New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East: an empirical analysis
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | German |
| Veröffentlicht: |
München [u.a.]
Weltforum-Verl.
1995
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Ifo-Forschungsberichte der Abteilung Entwicklungsländer
85 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XII, 297 S. Kt. |
| ISBN: | 3803904382 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East |b an empirical analysis |c by Axel J. Halbach |
| 264 | 1 | |a München [u.a.] |b Weltforum-Verl. |c 1995 | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | CONTENTS
Page
I. INTRODUCTION 1
II. ECONOMIC SITUATION, TRENDS AND PROBLEMS 4
1. Israel 4
1.1 Macroeconomic Overview 4
1.2 Regional structure of external trade 8
1.3 Barriers to trade 10
2. West Bank and Gaza (WBG) 12
2.1 Macroeconomic overview 12
2.2 Regional structure of external trade 17
2.3 Barriers to trade 18
3. Jordan 19
3.1 Macroeconomic overview 19
3.2 Regional structure of external trade 23
3.3 Barriers to trade 25
4. Egypt = 27
4.1 Macroeconomic overview 27
4.2 Regional structure of external trade 32
4.3 Barriers to trade 33
5. Syria 35
5.1 Macroeconomic overview 35
5.2 Physical and regional structure of external trade 40
5.3 Barriers to trade 43
6. Lebanon 44
6.1 Macroeconomic overview 44
6 2 Regional structure and product composition of external
trade JJ
6.3 Barriers to trade 7. Regional overview and summary 50
III REGIONAL COOPERATION AGREEMENTS AND
INTENTIONS 57
1. Israel 57
1.1 Trade agreements at government level 57
1.1.1 Trade agreement with the European Union 57
1.1.2 Trade agreements and negotiations with Arab/Islamic/
other countries 63
1.2 Trade related public and private projects and cooperation
intentions 2. West Bank and Gaza (WBG) 68
2.1 Trade agreements at government level 68
2.1.1 Trade agreement with Israel ®^
2.1.2 Trade agreement with Jordan
2.1.3 Trade agreements with Egypt and other Arab/Islamic states 72
2.1.4 Cooperation of the EU with the WBG 73
2.2 Other trade relevant public and private investment projects
and cooperation intentions 7°
3. Jordan 77
3.1 Trade agreements at government level 77
3.1.1 Trade agreement with the Palestinian National Authority
(PNA) 7l
3.1.2 Trade agreement with Israel °
3.1.3 Trade agreement with the European Union (EU) 79
3.2 Other trade relevant public and private investment projects
and intentions 8
Page
4. Egypt 83
4.1 Trade agreements at government level 83
4.1.1 Trade agreement with the European Union 84
4.1.2 Trade agreement with Israel 85
4.2 Other trade relevant ppublic and private investment projects
and intentions 86
5. Syria 89
5.1 Trade agreements at government level 89
5.2 Trade related public and private projects and cooperation
intentions 91
6. Lebanon 92
6.1 Trade agreements at government level 92
6.1.1 Trade agreement with the European Union 92
6.1.2 Trade agreements with Arab and other states 93
6.2 Trade related public and private projects and cooperation
intentions 94
7. Regional Overview and Summary 95
7.1 Trade agreements with the European Union 95
7.2 Trade agreements within the Middle East region 99
7.3 Trade agreements of the Middle East with the rest of
the world 100
7.4 Public and private regional cooperation 100
IV. PROSPECTS OF ECONOMIC COOPERATION IN THE
MIDDLE EAST: A PALESTINIAN PERSPECTIVE 102
1. The resource base 102
2. Macroeconomic indicators 104
3. Present trade structure 105
4. Composition of external trade 106
5. Commodity trade, by trading partner 107
6. Restrictions and constraints 108
IV
Page
6.1 Restrictions and obstacles relating to Israel 109
6.2 Restrictions relating to the Jordanian side 111
7. Developments following the Paris Economic Accord 112
8. Palestinian Israeli Economic Relations one year after
the Paris Accord 113
9. Cooperation prospects An overall assessment 116
9.1 Prospects of cooperation with Israel 116
9.2 Economic orientation towards the Arab countries 117
10. Economic relations and trade with Europe 118
11. Joint ventures prospects and obstacles 119
12. Investment in peace a look at the record 122
V. EXPORT GROWTH POTENTIALS ARISING FROM
REGIONAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION 125
1 • Alternatives for regional integration 125
1 1 Regional integration an introduction 125
1 2 The option of different trade regimes 127
1.2.1 General considerations 127
1.2.2 Economic cooperation of Israel, the WBG, and Jordan ... 128
2. Alternative assessments of export growth potentials 131
2.1 General remarks 131
2.2 Revealed comparative advantages and future export
potentials 133
I ll Ihe RCA lndex as indicator for competitiveness 133
^•2 2 Calculation of the historically revealed comparative
advantages 135
2.2.3 Product groups with regional export potentials for individual countries 151
2.2.4 Product groups with potential regional export competition 154
2 3 The regional trade potential a statistical analysis 156
23.1 Present structure of regional trade 156
V
Page
2.3.1.1 Israel and the region 156
2.3.1.2 Egypt s trade relations with the Middle East 157
2.3.1.3 Jordan s trade relations with the Middle East 163
2.3.1.4 Syria s trade relations with the Middle East 168
2.3.1.5 Lebanon s trade relations with the Middle East 172
2.3.2 Perspectives of regional trade 174
2.3.2.1 Trade among Egypt, Jordan, Syria and Lebanon 176
2.3.2.2 Regional trade potential including Israel 178
2.3.2.2.1 Regional export potential of Israel 179
2.3.2.2.2 Regional import potential of Israel 183
2.3.2.2.3 Summary 186
2.4 Results of two Israeli studies 187
2.4.1 Methodological considerations 187
2.4.2 Categories of New Trade induced by regional trade
liberalization 187
2.4.3 Calculations of the Central Bank of Israel 189
2.5 Local assessments and expectations of regional trade
patterns 193
2.5.1 Israel and the WBG 193
2.5.2 The WBG and Jordan 194
2.5.3 Israel and Jordan 195
2.5.4 Jordan and the region 197
2.5.5 Israel and Egypt 198
2.5.6 Israel, Syria and Lebanon 200
2.6 Overall summary and critical assessment 201
VI. EXTRA REGIONAL EXPORT POTENTIALS
THE EUROPEAN UNION AND THE GCC 208
1. Trade with the European Union (EU) 208
1.1 Level and development of commodity trade between the
EU and the Middle East 208
1.2 Structure of EU exports to the Middle East 209
VI
Page
1.2.1 Export structure according to commodity groups 209
1.2.2 Regional structure of exports 211
1.2.3 Main EU exports to the Middle East 212
1.3 Structure of EU imports from the Middle East 213
1.3.1 Import structure according to commodity groups 213
1.3.2 Regional structure of EU imports 215
1.3.3 Main EU imports from the Middle East 216
1.4 Growing and declining Middle Eastern export flows
in trade with the EU 217
1.5 Summary 220
2. Trade expansion potentials with the GCC 221
2.1 Egypt and the GCC 221
2.2 Jordan and the GCC 225
2.3 Syria and the GCC 229
2.4 Lebanon and the GCC 230
2.5 Egypt, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon and the Gulf a summary . 235
2.6 Israel and the Gulf 236
3. Summary 240
VII. GERMAN COOPERATION WITH THE MIDDLE EAST
PRESENT LEVEL AND INTENTIONS 241
1 ¦ The business survey of the ifo Institute 241
2. Assessment of data of the IHK Informationsgesellschaft . . 246
3. The ifo Institute telephone survey 250
VIII. LONG TERM PERSPECTIVES: THE CHANCE OF
INTRAREGIONAL SPECIALIZATION COPYING
THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT SCHEME? 255
IX. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 260
ANNEX TABLES 269
SELECTED LITERATURE 291
VII
Page
LIST OF TABLES
Chapter II: Economic Situation, Trends and Problems
11.1 Population Indicators (Israel) 4
11.2 Gross Domestic Product: Development and Structure (Israel) . . 5
11.3 Development of External Trade (Israel) 6
11.4 Regional Structure of External Trade (Israel) 9
11.5 Population Indicators (WBG) 12
11.6 Gross Domestic Product: Development and Structure (WBG) . . 13
11.7 Development of External Trade (WBG) 15
11.8 Regional Structure of External Trade (WBG) 17
11.9 Population Indicators (Jordan) 20
11.10 Gross Domestic Product: Development and Structure (Jordan) 21
11.11 Development of External Trade (Jordan) 22
11.12 Regional Structure of External Trade (Jordan) 24
11.13 Population Indicators (Egypt) 28
11.14 Gross Domestic Product: Development and Structure (Egypt) . 29
11.15 Development of External Trade (Egypt) 31
11.16 Regional Structure of External Trade (Egypt) 33
11.17 Population Indicators (Syria) 36
11.18 Gross Domestic Product: Development and Structure (Syria) . . 39
11.19 Development of External Trade (Syria) 40
VIII
Page
11.20 Regional Structure of External Trade (Syria) 42
11.21 Population Indicators (Lebanon) 44
11.22 Gross Domestic Product: Development and Structure (Lebanon) 45
11.23 Development of External Trade (Lebanon) 47
11.24 Regional Structure of External Trade (Lebanon) 49
11.25 The Middle East in Economic Comparison 51
Chapter III: Regional Cooperation Agreements and Intentions
111.1 Present EU import quotas for fresh and processed agricultural
products from Israel, actual exports of Israel to the EU and
requests for improvement 60
111.2 Other requests of Israel of fresh and processed agricultural
products and fish products not yet covered by the agreement . 61
111.3 Bilateral Trade EU Israel 62
111.4 Quotas on agricultural produce traded between the WBG
and Israel 70
111.5 EU import quotas of agricultural products from the WBG 73
111.6 Bilateral trade EU Jordan 80
111.7 Bilateral trade EU Egypt 85
111.8 Development of Israel Egypt trade 1990 94 86
111.9 Bilateral trade EU Syria 90
111.10 Bilateral trade EU Lebanon 92
111.11 Trade Agreements Middle East/Rest of World 98
IX
Page
Chapter IV: Prospects of Economic Cooperation in the Middle East
a Palestinian Perspective
IV. 1 Basic resource indicators (1993) 103
IV.2 Comparative macroeconomic indicators 1993 104
IV.3 Palestinian foreign trade 106
IV.4 Composition of exports by major sector (average 1980 86) . 107
IV.5 External trade by trading partner 108
Chapter V: Export Growth Potentials Arising From Regional Trade
Liberalization
V.1 Revealed comparative advantages 137
V.2 Product groups for which the competitive advantage has
improved/deteriorated during 1984 to 1993 145
V.3 Product groups for which export potentials into the region
are most evident 153
V.4 Product groups with potential regional competition 155
V.5 Regional trade of Israel 1993 158
V.6 External trade of Egypt with the Middle East 159
V.7 Egypt s trade relations with the Middle East, 1990 and 1993 . 160
V.8 External trade of Jordan with the Middle East 164
V.9 Jordan s trade relations with the Middle East, 1990 and 1993 . 165
V.10 External trade of Syria with the Middle East 169
V.11 Syria s trade relations with the Middle East, 1989 and 1992 .. 170
V.12 External trade of Lebanon with the Middle East 173
X
Page
V.13 Lebanon s trade relations with the Middle East, 1990 and 1993 175
V.14 Medium term regional export potential of Israel 182
V.15 Medium term regional import potential of Israel 186
V.16 Forecast of annual bilateral trade flows 192
V.17 Product groups with regional trade potential 202
V.18 Assessments of the regional export potential of Israel 205
V.19 Assessments of the regional import potential of Israel 206
Chapter VI: Extra Regional Export Potentials The European Union
and the GCC
VI. 1 Trade of the EU with the Middle East region, 1990 1993. ... 209
VI.2 Exports of the EU to the Middle East region, by commodity
groups, 1990 1993 210
VI.3 Exports of the EU to the Middle East region, by country of
destination, 1990 1993 211
VI.4 Important commodities, exports of the EU to the Middle East
region, 1993 212
VI.5 Imports of the EU from the Middle East region, by commodity
groups, 1990 1993 214
VI.6 Imports of the EU from Israel, Syria and Egypt, by commodity
groups, 1993 215
VI.7 Imports of the EU, by country of origin, 1990 1993 215
VI.8 Important commodities, imports of the EU from the Middle
East region, 1993 216
VI.9 Changes of exports of the Middle East region to the EU
(1993 versus 1990), by country and important commodity
groups 218
Al
Page
VI.10 Fruit imports of the EU from Israel, 1990 1993 219
VI.11 External trade Egypt GCC: exports 223
VI.12 External trade Egypt GCC: imports 224
VI.13 External trade Jordan GCC: exports 226
VI.14 External trade Jordan GCC: imports 228
VI.15 External trade Syria GCC: exports 231
VI.16 External trade Syria GCC: imports 232
VI.17 External trade Lebanon GCC: exports 234
VI.18 Export potential of Israel to the GCC 239
Chapter VII: German Cooperation with the Middle East Present
Level and Intentions
VII. 1 German firms co operating with the Middle East region, by
industrial group and sector 243
VII.2 German firms co operating with the Middle East region, by
plant size 243
VII.3 German firms co operating with the Middle East region, by
type of cooperation 244
VII.4 German firms co operating with the Middle East region, by
host country 245
VII.5 German firms co operating with the Middle East region, by
industrial sector 247
VII.6 German firms co operating with the Middle East region, by
type of cooperation 249
VII.7 German industrial firms planning economic co operation with
the Middle East region, by industrial sector 251
XII
Page
VII.8 German industrial firms planning economic co operation with
the Middle East region, by country 252
VII.9 German industrial firms planning economic co operation with
the Middle East region, by type of cooperation 253
Chapter VIII: Long term Perspectives: The Chance of Intraregional
Specialization
VIII. 1 Comparative advantages and industrial development 256
Annex Tables
A 1 Historical revealed comparative advantages (arithmetic
averages) and export volumes in comparison 270
A 2 Potential exports of Israel towards its neighbours 275
A 3 Potential imports of Israel from its neighbours 279
A 4 Exports of the EU to the Middle East region, by country of
destination and commodity group, 1993 283
A 5 Imports of the EU from the Middle East region, by country
of destination and commodity group, 1993 285
A 6 Potential exports of Israel to the GCC countries 287
|
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| author | Halbach, Axel J. 1934- |
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| dewey-tens | 380 - Commerce, communications, transportation |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| era | Geschichte 1990-1994 gnd |
| era_facet | Geschichte 1990-1994 |
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| geographic | Middle East - Commerce Naher Osten Middle East Commercial policy Middle East Economic conditions 1979- Middle East Economic integration Middle East Foreign economic relations Naher Osten (DE-588)4068878-1 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Middle East - Commerce Naher Osten Middle East Commercial policy Middle East Economic conditions 1979- Middle East Economic integration Middle East Foreign economic relations |
| id | DE-604.BV010409067 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T17:52:01Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 3803904382 |
| language | German |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-006932089 |
| oclc_num | 34179522 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-12 DE-703 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-M122 DE-11 DE-188 |
| owner_facet | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-12 DE-703 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-M122 DE-11 DE-188 |
| physical | XII, 297 S. Kt. |
| publishDate | 1995 |
| publishDateSearch | 1995 |
| publishDateSort | 1995 |
| publisher | Weltforum-Verl. |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Ifo-Forschungsberichte der Abteilung Entwicklungsländer |
| series2 | Ifo-Forschungsberichte der Abteilung Entwicklungsländer |
| spelling | Halbach, Axel J. 1934- Verfasser (DE-588)120329417 aut New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East an empirical analysis by Axel J. Halbach München [u.a.] Weltforum-Verl. 1995 XII, 297 S. Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Ifo-Forschungsberichte der Abteilung Entwicklungsländer 85 Geschichte 1990-1994 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaft Arab cooperation Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 gnd rswk-swf Außenhandelspolitik (DE-588)4003841-5 gnd rswk-swf Politischer Wandel (DE-588)4175047-0 gnd rswk-swf Handelspolitik (DE-588)4023248-7 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftskooperation (DE-588)4079344-8 gnd rswk-swf Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 gnd rswk-swf Middle East - Commerce Naher Osten Middle East Commercial policy Middle East Economic conditions 1979- Middle East Economic integration Middle East Foreign economic relations Naher Osten (DE-588)4068878-1 gnd rswk-swf Naher Osten (DE-588)4068878-1 g Handelspolitik (DE-588)4023248-7 s DE-604 Wirtschaftskooperation (DE-588)4079344-8 s Politischer Wandel (DE-588)4175047-0 s Geschichte 1990-1994 z Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 s Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 s Außenhandelspolitik (DE-588)4003841-5 s Ifo-Forschungsberichte der Abteilung Entwicklungsländer 85 (DE-604)BV000003558 85 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006932089&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Halbach, Axel J. 1934- New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East an empirical analysis Ifo-Forschungsberichte der Abteilung Entwicklungsländer Wirtschaft Arab cooperation Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 gnd Außenhandelspolitik (DE-588)4003841-5 gnd Politischer Wandel (DE-588)4175047-0 gnd Handelspolitik (DE-588)4023248-7 gnd Wirtschaftskooperation (DE-588)4079344-8 gnd Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4003832-4 (DE-588)4003841-5 (DE-588)4175047-0 (DE-588)4023248-7 (DE-588)4079344-8 (DE-588)4120670-8 (DE-588)4068878-1 |
| title | New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East an empirical analysis |
| title_auth | New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East an empirical analysis |
| title_exact_search | New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East an empirical analysis |
| title_full | New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East an empirical analysis by Axel J. Halbach |
| title_fullStr | New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East an empirical analysis by Axel J. Halbach |
| title_full_unstemmed | New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East an empirical analysis by Axel J. Halbach |
| title_short | New potentials for cooperation and trade in the Middle East |
| title_sort | new potentials for cooperation and trade in the middle east an empirical analysis |
| title_sub | an empirical analysis |
| topic | Wirtschaft Arab cooperation Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 gnd Außenhandelspolitik (DE-588)4003841-5 gnd Politischer Wandel (DE-588)4175047-0 gnd Handelspolitik (DE-588)4023248-7 gnd Wirtschaftskooperation (DE-588)4079344-8 gnd Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wirtschaft Arab cooperation Außenhandel Außenhandelspolitik Politischer Wandel Handelspolitik Wirtschaftskooperation Liberalisierung Middle East - Commerce Naher Osten Middle East Commercial policy Middle East Economic conditions 1979- Middle East Economic integration Middle East Foreign economic relations |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006932089&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV000003558 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT halbachaxelj newpotentialsforcooperationandtradeinthemiddleeastanempiricalanalysis |