London international atlas of AIDS:
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , , |
---|---|
Format: | Karte |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Oxford u.a.
Blackwell
1992
|
Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | X, 430 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
ISBN: | 0631178120 |
Internformat
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a London international atlas of AIDS |c Matthew Smallman-Raynor, Andrew Cliff and Peter Haggett |
246 | 1 | 3 | |a Atlas of AIDS |
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adam_text | Titel: London international atlas of AIDS
Autor: Smallman-Raynor, Matthew R.
Jahr: 1992
CONTENTS
Preface viii
Acknowledgements ÷
PART I THE NATURE OF AIDS
CHAPTER ONE
AIDS, HIV AND THE
RETRO VIRUS FAMILY
Introduction 5
1.1 Introduction 6
1.2 The AIDS database 8
AIDS literature growth
Literature coverage
Data sources
Geographical coverage
Literature in epidemiological perspective
AIDS research: the African dataset
HIV-2 literature
Technical appendix
1.3 The global AIDS pandemic 13
Reported global status, October 1990
The temporal record
1.4 The retrovirus family 15
Virus families and the ITCV
History of retrovirus research
The structure of the retrovirus family
Evolutionary histories of retroviruses
1.5 Discoveryofthe AIDS virus 18
Early hypotheses
HIV-1: the global AIDS virus
HIV-2: the second AIDS virus
Establishing HIV as the cause of AIDS
Technical appendix
1.6 HIV and the immune system 22
The human immune system
The human immunodeficiency virus
Virus life cycle and T4 lymphocyte death
T4 lymphocyte depletion and AIDS
1.7 HIV disease: international 25
classification systems
Classification and staging
The International Classification of Diseases
(ICD)
The ICD and HIV
The CDC classification system
Data problems and HIV disease classification
Technical appendix
1.8 HIV transmission I: routes 30
Virus transfer
Global patterns of HIV transmission
1.9 HIV transmission II: cofactors 34
Heterosexual transmission
Male circumcision
Female circumcision
Genital ulcerative disease and STDs
1.10 Surveillance I: AIDS case 37
definitions
HIV disease: rationale for AIDS surveillance
CDC AIDS surveillance definitions
WHO clinical definitions
The Caracas AIDS definition
AIDS definitions and data problems
Technical appendix
The CDC definition of AIDS
The provisional WHO clinical case definition
for adult and paediatric AIDS
The Caracas February and May 1989 case
definitions
1.11 Surveillance II: geographical 42
applications of AIDS case
definitions
Global patterns of AIDS definitions
Zone 1: CDC
Zone 2: low AIDS incidence countries
Zone 3: WHO clinical definition
Zone 4: intermediate capability countries
1.12 Surveillance III: definition 45
evaluation
Introduction
Parameters of definition evaluation
Different definitions at one location: Rio de
Janeiro, Brazil
One definition at different locations: the WHO
clinical definition
Local evaluations
1.13 Animal models I: simian AIDS 49
Model criteria
Domestic cats
Non-human primates
SRV-associated SAIDS epizootics in the USA
The geography of SIV
Simian immunodeficiency virus and HIV
1.14 Animal models II: feline AIDS 56
The disease
Origin and dispersal of FeLV
Epidemiology of FIV
Global occurrence of FIV
Conclusion 59
CHAPTER TWO
SOURCES OF AIDS DATA
Introduction
2.1 AIDS surveillance methods I: local
and national networks
The concept of disease surveillance
The disease reporting network
Recording at the primary level
AIDS data and statistical records
Evolution of AIDS and HIV surveillance
systems in developing countries
63
64
CONTENTS continued
2.2 AIDS surveillance methods II: 70
international agencies
Introduction
The World Health Organization
WHO statistical sources
WHO Collaborating Centres and AIDS
statistics: the European example
Other international surveillance units:
CAREC
AIDS surveillance systems: implications
for statistics
2.3 AIDS surveillance methods III: 75
HIV monitoring
Introduction
HIV data collection methods
Aspects of proactive HIV surveillance
Measures of infection frequency
Test cohorts
Methods of obtaining blood
Problems of proactive surveillance
data
2.4 AIDS surveillance methods IV: 78
international reporting practices
Types of reporting practice
Global reporting practices
European reporting practices and
surveillance data
Switzerland: a case study
Reporting delays
2.5 Data quality I: global overview 83
The data issue
The global reporting record
Number of reports
Reporting frequency
Reporting regularity
2.6 Data quality II: Africa 87
The African data matrix
Missing data
African AIDS reporting patterns: continental
overview
Atlas focus: AIDS in Africa
2.7
2.8
2.9
2.10
Data quality III: Europe 91
The European AIDS data matrix
Congruence of European reports
The European reporting fabric: summary
Atlas focus: AIDS and HIV in Europe
Data problems I: under-reporting 94
The distortion of AIDS statistics
Methods of assessing under-reporting
Reporting completeness: sub-Saharan Africa
AIDS reporting completeness in global statistics Introduction
National-level variations in under-reporting
Romania 3.1
AIDS-associated mortality and under-reporting
Data problems II: reporting delays 99
Primary-level delays: diagnosis
National-level reporting delays
Reporting delays in global statistics
Delays in global statistics: the Brazilian
example
PARTII ORIGINS AND
DISPERSALS
CHAPTER THREE
THE ORIGINS OF HIV
Temporal origins I: AIDS before
1981
Immunodeficiency with serology
Geographical patterns
The USA
Temporal patterns
Transmission categories
Pre-1950 evidence
119
120
Data problems III: population 103
mobility
Geographical mobility and the diagnosis of
AIDS
AIDS imports into Europe
AIDS case movements in the UK
Patient mobility: implications for UK statistics
2.11 Data problems IV: geographical 107
implications of the CDC 1987
revision
The CDC 1987 revision
Impact assessment
Sub-national variations: the USA
International variations: Europe
Technical appendix
2.12 Data problems V: the CDC 1987 111
revision over time
Temporal records
Revision impact over time
Revision impact in 1988
Conclusion 113
3.2 Temporal origins II: HIV before 124
1981
Sera studies
Early evidence for HIV in Africa
Early western evidence for HIV
Other world regions
Conclusion
Technical appendix
3.3 Geographical origins I: a Haitian 129
hearth?
Haitian-American patterns
The zoonotic origin hypothesis: African swine
fever virus
Zoonotic retroviruses
Voodoo ritualism in Haiti
Epidemiological evidence
Technical appendix
3.4 Geographical origins II: African 132
evidence, HIVs and SIVs
Simian precedents
The Marburg outbreaks
Ebola fever
Simian origins: HIV-2
HIV-1: current evidence
Conclusion
3.5 Geographical origins III: other 136
hypotheses
Isolated tribe hypothesis
Tribal evidence: Africa
Tribal evidence: South America
Other hypotheses
Scientifically implausible hypotheses
Conclusion 139
CHAPTER FOUR
THE GLOBAL SPREAD OF AIDS
Introduction 143
4.1 The Gallo model 144
The Gallo model
Epidemiological evidence
Phylogenetic analysis
Other spread models
4.2 Types of spread data 147
Contact tracing
Case histories
Nationality
Other types of spread data
4.3 Global diffusion of HIV-1. 151
The developing world I: Central
Africa
The truck town hypothesis
The road network
Test of hypothesis
Foreign visitors
Migrant populations
International prostitution
Clinical disease and historical diffusion routes
Technical appendix
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
Global diffusion of HIV-1. 156
The developing world II: other
African regions
Background
Source of HIV-1 in West Africa
International prostitution in Ghana
Mine workers in South Africa
Soldiers, students and workers in North Africa
Global diffusion of HIV-1. The 161
developing world III: Latin
America and the Caribbean
Latin America
The Caribbean Basin
Multiple infection sources
Global diffusion of HIV-1. 165
The developed world I: western
Europe
The database
Infection sources
Central African sources
Haemophiliacs
Contact tracing in Iceland
Global diffusion of HIV-1. 170
The developed world II: Soviet
evidence
Preliminary Soviet reports
African sojourners
Soviet transmission chains
Global diffusion of HIV-2.1: Europe 174
Introduction
HIV-2 data
The European HIV-2 epidemic
Diffusion corridors
Global implications
PARTIU REGIONAL
EXAMPLES
CHAPTER FIVE
AIDS IN THE USA
Introduction
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
Global diffusion of HIV-2. II:
the Americas
HIV-2 in North America
HIV-2 in Latin America
The global spread of HIV-2: a composite model
179
187
189
AIDS in the USA and the global
pandemic
AIDS morbidity: the USA in global perspective
African comparisons
Incidence rates and epidemic space
US mortality patterns
Years of potential life lost
The USA I: regional patterns among 194
Hispanics
Regional-level analysis
Relative risks for AIDS
Hispanic AIDS patterns
Relative risks among Hispanics
Puerto Rican IVDUs
Homosexual non-IVDUs
Implications
Conclusion
182
The USA II: state-level variations
in paediatric AIDS
State-level AIDS epidemics
Paediatric AIDS
Case ratios
Technical appendix
The USA HI: metropolitan-level
epidemics
Introduction
AIDS in Ohio
Metropolitan-level epidemics
Incidence rates and population size
Large SMSAs and state-level epidemics
Statistical classifications
Epidemic intensity and SMSAs
Technical appendix
199
203
CONTENTS continued
5.5 The USA IV: local patterns in 210
San Francisco
Introduction
The study site
AIDS surveillance
Demographic impact in San Francisco
Local patterns: data sources
Standardized morbidity ratios
Epidemic velocity
Corrections for sex structure
Spatial autocorrelation tests
The gay ghetto
Simple linear regression
Sieve maps and factor regions
Stepwise multiple regression analysis
Homosexual AIDS and ethnicity
Heterosexual IVDUs
Ethnicity and AIDS incidence
Summary
Technical appendix
5.6 The United States V: AIDS in 227
the Bronx
Early AIDS patterns in New York City
AIDS in the Bronx
South Bronx, urban decay and AIDS
Social disintegration and the spread of HIV-1
Summary
Technical appendix
The poverty index
The community disintegration index
Conclusion 231
CHAPTER SIX
PATTERN I EPIDEMICS:
WESTERN EUROPE AND
AUSTRALASIA
Transmission categories
Epidemic velocities
Technical appendix
Standardized residuals
Epidemic velocities
6.2 Pattern I risk groups: IVDUs 242
in western Europe
Introduction
Statistical background
The IVDU AIDS gradient
The HIV-1 epidemic
Contagious spread
Spatial cross-sections
Geographical anomalies
The Edinburgh epidemic
6.3 AIDS in the western Pacific: 248
unique epidemiologica! patterns?
Introduction
Disease surveillance in the western Pacific
Regional overview
The Pacific islands
Southeast Asia
Australia and New Zealand
Pattern I epidemics in hemispherical perspective
Technical appendix
Conclusion
252
CHAPTER SEVEN
PATTERN I/II TRANSITION
EPIDEMICS: LATIN AMERICA
AND THE CARIBBEAN
Introduction
6.1 The West European AIDS mosaic:
a continental picture
Introduction
Statistical background
Incidence rates
235
236
Introduction
7.1 Pattern ²Ä² transition epidemics
in the Americas: regional
overview
Gender ratios in space
The transition continuum
Transition curves
Gender ratios in time
Epidemic transition and AIDS incidence
255
256
7.2 The Caribbean Basin 259
Introduction
AIDS surveillance
The regional picture
Epidemic growth
The CAREC transition epidemic
Heterosexual transition: Trinidad and Tobago
Substance abuse, I: crack in the Bahamas
Substance abuse, II: IVDUs in Bermuda
7.3 Brazil 267
Transition
AIDS surveillance
Transmission patterns
Geographical distribution
Sequence of spread
Hierarchical effects
Size and distance effects
Epidemic velocities: state level
Epidemic velocity: municipal district level
Conclusion
7.4 Honduras 275
Introduction
Socio-demographic background
Department-level epidemics
City-level epidemics
Conclusion 277
CHAPTER EIGHT
AIDS IN AFRICA
Introduction
8.1 Spatial scale and HIV-1 in Africa
Data sources
HIV-1 in healthy populations
Spatial scale and HIV-1 prevalence
HIV-1 in high-risk groups
8.2 Ͳ?-1-associated AIDS in Central
Africa: Uganda
Introduction
AIDS surveillance and data sources
Surveillance data problems
International perspective
281
282
287
Demographic characteristics
District-level patterns
Patient movements
Incidence rates
Diffusion hypotheses
Regression analysis of diffusion hypotheses
UNLA and AIDS
Epidemic velocities
HIV-1 diffusion waves
Seasonality in AIDS
Epidemic velocity and the malnutrition model
Conclusion
Technical appendix
8.3 HIV-2 in sub-Saharan Africa 306
Introduction
HIV-2: continental distribution
AIDS in West Africa
HIV-2 in sexually active females
HIV-2 in antenatals
Technical appendix
8.4 Dual pattern epidemics: 315
South Africa
Geographical distribution
Transmission categories and race
HIV-1 and Pattern II infection
Sequence of spread
Diffusion models
Location quotients
Patterns of HIV-1
Conclusion 323
10.3
CHAPTER NINE
PATTERN III EPIDEMICS:
EASTERN EUROPE, ASIA AND
NORTH AFRICA
Introduction
9.1 AIDS in eastern Europe I:
contrasting patterns
Political background
AIDS surveillance
AIDS incidence
327
328
Epidemic growth
Exposure patterns
9.2 AIDS in eastern Europe II: 332
nosocomial outbreaks
Nosocomial outbreaks in eastern
Europe
The Soviet outbreak
Soviet nosocomial outbreaks: future
potential
HIV in Romania: preliminary reports
Clinical AIDS in Romania
Geographical distribution
9.3 AIDS and HIV in South Asia: 337
India
Oinical AIDS
Early rates of HIV-l
Diffusion routes
Pattern II potential: Bombay evidence
9.4 HIV-1 in Southeast Asia: 341
IVDUs and the Golden Triangle
HIV-1 data from Southeast Asia
Documented evidence of H!V-1 Conclusion
HIV-1 in Southeast Asian IVDUs
International drug trafficking and HIV-1 ------------------
Diffusion model
Conclusion
9.5 HIV/AIDS in Arabia: Egypt 345
AIDS in North Africa
The Egyptian HIV epidemic
Transmission categories
Geographical patterns of HIV
Conclusion 347
PART IV PROSPECT
CHAPTER 10
THE FUTURE OUTLOOK
Introduction
Assessment
Short-term forecasts for the UK
Short-term forecasts for the USA
Process-based forecasting models 356
The Hamer-Soper model
HIV in Africa: demographic implications
Demographic structure
Conclusion
Technical appendix
Delphi forecasts 360
Introduction
The Delphi method
Delphi Scenario 1: pessimistic HIV projections
Delphi Scenario 2: prevention strategies
Delphi Scenario 2: regional distributions of HIV
Economic impact of AIDS
Components to AIDS costing
Global estimates
Economic costs to the year 2000
Conclusion
Technical appendix
362
365
References Sources
Glossary
Index
369
411
419
10.1 Short-term forecasts
Forecasting strategies
353
354
|
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id | DE-604.BV006154491 |
illustrated | Not Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T16:41:12Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 0631178120 |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-003892514 |
oclc_num | 122694463 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | DE-12 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-29 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-188 |
owner_facet | DE-12 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-29 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-188 |
physical | X, 430 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
publishDate | 1992 |
publishDateSearch | 1992 |
publishDateSort | 1992 |
publisher | Blackwell |
record_format | marc |
spelling | Smallman-Raynor, Matthew Verfasser (DE-588)170836835 aut London international atlas of AIDS Matthew Smallman-Raynor, Andrew Cliff and Peter Haggett Atlas of AIDS 1. publ. Oxford u.a. Blackwell 1992 X, 430 S. graph. Darst., Kt. cri rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier AIDS (Disease) Epidemiology Maps HIV infections Epidemiology Maps Medical geography Maps Geomedizin (DE-588)4020235-5 gnd rswk-swf Atlas (DE-588)4143303-8 gnd rswk-swf HIV-Infektion (DE-588)4203852-2 gnd rswk-swf Epidemiologie (DE-588)4015016-1 gnd rswk-swf Aids (DE-588)4112470-4 gnd rswk-swf Aids (DE-588)4112470-4 s Epidemiologie (DE-588)4015016-1 s DE-604 HIV-Infektion (DE-588)4203852-2 s Geomedizin (DE-588)4020235-5 s Atlas (DE-588)4143303-8 s Cliff, Andrew D. Verfasser aut Haggett, Peter 1933- Verfasser (DE-588)119283166 aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=003892514&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Smallman-Raynor, Matthew Cliff, Andrew D. Haggett, Peter 1933- London international atlas of AIDS AIDS (Disease) Epidemiology Maps HIV infections Epidemiology Maps Medical geography Maps Geomedizin (DE-588)4020235-5 gnd Atlas (DE-588)4143303-8 gnd HIV-Infektion (DE-588)4203852-2 gnd Epidemiologie (DE-588)4015016-1 gnd Aids (DE-588)4112470-4 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4020235-5 (DE-588)4143303-8 (DE-588)4203852-2 (DE-588)4015016-1 (DE-588)4112470-4 |
title | London international atlas of AIDS |
title_alt | Atlas of AIDS |
title_auth | London international atlas of AIDS |
title_exact_search | London international atlas of AIDS |
title_full | London international atlas of AIDS Matthew Smallman-Raynor, Andrew Cliff and Peter Haggett |
title_fullStr | London international atlas of AIDS Matthew Smallman-Raynor, Andrew Cliff and Peter Haggett |
title_full_unstemmed | London international atlas of AIDS Matthew Smallman-Raynor, Andrew Cliff and Peter Haggett |
title_short | London international atlas of AIDS |
title_sort | london international atlas of aids |
topic | AIDS (Disease) Epidemiology Maps HIV infections Epidemiology Maps Medical geography Maps Geomedizin (DE-588)4020235-5 gnd Atlas (DE-588)4143303-8 gnd HIV-Infektion (DE-588)4203852-2 gnd Epidemiologie (DE-588)4015016-1 gnd Aids (DE-588)4112470-4 gnd |
topic_facet | AIDS (Disease) Epidemiology Maps HIV infections Epidemiology Maps Medical geography Maps Geomedizin Atlas HIV-Infektion Epidemiologie Aids |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=003892514&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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