Short-sighted solutions: trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York u.a.
Garland
1994
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Foreign economic policy of the United States
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXVIII, 170 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 0815316003 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Short-sighted solutions |b trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry |c Robert E. Scott |
| 264 | 1 | |a New York u.a. |b Garland |c 1994 | |
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| 490 | 0 | |a Foreign economic policy of the United States | |
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| 650 | 4 | |a Automobile industry and trade |x Government policy |z United States | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Automobiles |x Fuel consumption |x Law and legislation |z United States | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Automobiles |x Pollution control devices |x Law and legislation |z United States | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Export controls |z Japan | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Motor vehicle industry |x Government policy |z United States | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | CONTENTS
ILLUSTRATIONS xi
PREFACE xiii
A. Conditions in the U.S. Vehicle Market: 1980 1993... xiii
Import Penetration xiv
Fuel Economy Regulations xvi
Pricing Patterns xvii
Competitive Dynamics xviii
Cost and Productivity Differences xx
B. Policy Options for the 1990s xxi
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS xxvii
CHAPTER I
INTRODUCTION 3
A. An Alternative Policy Approach: The Stakeholder
Model 4
B. Domestic Employment and Oligopoly Behavior in the U.S.
Auto Industry 6
CHAPTER II
BACKGROUND AND LITERATURE REVIEW 9
A. The Structure of the U.S. Motor Vehicle Industry 9
1. Oligopoly Power in the U.S. Motor Vehicle
Industry 11
B. Shifting Patterns of Vehicle Demand and Rising Imports 12
1. Recent Import Trends 15
2. The Japanese Cost Advantage 18
C. The Effects of Trade on Employment 23
1. Estimates of the Effects of Trade on Employment . 24
2. The Effects of Trade Protection: 1980 84 29
CHAPTER II (cont d)
3. The Effects of the VRAs on Quality, Output and
Employment Patterns 31
CHAPTER III
THE MODEL 41
A. The Baker and Bresnahan Model 41
B. A Residual Demand Model for the U.S. Auto industry . 43
1. A Reduced Form Model 44
2. Import Markets 45
3. Factor Costs 46
CHAPTER IV
DATA GENERATION AND HISTORICAL ANALYSIS 51
A. Macroeconomic Variables 52
1. Implicit Price Deflators 52
2. Gross National Product 52
3. Gasoline Prices 52
4. Interest Rates 52
5. Time Trend and Structural Dummy Variables .... 53
B. Auto Output and Price Levels 53
1. Own Quantity Sold, by Finn and Size Class 53
2. Own Average Price, by Firm and Size Class 54
3. Import Quantity and Price 56
4. Average Price of All Other Domestic Cars, for Each
Firm and Size Class 56
C. Factor Costs 57
1. Industry Wide Cost of Unionized Labor 57
2. Capacity Utilization 57
3. Exchange Rates 57
4. Firm Specific Labor Costs 58
5. Firm specific Cost of Capital 58
D. Output Shares and Prices in the U.S. Automobile
Market 59
1. Quantity Data and Shifting Demand Patterns .... 59
2. Price Trends and Strategic Behavior 64
CHAPTER V
MODEL ESTIMATION 75
A. Fuel Economy Regulations 76
B. Estimation 77
1. Empirical Specifications 77
2. Estimation Techniques 80
CHAPTER V (cont d)
C. Results 82
1. Small Domestic Cars 83
2. Medium Sized Domestic Cars 89
3. Large sized Domestic Cars 96
4. Imported Cars 101
5. Factor Cost Equations 103
D. Firm level Results 107
E. Summary 109
CHAPTER VI
SIMULATION AND POLICY ANALYSIS 115
A. Model Simulation 116
B. Simulation Results 117
1. Short run Output Effects of the VRAs 118
2. Short run Price Effects of the VRAs 121
3. Long run Quantity Effects of the VRAs 123
4. Long run Price Effects of the VRAs 125
5. Factor Costs 127
C. Total Output and Employment Impacts of the VRAs .. 129
1. Output Scenarios 131
2. Employment Impacts 133
CHAPTER VII
PUBLIC POLICY FOR THE AUTO INDUSTRY 141
A. The VRAs and Transplant Production in the U.S 143
B. Employment Prospects for the U.S. Auto Industry .... 144
C. The Impacts of Alternative Policies 145
D. Market Structure and Efficiency 148
E. Summary 152
BIBLIOGRAPHY 159
INDEX 167
ILLUSTRATIONS
U.S. Vehicle Imports xv
Transplants Plus Imports: U.S. Shares xvi
U.S. Transaction Prices xviii
Exchange Rate Levels and the Japanese Share of the
U.S. Auto Market 13
U.S. Motor Vehicle Trade: Quantities Exchanged and Shares
of Apparent Domestic Consumption, 1970 1988 15
U.S. Motor Vehicle Trade: The Value of Sales and Shares
of Apparent Domestic Consumption, 1970 1988 16
U.S. Canadian Motor Vehicle Trade Balance: 1970 1984 17
Estimates of U.S. and Japanese Manufacturing Costs for
a Standard Subcompact in 1979 1980 20
Shifting Demand Patterns by Size Class: U.S. Auto Market
Shares, 1971 1986 60
Output Composition, by Firm 61
Real Price of Unleaded Gas: 1970:1 to 1987:111 62
Firm Shares of U.S. Auto Sales 1971 1986 63
Small Cars: Real Wholesale Prices 1971 to 1986 65
Domestic Intermediate Cars: Real Wholesale Prices,
1971 to 1986 67
Domestic Large Cars: Real Wholesale Prices, 1971 1986 68
Small Car Quantity Estimates 84
Small Car Price Estimates 87
The Initial Effects of the VRA on Small Car Price and
Quantity for Domestic Manufacturers 89
Intermediate Car Quantity Estimates 90
Simple Correlation Coefficients Between LOGPxyy and
LGPBRxyy, by Firm and Size Class 92
Intermediate Car Price Estimates 94
Large Car Quantity Estimates 97
Large Car Price Estimates 100
xi
Import Car Price and Quantity Estimates 102
UAW and Firm Specific Labor Cost Estimates 104
Firm Specific Capital Cost Estimates 106
Long Run Price Effects of the VRAs, by Firm and Size Class . . 106
The Effect of the Average Price of Other Cars (LGPBRxyy)
on Output by Firm and Size Class 108
The Effect of the Average Price of Other Cars
(LGPBRxyy) on Own Price by Firm and Size Class 108
Quantity Simulations: Initial Effects 118
Price Simulations: Initial Effects 122
Quantity Simulations: Long Run Effects 124
Price Simulations: Long Run Effects 126
The Effects of the VRAs on Labor Costs 128
The Effects of the VRAs on Capital Costs 128
Effects of the VRAs and Fuel Economy Regulations
on Output 130
VRA Impact Scenarios 132
Employment and Output in the U.S. Motor Vehicle Industry ... 134
Employment Impacts—Direct Job Opportunities
Created by the VRAs 135
Direct Employment Content of Imports Displaced
by the VRAs 136
The Effects of the VRAs on Price and Output:
Final Simulations 142
Average Sales Shares by Size Class, 1980:IV to 1986:111 149
|
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| spelling | Scott, Robert E. Verfasser aut Short-sighted solutions trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry Robert E. Scott New York u.a. Garland 1994 XXVIII, 170 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Foreign economic policy of the United States Politik Recht Automobile industry and trade Government policy United States Automobiles Fuel consumption Law and legislation United States Automobiles Pollution control devices Law and legislation United States Export controls Japan Motor vehicle industry Government policy United States Handelspolitik (DE-588)4023248-7 gnd rswk-swf Energiepolitik (DE-588)4014715-0 gnd rswk-swf Kraftwagen (DE-588)4129315-0 gnd rswk-swf USA USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Kraftwagen (DE-588)4129315-0 s Energiepolitik (DE-588)4014715-0 s DE-604 Handelspolitik (DE-588)4023248-7 s HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006391928&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Scott, Robert E. Short-sighted solutions trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry Politik Recht Automobile industry and trade Government policy United States Automobiles Fuel consumption Law and legislation United States Automobiles Pollution control devices Law and legislation United States Export controls Japan Motor vehicle industry Government policy United States Handelspolitik (DE-588)4023248-7 gnd Energiepolitik (DE-588)4014715-0 gnd Kraftwagen (DE-588)4129315-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4023248-7 (DE-588)4014715-0 (DE-588)4129315-0 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
| title | Short-sighted solutions trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry |
| title_auth | Short-sighted solutions trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry |
| title_exact_search | Short-sighted solutions trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry |
| title_full | Short-sighted solutions trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry Robert E. Scott |
| title_fullStr | Short-sighted solutions trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry Robert E. Scott |
| title_full_unstemmed | Short-sighted solutions trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry Robert E. Scott |
| title_short | Short-sighted solutions |
| title_sort | short sighted solutions trade and energy policies for the u s auto industry |
| title_sub | trade and energy policies for the U.S. auto industry |
| topic | Politik Recht Automobile industry and trade Government policy United States Automobiles Fuel consumption Law and legislation United States Automobiles Pollution control devices Law and legislation United States Export controls Japan Motor vehicle industry Government policy United States Handelspolitik (DE-588)4023248-7 gnd Energiepolitik (DE-588)4014715-0 gnd Kraftwagen (DE-588)4129315-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Politik Recht Automobile industry and trade Government policy United States Automobiles Fuel consumption Law and legislation United States Automobiles Pollution control devices Law and legislation United States Export controls Japan Motor vehicle industry Government policy United States Handelspolitik Energiepolitik Kraftwagen USA |
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