Labour markets in an ageing Europe:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge
Cambridge Univ. Press
1993
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XVII, 294 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 0521443989 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents
List of figures page xiii
List of tables xv
Preface xvii
List of conference participants xviii
1 Ageing and the European labour market: public policy issues 1
Paul Johnson and Klaus F. Zimmermann
1 Introduction 1
2 Labour costs and productivity 4
3 Training and skill 12
4 Retirement 14
5 Migration and mobility 16
6 Overview of the book 18
7 Conclusions 22
2 Ageing and European economic demography 26
Paul Johnson
1 The ageing of Europe 26
2 Fertility and mortality patterns 32
3 Population and economic performance 38
4 Conclusions 42
Discussion
Rudolf A ndorka 46
3 Ageing and employment trends: a comparative analysis for
OECD countries 53
Martin Rein and Klaus Jacobs
1 A conceptual framework of early retirement 53
2 Trends and patterns of labour force participation of older
men: the significance of early exit 54
ix
x Contents
3 Disaggregating labour force participation 56
4 Patterns of early exit 63
5 The future of early retirement: extending the concept of
pathways of early exit from the labour force 71
Discussion
Heather Joslri 76
4 Ageing and the labour market in Poland and Eastern Europe 79
Stanislawa Golinowska
1 Introduction 79
2 The position of Central and Eastern Europe in the process
of demographic change 80
3 Poland s position in the process of European population
change through the year 2010 82
4 Ageing and the labour market in Poland 84
5 Population pressures and labour market trends in Poland
and Eastern Europe, 1990 2010 91
6 Summary and conclusions 94
Discussion
Waller Kramer 96
5 The implications of cohort size for human capital investment 98
Christopher J. Flinn
1 Introduction 98
2 Model structure and the characterization of equilibrium 100
3 Empirical analysis 108
4 Computed elasticities and simulation exercises 112
5 Conclusions 119
Appendix: Data sources and construction 119
Discussion
Kenneth Burden 123
6 Does an ageing labour force call for large adjustments in training
or wage policies? 126
Didier Blanche!
1 Ageing, productivity and optimal accumulation of human
capital over the life cycle 127
2 Ageing, career profiles and wages 134
3 Retirement age 140
4 Conclusions 142
Appendix A: Sensitivity of an age related phenomenon to
the population growth rate 143
Contents xi
Appendix B: Optimal training 143
Discussion
Paul G. Chapman 146
7 On ageing and earnings 151
N. Anders Klevmarken
1 Introduction 151
2 The human capital approach 152
3 Changes in the age distribution and the dynamics of earn¬
ings profiles 155
4 An empirical application to Swedish panel data 161
5 Earnings mobility 167
6 Conclusions 173
Discussion
Axel Borsch Supan 178
8 Age, wages and education in The Netherlands 182
Joop Hartog, Hcssel Oosierheek and Coen Teulings
1 Introduction 182
2 A brief history of the Dutch labour market 182
3 The composition of the labour force by age and education 185
4 Explaining changes in labour force composition 189
5 The wage structure 193
6 The influence of cohort sizes 201
7 Conclusions and speculations 204
Appendix A: Data 206
Appendix B: The price of education 208
Discussion
Robert E. Wright 211
9 Ageing and unemployment 216
Christoph M. Schmidt
1 Introduction 216
2 Ageing, migration and labour market outcomes 217
3 A formal model and its empirical implications 220
4 Data and empirical results 223
5 Ageing and unemployment: a re evaluation 250
Discussion
John Ermisch 252
xii Contents
10 Ageing, migration and labour mobility 255
Rainer Winkehnann and Klaus F. Zimmermann
1 Introduction 255
2 Some stylized facts on ageing and migration 256
3 Theoretical framework 263
4 Data and methodology 265
5 Econometric results and policy implications 269
6 Concluding remarks 281
Discussion
Gerd Ronning 283
Index 288
Figures
page
1.1 (a) and (b) Index of economically active population, 1950 2025 2
1.2(a) Changes in French population, 1990 2000 5
1.2(b) Changes in German population, 1990 2000 6
1.2(c) Changes in Polish population, 1990 2000 6
1.2(d) Changes in Spanish population, 1990 2000 7
1.2(e) Changes in UK population, 1990 2000 7
1.2(0 Changes in US population, 1990 2000 8
2.1 Male life expectancy at age 65 37
5.1 Cohort size and human capital investment 117
5.2 Cohort size and wealth (perfect foresight equilibrium) 118
5.3 Cohort size and wealth (static expectations equilibrium) 118
6.1 Average productivity projections 128
6.2 Two patterns of relationship between an aggregate variable,
demographic structure, and a policy instrument 130
6.3(a) Optimal profiles of education and on the job training for
three demographic scenarios 132
6.3(b) Optimal stock of human capital by age for three demo¬
graphic scenarios 132
6.4(a) Position within the hierarchy as a function of age 135
6.4(b) Absolute progression within the hierarchy as a function of
age 135
6.5 The total wage bill and total production 137
7.1 Schematic cross sectional and longitudinal age earnings
profiles 156
7.2 Earnings profiles with declining increases of initial earnings 157
7.3 Cohort size effects on earnings profiles 159
7.4 Birth rate per 1,000 population in USA and Sweden,
1910 89 163
7.5 Size of Swedish birth cohorts, 1905 89 163
xiii
xiv List of figures
7.6 Per capita gross investment volume of Swedish industry,
1910^89 164
8.1 Cohort sizes of Dutch males, 1910 75 203
8A.1 Population unemployment age ratios in the Netherlands,
1950^90 214
9.1 (a) Germany s age structure: male inhabitants of the FRG,
1950 87 226
9.1(b) Germany s age structure: female inhabitants of the FRG,
1950 87 228
9.2(a) The development of birth cohorts over time: male inhabit¬
ants of the FRG, 1950 89 230
9.2(b) The development of birth cohorts over time: female
inhabitants of the FRG, 1950 89 232
9.3 German age specific unemployment rates: a comparison
with the aggregate unemployment rate, 1966 90 236
10.1 EC 12 male and female population aged 0 19 and 60 + ,
1990 2020 257
10.2 Age unemployment profiles 278
10.3 Age direct job changes profiles 278
10.4 Age unemployment profiles for varying foreign labour
shares 279
10.5 Age direct job changes profiles for varying foreign labour
shares 279
10.6 Age structure and expected frequency of unemployment of
natives, 1990 2020 280
10.7 Age structure and expected frequency of direct job changes
of natives, 1990 2020 281
10A.1 Hazard rates of remigration for three nationalities of immi¬
grants to the FRG 285
Tables
page
2.1 The population of Europe, 1950 2025 27
2.2 Decomposition of ageing in Europe and Italy into fertility
and mortality effects 30
2.3 The timing of fertility and life expectancy transitions in
Europe 31
3.1 Labour force participation rates of older men below the
normal retirement age of 65, 1970 90 in seven OECD
countries 55
3.2 Disaggregating the labour force participation of older men;
rates for 1989 in seven OECD countries 58
3.3 Labour force status of the population of older men in 1989 in
seven OECD countries 59
3.4 Japan: the impact of teinen rules (termination of lifetime
employment ) 66
4.1 Growth of mobile (15 44) and non mobile (45 59/64)
working age population in Western and Eastern Europe,
1990 2010 81
4.2 International migration from Poland during 1946 90 84
4.3 Labour force participation rates in Poland by sex and age,
1960 88 85
4.4 Educational structure of the Polish population aged 25 29
and over 60, 1960 88 86
4.5 Wage differences by age, sex and type of labour 87
4.6 Disabled people per 1,000 in various age groups 88
4.7 Structure of unemployment in Poland by age 89
4.8 Main indicators of economic and social development in
selected Eastern and Central European countries, 1989 91 90
5.1 Computed model parameters and observed and implied
values of wages, 1925 85 112
xv
xvi List of tables
5.2 Elasticity of human capital investment with respect to cohort
size (perfect foresight equilibrium), 1920 70 113
5.3 Elasticity of cohort wealth with respect to cohort size
(perfect foresight equilibrium), 1920 70 114
5.4 Elasticity of cohort wealth with respect to cohort size,
holding human capital investment constant (perfect foresight
equilibrium), 1920 70 115
5.5 Elasticity of cohort wealth with respect to cohort size (static
expectations equilibrium), 1920 70 116
6.1 Optimal levels of training and production according to three
demographic scenarios 133
7.1 GLS estimates of an earnings function for males 166
7.2 Maximum likelihood estimates of earnings functions with a
specified covariance structure 171
8.1 Dutch labour force composition by age, 1947 89 186
8.2 Participation rates, 50 64 year olds, 1947 89 187
8.3 Composition ofthe Dutch labour force by education, 1960 90 188
8.4 Estimation results for the Mincerian earnings equation for
males, 1962 89 197
8.5 Regressions for within age education group variances of log
earnings, males only, 1962 89 198
8.6 Decomposition of changes in the variance of log wages for
males, 1979 89 200
8.7 Income dispersion and participation rates for various coun¬
tries, for males, 1980 90 201
8.8 Earnings equations with cohort size effects, males only, 1979,
1985 and 1989 202
8.9 Earnings equations with cohort size effects, survey data, 1988 204
8A.1 Selection bias in the wage equations due to differences in
sample composition 207
8A.2 The price of education 208
9.1 Unit root tests 235
9.2 Unemployment rates and cohort sizes (men and women) 244
9.3 Unemployment rates and cohort sizes (men) 246
9.4 Unemployment rates and cohort sizes (women) 248
10.1 Population structure: age group 20 39/40 59, 1990 2020 258
10.2 Population size and foreigners in EC countries, 1988 259
10.3 Employment distribution by sector, USA and West
Germany, 1982 261
10.4 Descriptive statistics 272
10.5 Poisson regression results for Germans 274
10.6 Poisson regression results for foreigners 276
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| title | Labour markets in an ageing Europe |
| title_auth | Labour markets in an ageing Europe |
| title_exact_search | Labour markets in an ageing Europe |
| title_full | Labour markets in an ageing Europe ed. by Paul Johnson ... |
| title_fullStr | Labour markets in an ageing Europe ed. by Paul Johnson ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Labour markets in an ageing Europe ed. by Paul Johnson ... |
| title_short | Labour markets in an ageing Europe |
| title_sort | labour markets in an ageing europe |
| topic | Europäische Gemeinschaften (DE-588)35439-9 gnd impiego - invecchiamento della popolazione - * Europa - [congresso] tessin-TR Arbeitsmarkt fes Bevölkerungsentwicklung fes Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Altersstruktur (DE-588)4124541-6 gnd Arbeitsmarkt (DE-588)4002733-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Europäische Gemeinschaften impiego - invecchiamento della popolazione - * Europa - [congresso] Arbeitsmarkt Bevölkerungsentwicklung Altersstruktur Europa Aufsatzsammlung Konferenzschrift 1992 München |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=005827929&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT johnsonpaul labourmarketsinanageingeurope |