A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods:
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Columbus u.a.
Battelle Pr.
1991
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XI, 99 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 0935470638 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods |c by Stephen M. Millett and Edward J. Honton |
| 264 | 1 | |a Columbus u.a. |b Battelle Pr. |c 1991 | |
| 300 | |a XI, 99 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
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| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS Page
FOREWORD vii
INTRODUCTION 1
TREND ANALYSES 7
Trend Extrapolation 9
Time Series Estimation H
Regression Analysis 13
Econometrics 15
Systems Dynamics 17
S Curves 21
Historical Analogies 2s
Input Output Matrices 27
iv A MANAGER S GUIDE TO TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING Patent Trend Analysis 29
Scientific Literature Analysis 36
New Trend Analyses Techniques 38
Conclusions 40
EXPERT JUDGMENT 43
Interviews 45
Questionnaires 48
Group Dynamics 51
Conclusions 60
MULTI OPTION ANALYSES 63
Scenarios 65
Simulations 72
Paths and Trees 75
Portfolio Analysis 79
Conclusions g4
CONCLUSIONS 85
General Observations 85
Forecasts for the 1990s 87
Recommendations for Managers 92
SOURCES OF INFORMATION 95
TABLE OF CONTENTS v
LIST OF TABLES Page
Table 1. Current and Expected Use of Technology
Forecasting Techniques 88
Table 2. Comparison of Technology
Forecasting Techniques 89 90
LIST OF FIGURES Page
Figure 1. Trend Extrapolation of Efficiency of
White Light 10
Figure 2. Time Series Estimation 12
Figure 3. Systems Dynamics Flow Chart 18
Figure 4. Systems Dynamics Sample Solution 20
Figure 5. Generalized S Curve of Technology Life Cycle 22
Figure 6. S Curve of Transportation Speed 23
Figure 7. Main Parts of an Input Output Matrix 27
Figure 8. Patent Dominance Matrix for Sodium Sulfur
Battery Technology 34
Figure 9. Example Cross Impact Matrix 68
Figure 10. Example of a Relevance Tree 76
Figure 11. Example of an R D Planning Tree 76
Figure 12. Example of a Technology Forecasting Tree 78
Figure 13. Portfolio Analysis Matrix 80
Figure 14. Battelle Variations on the Portfolio
Analysis Matrix 81 82
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Millett, Stephen M. Honton, Edward J. |
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| dewey-full | 658.4/0355 |
| dewey-hundreds | 600 - Technology (Applied sciences) |
| dewey-ones | 658 - General management |
| dewey-raw | 658.4/0355 |
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| dewey-sort | 3658.4 3355 |
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| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
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| id | DE-604.BV006264882 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T16:42:45Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0935470638 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-003957880 |
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| physical | XI, 99 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 1991 |
| publishDateSearch | 1991 |
| publishDateSort | 1991 |
| publisher | Battelle Pr. |
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| spelling | Millett, Stephen M. Verfasser aut A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods by Stephen M. Millett and Edward J. Honton Columbus u.a. Battelle Pr. 1991 XI, 99 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Prévision technologique Technological forecasting Technischer Fortschritt (DE-588)4059252-2 gnd rswk-swf Strategisches Management (DE-588)4124261-0 gnd rswk-swf Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd rswk-swf Strategisches Management (DE-588)4124261-0 s Technischer Fortschritt (DE-588)4059252-2 s Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 s DE-604 Honton, Edward J. Verfasser aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=003957880&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Millett, Stephen M. Honton, Edward J. A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods Prévision technologique Technological forecasting Technischer Fortschritt (DE-588)4059252-2 gnd Strategisches Management (DE-588)4124261-0 gnd Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4059252-2 (DE-588)4124261-0 (DE-588)4358095-6 |
| title | A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods |
| title_auth | A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods |
| title_exact_search | A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods |
| title_full | A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods by Stephen M. Millett and Edward J. Honton |
| title_fullStr | A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods by Stephen M. Millett and Edward J. Honton |
| title_full_unstemmed | A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods by Stephen M. Millett and Edward J. Honton |
| title_short | A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods |
| title_sort | a manager s guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods |
| topic | Prévision technologique Technological forecasting Technischer Fortschritt (DE-588)4059252-2 gnd Strategisches Management (DE-588)4124261-0 gnd Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Prévision technologique Technological forecasting Technischer Fortschritt Strategisches Management Prognoseverfahren |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=003957880&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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