Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries: the case of Turkey
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Wien
Manz
1995
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Ludwig-Boltzmann-Institut zur Analyse Wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten <Wien>: Schriftenreihe des Ludwig-Boltzmann-Instituts zur Analyse wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten
12 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 215 S. |
| ISBN: | 3214070029 |
Internformat
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| 490 | 1 | |a Ludwig-Boltzmann-Institut zur Analyse Wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten <Wien>: Schriftenreihe des Ludwig-Boltzmann-Instituts zur Analyse wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten |v 12 | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text |
CONTENTS 5
CONTENTS
List of Abbreviations 8
List of Figures 10
List of Tables 12
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION 13
CHAPTER 2
"OPTIMAL" MACROECONOMIC POLICY MAKING
FOR DEVELOPMENT PLANNING 20
2.1 Is Development Planning (Still) Needed? 21
2.2 Macroeconomic Policy Making 26
2.3 "Optimal" Macroeconomic Policy Making 28
2.3.1 Macroeconometric Models 29
2.3.2 Early Optimization Studies 36
2.3.3 Optimal Control Theory 38
2.3.4 Interactive Multicriteria Decision Making Approach 41
2.4 A Decision Support System for Optimal Development Planning 45
CHAPTER 3
THE TURKISH ECONOMY: AN OVERVIEW 49
3.1 The Pattern of Development 50
3.2 Foreign Trade 55
3.3 Employment, Wages and Income Distribution 58
3.4 Investment 60
3.5 Government 61
3.6 Financial Markets 63
3.7 The Sixth Five Year Development Plan 66
6 CONTENTS i
CHAPTER 4
A SMALL SCALE MACROECONOMETRIC MODEL
FOR THE TURKISH ECONOMY: 1970 1989 68
4.1 Modeling Strategy 69
4.2 Simulation 74
4.3 Formation of Expectations 78 j
4.4 Comparison of the Model with Some Other Models of the
Turkish Economy 80 j
4.5 A Macroeconometric model for Turkey 82
4.5.1 Real Domestic Output (GNPR) 88
4.5.2 Real Private Consumption (PCER) 89
4.5.2.1 Real Private Disposable Income (YDISR) 92
4.5.3 Real Gross Fixed Capital Formation (IR) 93
4.5.4 Foreign Trade 96
4.5.4.1 Real Exports of Goods and Services (EXPR) 97
4.5.4.2 Real Imports of Goods and Services (IMPR) 99
4.5.5 Money Demand (Ml) 101
4.5.6 Net and Gross GNP Deflators (DPNET and DGNP) 103
4.5.7 Direct Taxes (DTAX) and Government Revenues (PUPREV) 106
4.5.8 Labor Market 109
4.5.8.1 Civilian Labor Force (CLF) 109
4.5.8.2 Civilian Employment (CEMP) 1"
4.5.8.3 Wage Rate (WAGES) 112
4.5.8.4 Unemployment Rate (U) H4
4.6 Diagnostic Statistics and Forecast Accuracy Tests 115
4.7 Multiplier Analysis "9
4.8 Forecasts for the SFYDP Period (1990 1994) 126
CONTENTS 7
CHAPTER 5
OPTIMAL MACROECONOMIC POLICIES FOR
THE SIXTH FIVE YEAR DEVELOPMENT PLAN (1990 1994):
A STOCHASTIC CONTROL APPROACH 127
5.1 The Optimization Methodology 128
5.1.1 The Stochastic Control Algorithm OPTCON 129
5.2 Setup of the Optimum Control Experiments 131
5.3 Optimal Macroeconomic Policies under Certainty 135
5.4 Optimal Macroeconomic Policies under Uncertainty 139
CHAPTER 6
OPTIMAL MACROECONOMIC POLICIES FOR
THE SIXTH FIVE YEAR DEVELOPMENT PLAN (1990 1994):
A MULTICRITERIA DECISION MAKING APPROACH 145
6.1 Interactive Economic Policy Formulation with MCDM Methods 146
6.2 The Reference Point Approach 147
6.3 Setup of the Optimization Experiments with DIDAS 150
6.4 Results of the Multicriteria Optimization Experiments for the SFYDP 156
CHAPTER 7
SUMMARY AND CONCLUDING REMARKS 160
7.1 Comparative Evaluations of the Results 162
7.2 Final Remarks 180
APPENDIX A
VARIABLES, DATA AND SIMULATION RESULTS 182
A.I Descriptions and Sources of Data 183
A.2 The Data 184
A.3 Simulation Results 190
References 199 |
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| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
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| geographic | Türkei (DE-588)4061163-2 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Türkei |
| id | DE-604.BV010432049 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-08-31T01:59:05Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 3214070029 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-006951807 |
| oclc_num | 231650358 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-521 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-521 |
| physical | 215 S. |
| publishDate | 1995 |
| publishDateSearch | 1995 |
| publishDateSort | 1995 |
| publisher | Manz |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Ludwig-Boltzmann-Institut zur Analyse Wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten <Wien>: Schriftenreihe des Ludwig-Boltzmann-Instituts zur Analyse wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten |
| series2 | Ludwig-Boltzmann-Institut zur Analyse Wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten <Wien>: Schriftenreihe des Ludwig-Boltzmann-Instituts zur Analyse wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten |
| spelling | Karbuz, Sohbet Verfasser aut Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries the case of Turkey von Sohbet Karbuz Wien Manz 1995 215 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Ludwig-Boltzmann-Institut zur Analyse Wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten <Wien>: Schriftenreihe des Ludwig-Boltzmann-Instituts zur Analyse wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten 12 Entwicklungsplanung (DE-588)4070873-1 gnd rswk-swf Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsplanung (DE-588)4066491-0 gnd rswk-swf Türkei (DE-588)4061163-2 gnd rswk-swf Türkei (DE-588)4061163-2 g Wirtschaftsplanung (DE-588)4066491-0 s Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 s DE-604 Entwicklungsplanung (DE-588)4070873-1 s Ludwig-Boltzmann-Institut zur Analyse Wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten <Wien>: Schriftenreihe des Ludwig-Boltzmann-Instituts zur Analyse wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten 12 (DE-604)BV008344483 12 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006951807&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Karbuz, Sohbet Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries the case of Turkey Ludwig-Boltzmann-Institut zur Analyse Wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten <Wien>: Schriftenreihe des Ludwig-Boltzmann-Instituts zur Analyse wirtschaftspolitischer Aktivitäten Entwicklungsplanung (DE-588)4070873-1 gnd Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 gnd Wirtschaftsplanung (DE-588)4066491-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4070873-1 (DE-588)4074486-3 (DE-588)4066491-0 (DE-588)4061163-2 |
| title | Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries the case of Turkey |
| title_auth | Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries the case of Turkey |
| title_exact_search | Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries the case of Turkey |
| title_full | Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries the case of Turkey von Sohbet Karbuz |
| title_fullStr | Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries the case of Turkey von Sohbet Karbuz |
| title_full_unstemmed | Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries the case of Turkey von Sohbet Karbuz |
| title_short | Macroeconomic decision support for developing countries |
| title_sort | macroeconomic decision support for developing countries the case of turkey |
| title_sub | the case of Turkey |
| topic | Entwicklungsplanung (DE-588)4070873-1 gnd Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 gnd Wirtschaftsplanung (DE-588)4066491-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Entwicklungsplanung Makroökonomisches Modell Wirtschaftsplanung Türkei |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006951807&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV008344483 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT karbuzsohbet macroeconomicdecisionsupportfordevelopingcountriesthecaseofturkey |