PLANETARY ALBEDO 539 GEOPHYSIOLOGY OF
PALEOCLIMATE 541 ARCHEAN/EARLY PROTEROZOIC CLIMATE 542 QUATERNARY
CLIMATES 544 POSITIVE FEEDBACK AND CLIMATE REGULATION, 546*NEGATIVE
CLIMATE FEEDBACK IN THE CAR- BONATE-SILICATE CYCLE, 547 GEOPHYSIOLOGY OF
FUTURE CLIMATES 549 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 551 REFERENCES 551 REFERENCES INDEX
, 555 GEOGRAPHICAL INDEX 603 SUBJECT INDEX 605 XX
|
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| oclc_num | 32969525 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 DE-20 DE-384 DE-703 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-20 DE-384 DE-703 |
| physical | XXV, 608 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| publishDate | 1995 |
| publishDateSearch | 1995 |
| publishDateSort | 1995 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | marc |
| series | World survey of climatology |
| series2 | World survey of climatology |
| spelling | Future climates of the world a modelling perspective ed. by A. Henderson-Sellers Amsterdam [u.a.] Elsevier 1995 XXV, 608 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier World survey of climatology 16 Climat - Changements - Prévision Climatologie - Modèles mathématiques Klimaatveranderingen gtt Mathematisches Modell Climatology Mathematical models Anthropogene Klimaänderung (DE-588)4290733-0 gnd rswk-swf Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 s DE-604 Anthropogene Klimaänderung (DE-588)4290733-0 s Henderson-Sellers, Ann 1952- Sonstige (DE-588)1061112497 oth World survey of climatology 16 (DE-604)BV000010864 16 HEBIS Datenaustausch Mainz application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=007220128&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Future climates of the world a modelling perspective World survey of climatology Climat - Changements - Prévision Climatologie - Modèles mathématiques Klimaatveranderingen gtt Mathematisches Modell Climatology Mathematical models Anthropogene Klimaänderung (DE-588)4290733-0 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4290733-0 (DE-588)4164199-1 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | Future climates of the world a modelling perspective |
| title_auth | Future climates of the world a modelling perspective |
| title_exact_search | Future climates of the world a modelling perspective |
| title_full | Future climates of the world a modelling perspective ed. by A. Henderson-Sellers |
| title_fullStr | Future climates of the world a modelling perspective ed. by A. Henderson-Sellers |
| title_full_unstemmed | Future climates of the world a modelling perspective ed. by A. Henderson-Sellers |
| title_short | Future climates of the world |
| title_sort | future climates of the world a modelling perspective |
| title_sub | a modelling perspective |
| topic | Climat - Changements - Prévision Climatologie - Modèles mathématiques Klimaatveranderingen gtt Mathematisches Modell Climatology Mathematical models Anthropogene Klimaänderung (DE-588)4290733-0 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Climat - Changements - Prévision Climatologie - Modèles mathématiques Klimaatveranderingen Mathematisches Modell Climatology Mathematical models Anthropogene Klimaänderung Klimaänderung Aufsatzsammlung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=007220128&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV000010864 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT hendersonsellersann futureclimatesoftheworldamodellingperspective |