The Soviet defence enigma: estimating costs and burden
Gespeichert in:
| Weitere Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Oxford u.a.
Oxford Univ. Pr.
1987
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Literaturangaben |
| Beschreibung: | XVII, 189 S. |
| ISBN: | 0198291183 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents Preface xi List of workshop participants and contributors to this book List of abbreviations, acronyms and definitions Part 1. xiii xv Introduction Paper 1.1. Soviet defence costs— the unquantifíable burden? Carl G. Jacobsen I. Introduction II. Official figures III. Other calculations IV. The burden 3 3 3 6 8 Paper 1.2. Soviet national accounts 11 Gerard Duchêne and Dmitri Steinberg I. Introduction 11 II. Productive and non-productive sectors 12 III. Types of economic unit 12 IV. Production concepts 13 V. Prices and subsidies 13 VI. Accounting for foreign trade 14 VII. Gross social product and net material product (national income) 15 VIII. Amortization deductions and unamortized values 16 IX. Testing the consistency of net material product 16 X. Comparison between Soviet and Western aggregates 17 XI. CIA methodology of calculating Soviet GNP 17 XII. Usable national income 18 XIII. The gap between produced and usable national income 18 XIV. Sectoral equilibrium of resources and uses 19 XV. The place of defence in the national income 19 XVI. National income and state budget data 20 XVII. Individual consumption 20 XVIII. Collective consumption 21 XIX. Depreciation of non-productive fixed capital 21 XX. The accumulation fund: increment of fixed capital 22 XXI. The accumulation fund: increment of material circulating capital 23 XXII. Reserves and ‘other expenditure’ 23
vi CONTENTS Part 2. New approaches Paper 2.1. Estimating total Soviet military expenditures: an alternative approach based on reconstructed Soviet national accounts Dmitri Steinberg I. Introduction II. Published views of Soviet economists III. Military expenditures hidden in national income IV. Integration of national income with production, financial and demographic statistics V. Estimating outlays on defence science VI. Do Soviet armament industries earn profit? VII. Estimating total military expenditures VIII. Estimating the defence burden IX. CIA estimates of Soviet military expenditures X. Conclusion: comparison of NEB-based and CIAestimates 37 40 40 42 43 43 44 Appendix 2.1 A. 48 Supporting tables Paper 2.2 How Soviet defence expenditures fit into the national income accounts Peter Wiles I. Basic methodological approach II. The historical sequence of national income and budgetary accountancies III. The documentary evidence for the capitalizationof weapons IV. Some actual numbers on weapon capitalization V. The magnitude of gross procurement, and hence of Ww VI. How is Ww financed? VII. Other items in the budgetary defence allocation (BDA) VIII. The BDA, all items IX. A fantasia on the Brezhnevian Number Paper 2.3. How much dothe Soviets spend on defence? Gerard. Duchéne I. Introduction II. The use of Soviet statistics for purposes of economic and defence studies III. Estimating the Soviet burden of defence through material product accountancy Paper 2.4. Estimating Soviet defence expenditures from national accounts Kiichi Mochizuki I. Introduction II. Consumption
bysoldiers 27 27 28 30 59 59 60 65 70 78 82 87 90 91 95 95 95 105 լ 17 117 П7
CONTENTS III. IV. V. VI. VII. vii Science research expenditures (R D) Investment and delence expenditures Estimate of the state reserve Estimate of defence expenditures Conclusion 118 118 124 134 134 Paper 2.5. Estimating Soviet military R D spending Mary Acland-Hood I. Introduction II. Problems and possible improvements 137 Part 3. 137 143 Historical context—future prospects Paper 3.1. The Soviet defence burden through the prism of history David R. Jones I. Introduction II. The Muscovite experience III. The Petrine transformation IV. Imperial Russian modernization and the military burden V. The Soviet dilemma 151 Paper 3.2. 175 The defence burden—some general observations 151 152 154 162 169 Alec Nove I. The Object of the exercise II. Some Western recomputations III. The budgetary defence vote IV. How much? V. Machinery prices and investment volume VI. A few comments VII. Conclusions Table 2.1.1. Table 2.1.2. Table 2.1.3. Table 2.1.4. Table 2.1.5. Table 2.1.6. Table 2.1.7. Table 2.1.8. Table 2.1.9. Table 2.2.1. 175 176 179 181 182 184 185 Estimating total military expenditures and defence burden 32 Estimation of the investment residual 33 Estimation of consumption residuals 34 Estimation of investment indefence fixed capital 35 Social services 35 Structure of the investment residual 36 Soviet household budgets 38 Social security revenues 39 Soviet demographic trends 39 Expanded scheme of the inter-branch balance of the production and re-distribution of the social product in the national economy of the USSR (in 1972) in 67 money terms Table 2.2.2. Productive investment 72
viii CONTENTS Table 2.2.3. Table 2.2.4. Table 2.2.5. Table 2.2.6. Table 2.2.7. Table 2.2.8. Table 2.2.9. Table 2.2.10. Table 2.2.11. Table 2.2.12. Table 2.2.13. Table 2.2.14. Table 2.2.15. Table 2.2.16. Table 2.3.1. Table 2.3.2. Table 2.3.3. Table 2.3.4. Table 2.3.5. Table 2.3.6. Figure 2.4.1. Figure 2.4.2. Table 2.4.1. Table 2.4.2. Figure 2.4.3. Table 2.4.3. Table 2.4.4. Table 2.5.1. Table 2.5.2. Table 2.5.3. Table 3.1.1. Table 3.1.2. Table 3.1.3. Table 3.1.4. The ‘new’ table disaggregated The OBDA, servicemen’s pay and Δ Rw Some estimates of Δ R compared The author’s final verdict on Ww Input/Output for 1966 Some US estimates of gross weapon procurement Some annual rates of growth from table 2.2.8 Metodicheskie Ukazania versus Sverdlik The 1963 jump in amortization deductions Gross investment in various versions Amortization and/or depreciation in various versions Servicemen’s pay and maintenance (SMP) in 1965 Components of gross investment in the USSR:1966 The Soviet budgetary defence allocation (BDA) in 1966 Consumption fund of national income, 1975 Personal consumption, 1975 CIA GNF accounts by end-use Comparison of GMP and NMP Military elements of the GMP Soviet Union GDP and military expenditures Flow chart on uncompleted investment Flow chart of estimatesof defencemachinery production Estimate of domestic production and use of defence machinery Increases in government reserve Decision procedure The comparison of two data series on uncompleted construction Estimate of defence expenditures Estimation of the defence and space share of Soviet R D outlays in 1974 Initial
estimates of the Soviet military and space shares of total R D expenditure, compared to Nimitz and to US shares Estimates of Soviet military and space R D expenditure: shares of total expenditure and billion roubles, 1959-84 Army manpower, 1680-1914 Percentage distribution of state budget expenditures in selected years, 1680-1874 Average number of recruits per 100 males,1726-1873 Comparative manpower burdens,1750-1900 75 77 78 79 80 80 81 83 84 85 86 87 89 91 98 98 102 107 110 111 120 121 123 127 130 131 133 141 142 145 155 156 158 159
CONTENTS ix Table 3.1.5. Percentage distribution of state budget expenditures in 5-year periods, 1804-1914 Table 3.1.6. Analysis of Russian defence expenditures, 1909-12 Table 3.1.7. Analysis of government expenditures, 1913 Table 3.2.1. World military expenditures Table 3.2.2. Wholesale prices excluding turnover tax 164 168 168 181 182 Index 187
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| spelling | The Soviet defence enigma estimating costs and burden SIPRI. Ed. by Carl G. Jacobsen Oxford u.a. Oxford Univ. Pr. 1987 XVII, 189 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Literaturangaben Kommunističeskaja Partija Sovetskogo Sojuza gnd Armées - Coût ram Bewapening gtt Budget - URSS - Congrès Défense - URSS ram Forces armées - Crédits budgétaires et dépenses ram Militaire politiek gtt U.R.S.S.-armée ram Kommunistische Partei, Sicherheitspolitik fes Budget Soviet Union Congresses Militärpolitik (DE-588)4065004-2 gnd rswk-swf URSS - Forces armées - Crédits budgétaires et dépenses - Congrès URSS - Forces armées - Crédits budgétaires et dépenses ram URSS - Politique militaire Sowjetunion fes Sowjetunion Soviet Union Armed Forces Appropriations and expenditures Congresses Sowjetunion (DE-588)4077548-3 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift gnd-content Sowjetunion (DE-588)4077548-3 g Militärpolitik (DE-588)4065004-2 s DE-604 Jacobsen, Carl G. edt Stockholm International Peace Research Institute Sonstige (DE-588)2033929-X oth Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=003173318&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | The Soviet defence enigma estimating costs and burden Kommunističeskaja Partija Sovetskogo Sojuza gnd Armées - Coût ram Bewapening gtt Budget - URSS - Congrès Défense - URSS ram Forces armées - Crédits budgétaires et dépenses ram Militaire politiek gtt U.R.S.S.-armée ram Kommunistische Partei, Sicherheitspolitik fes Budget Soviet Union Congresses Militärpolitik (DE-588)4065004-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4065004-2 (DE-588)4077548-3 (DE-588)1071861417 |
| title | The Soviet defence enigma estimating costs and burden |
| title_auth | The Soviet defence enigma estimating costs and burden |
| title_exact_search | The Soviet defence enigma estimating costs and burden |
| title_full | The Soviet defence enigma estimating costs and burden SIPRI. Ed. by Carl G. Jacobsen |
| title_fullStr | The Soviet defence enigma estimating costs and burden SIPRI. Ed. by Carl G. Jacobsen |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Soviet defence enigma estimating costs and burden SIPRI. Ed. by Carl G. Jacobsen |
| title_short | The Soviet defence enigma |
| title_sort | the soviet defence enigma estimating costs and burden |
| title_sub | estimating costs and burden |
| topic | Kommunističeskaja Partija Sovetskogo Sojuza gnd Armées - Coût ram Bewapening gtt Budget - URSS - Congrès Défense - URSS ram Forces armées - Crédits budgétaires et dépenses ram Militaire politiek gtt U.R.S.S.-armée ram Kommunistische Partei, Sicherheitspolitik fes Budget Soviet Union Congresses Militärpolitik (DE-588)4065004-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Kommunističeskaja Partija Sovetskogo Sojuza Armées - Coût Bewapening Budget - URSS - Congrès Défense - URSS Forces armées - Crédits budgétaires et dépenses Militaire politiek U.R.S.S.-armée Kommunistische Partei, Sicherheitspolitik Budget Soviet Union Congresses Militärpolitik URSS - Forces armées - Crédits budgétaires et dépenses - Congrès URSS - Forces armées - Crédits budgétaires et dépenses URSS - Politique militaire Sowjetunion Soviet Union Armed Forces Appropriations and expenditures Congresses Konferenzschrift |
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