Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan: analytical studies
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, DC
Internat. Monetary Fund
1995
|
| Schriftenreihe: | International Monetary Fund: Occasional paper
124 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | VII, 79 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 1557754624 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan |b analytical studies |c ed. by Ulrich Baumgartner ... |
| 264 | 1 | |a Washington, DC |b Internat. Monetary Fund |c 1995 | |
| 300 | |a VII, 79 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 1 | |a International Monetary Fund: Occasional paper |v 124 | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Aandelen |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Acciones - Precios - Japón | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Actions (Titres de société) - Prix - Japon | |
| 650 | 7 | |a CAPITAL ASSETS |2 unbist | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Crisis financieras - Japón | |
| 650 | 7 | |a ECONOMIC CONDITIONS |2 unbist | |
| 650 | 7 | |a FINANCIAL CRISIS |2 unbist | |
| 650 | 7 | |a FINANCIAL RESOURCES |2 unbist | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Financiële crises |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Investeringen |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Investissement - Japon | |
| 650 | 7 | |a JAPAN |2 unbist | |
| 650 | 7 | |a SAVINGS |2 unbist | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Sparen |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Wirtschaft | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Financial crises |z Japan | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Saving and investment |z Japan | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Stocks |x Prices |z Japan | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Sparquote |0 (DE-588)4056047-8 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 651 | 4 | |a Japon - Conditions économiques - 1945-1989 | |
| 651 | 4 | |a Japón - Condiciones económicas - 1945 1989 | |
| 651 | 4 | |a Japan |x Economic conditions |y 1945-1989 | |
| 651 | 7 | |a Japan |0 (DE-588)4028495-5 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a Japan |0 (DE-588)4028495-5 |D g |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Baumgartner, Ulrich |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
| 830 | 0 | |a International Monetary Fund: Occasional paper |v 124 |w (DE-604)BV002597241 |9 124 | |
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| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-006855180 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804124721268129792 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Page
Preface vii
I. Overview I
Vlrich Baumgartner and Guy Meredith
II. Does Japan Save Too Much? 4
Kenneth Miranda
How Much Does Japan Save? 4
Recent Trends in National Saving 4
Japanese Saving in an International Context 5
How Much Should Japan Save? 5
Golden Rule of Accumulation 6
Dynamic Efficiency 8
Marginal Productivity 12
Conclusions 14
References 14
III. Japan s Capital Flows 16
Julia Kdhkonen
Recent Developments in the Capital Account 16
Long Term Capital Flows 19
Short Term Capital Flows 23
Flow of Financial Resources to Developing Countries 23
Foreign Direct Investment 24
Concept and Measurement 25
Main Developments 26
Worldwide Perspective 28
Determinants of Japanese Outward
Foreign Direct Investment 29
Characteristics of Japanese Overseas Subsidiaries 32
Effects of Japanese Foreign Direct Investment
on Other Economies 32
Effects on Japan 33
References 34
IV. Demographic Change and Household Saving in Japan 36
Guy Meredith
Previous Studies on Demographics and Saving 36
Evidence Supporting the Life Cycle Model 36
Challenges to the Life Cycle Model 38
Measurement of Saving in Household Data 38
Simulation Using a Life Cycle Model 39
Conclusions 41
Appendix 4 1. Effects of Demographic Change on Saving
With and Without Social Security 42
Appendix 4 2. A Life Cycle Model of Household Behavior
for Japan 43
References 44
V. Alternative Long Run Scenarios 46
Guy Meredith
Population Dynamics and Output Growth 46
Alternative Fiscal Scenarios 47
Implications for the Saving Investment Balance 49
References 50
VI. Movements in Asset Prices Since the Mid 1980s 51
Juha Kahkonen
Developments Since the Mid 1980s 51
Causes of Asset Price Inflation and Deflation 54
Role of Fundamentals 54
Changes in the Financial Environment 56
Was There a Bubble? 56
Impact of Asset Price Movements on the Economy 58
References 62
VII. Asset Prices, Financial Liberalization, and Inflation
in Japan 63
Alexander W. Hoffmaister and Garry J. Schinasi
Key Developments and Issues 63
Asset Price and Balance Sheet Adjustments 64
Alternative Explanations and the Role of Monetary Factors 65
Casual Empirical Evidence and Unresolved Issues 66
A Multiequation Model of Land Prices and Inflation 67
A Vector Autoregression Model 67
Empirical Results 68
Conclusions 75
Appendix 7 1. Vector Autoregression Modeling 76
Time Series Properties 76
Lag Length 76
Structural Breaks 76
References 77
Tables
2 1. Saving Rates of Major Industrial Countries 5
2 2. Optimal Gross Saving Rates Under Alternative Parameter Values 7
2 3. Private Sector Dynamic Efficiency 10
2 4. Aggregate Dynamic Efficiency 11
2 5. Return to Capital 13
3 1. Summary of the Capital Account 18
3 2. Flows of Securities 20
3 3. Long Term Capital Outflow by Region and Type 21
3 4. Long Term Capital Inflow by Region and Type 22
3 5. Net Long Term Capital Outflow by Region and Type 24
3 6. Net Flow of Financial Resources to Developing Countries
and Multilateral Agencies from Japan 26
3 7. Foreign Direct Investment by Region and Industry 28
4 1. Summary of Studies on Demographics and Saving 37
4 2. Income, Consumption, and Saving of Retired Households 40
4 3. Effect of a Demographic Transition on Aggregate Saving 43
6 1. Asset Price Developments 53
6 2. Consolidated Balance Sheet of Household Sector 59
6 3. Consolidated Balance Sheet of Nonfinancial Incorporated Enterprises 61
7 1. Selected Indicators of Financial Balance 65
7 2. F Tests for Lagged Values of Explanatory Variables:
Broad Money (M2 + CDs) 71
7 3. F Tests for Lagged Values of Explanatory Variables:
Credit Consistent with National Accounts 72
7 4. Variance Decompositions for the Land Price and Consumer Price
Equations: Monetary Variables First in the Ordering 72
7 5. Variance Decompositions for the Land Price and Consumer Price
Equations: Monetary Variables Last in the Ordering 73
7 6. Unit Root Tests 76
7 7. Lag Length Tests 77
7 8. Likelihood Ratio Tests for Structural Breaks 77
Charts
2 1. Gross and Net National Saving Rates 4
2 2. Gross National Saving Rates of Major Industrial Countries 5
2 3. Dynamic Efficiency 9
3 1. Current Account Balance and Capital Flows 17
3 2. Foreign Assets and Liabilities 17
3 3. Outward Foreign Direct Investment 27
3 4. Japanese and World Direct Investment Outflows 29
3 5. Direct Investment Outflows Among Five Major Industrial Countries 29
3 6. Direct Investment Inflows Among Five Major Industrial Countries 30
3 7. Direct Investment Income 34
5 1. Long Term Demographic and Output Projections 47
5 2. Long Term Fiscal Projections: Pre Reform Program Parameters 48
5 3. Long Term Fiscal Projections: Pre Reform Program Parameters
Versus Pension Reform 49
5 4. Long Run Saving Investment Balances: Pre Reform Program
Parameters Versus Pension Reform 50
6 1. Movements in Asset Prices 52
6 2. Stock Price Developments 52
6 3. Land Price Developments 54
6 4. Asset Prices and Fundamentals 55
6 5. Actual and Predicted Stock Prices 57
6 6. Actual and Predicted Land Prices 58
6 7. Household Saving and Net Wealth 60
7 1. Urban Land and Stock Prices 64
7 2. Total Private Nonfinancial Sector Debt 64
7 3. Household Sector Balance Sheet 64
7 4. Money, Debt, and Inflation 67
7 5. Asset Prices and GDP Deflator 67
7 6. Predictions of Land Price Inflation Using Private Credit
as the Financial Aggregate 69
7 7. Predictions of Consumer Price Inflation Using Private Credit
as the Financial Aggregate 70
7 8. Dynamic Simulations Using Two Equation Subsystem and
M2 + CDs as the Financial Aggregate 71
7 9. Dynamic Simulations Using Two Equation Subsystem and Private
Credit as the Financial Aggregate: Urban Land Prices 73
7 10. Dynamic Simulations Using Two Equation Subsystem and Private
Credit as the Financial Aggregate: Consumer Prices 74
7 11. Impulse Response to M2 + CDs 75
7 12. Impulse Response to Private Credit 75
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| geographic_facet | Japon - Conditions économiques - 1945-1989 Japón - Condiciones económicas - 1945 1989 Japan Economic conditions 1945-1989 Japan |
| id | DE-604.BV010302931 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T17:50:10Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 1557754624 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-006855180 |
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| physical | VII, 79 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 1995 |
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| series | International Monetary Fund: Occasional paper |
| series2 | International Monetary Fund: Occasional paper |
| spelling | Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan analytical studies ed. by Ulrich Baumgartner ... Washington, DC Internat. Monetary Fund 1995 VII, 79 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier International Monetary Fund: Occasional paper 124 Aandelen gtt Acciones - Precios - Japón Actions (Titres de société) - Prix - Japon CAPITAL ASSETS unbist Crisis financieras - Japón ECONOMIC CONDITIONS unbist FINANCIAL CRISIS unbist FINANCIAL RESOURCES unbist Financiële crises gtt Investeringen gtt Investissement - Japon JAPAN unbist SAVINGS unbist Sparen gtt Wirtschaft Financial crises Japan Saving and investment Japan Stocks Prices Japan Sparquote (DE-588)4056047-8 gnd rswk-swf Japon - Conditions économiques - 1945-1989 Japón - Condiciones económicas - 1945 1989 Japan Economic conditions 1945-1989 Japan (DE-588)4028495-5 gnd rswk-swf Japan (DE-588)4028495-5 g Sparquote (DE-588)4056047-8 s DE-604 Baumgartner, Ulrich Sonstige oth International Monetary Fund: Occasional paper 124 (DE-604)BV002597241 124 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006855180&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan analytical studies International Monetary Fund: Occasional paper Aandelen gtt Acciones - Precios - Japón Actions (Titres de société) - Prix - Japon CAPITAL ASSETS unbist Crisis financieras - Japón ECONOMIC CONDITIONS unbist FINANCIAL CRISIS unbist FINANCIAL RESOURCES unbist Financiële crises gtt Investeringen gtt Investissement - Japon JAPAN unbist SAVINGS unbist Sparen gtt Wirtschaft Financial crises Japan Saving and investment Japan Stocks Prices Japan Sparquote (DE-588)4056047-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4056047-8 (DE-588)4028495-5 |
| title | Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan analytical studies |
| title_auth | Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan analytical studies |
| title_exact_search | Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan analytical studies |
| title_full | Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan analytical studies ed. by Ulrich Baumgartner ... |
| title_fullStr | Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan analytical studies ed. by Ulrich Baumgartner ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan analytical studies ed. by Ulrich Baumgartner ... |
| title_short | Saving behavior and the asset price "bubble" in Japan |
| title_sort | saving behavior and the asset price bubble in japan analytical studies |
| title_sub | analytical studies |
| topic | Aandelen gtt Acciones - Precios - Japón Actions (Titres de société) - Prix - Japon CAPITAL ASSETS unbist Crisis financieras - Japón ECONOMIC CONDITIONS unbist FINANCIAL CRISIS unbist FINANCIAL RESOURCES unbist Financiële crises gtt Investeringen gtt Investissement - Japon JAPAN unbist SAVINGS unbist Sparen gtt Wirtschaft Financial crises Japan Saving and investment Japan Stocks Prices Japan Sparquote (DE-588)4056047-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Aandelen Acciones - Precios - Japón Actions (Titres de société) - Prix - Japon CAPITAL ASSETS Crisis financieras - Japón ECONOMIC CONDITIONS FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL RESOURCES Financiële crises Investeringen Investissement - Japon JAPAN SAVINGS Sparen Wirtschaft Financial crises Japan Saving and investment Japan Stocks Prices Japan Sparquote Japon - Conditions économiques - 1945-1989 Japón - Condiciones económicas - 1945 1989 Japan Economic conditions 1945-1989 Japan |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006855180&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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