Methodological foundations of macroeconomics: Keynes and Lucas
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English Italian |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge u.a.
Cambridge Univ. Press
1991
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Aus d. Ital. übers. |
| Beschreibung: | XV, 269 S. |
| ISBN: | 0521392942 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents
Preface page xiii
List of abbreviations xv
1 Introduction 1
1.1 Thecrisìsofmacroeconomics 1
1.2 Methodology and economics 2
1.3 Keynes and Lucas 3
1.4 Scientific paradigm and heuristic model 4
1.5 The structure of thè book 6
Part t Methodological foundations of macroeconomics
2 Equilibrium, disequilibrium and economie theory 11
2.1 Introduction 11
2.2 The syntactic concept of equilibrium 12
2.3 The dynamic concept of equilibrium 12
2.4 Semantìc concepts of equilibrium 14
2.5 The epistemic reasons for equilibrium 16
2.6 Relativity of thè distinction between equilibrium and
disequilibrium 18
2.7 Paradoxes of a pure equilibrium method 20
2.8 Conclusions 23
Appendix 2A Semantic interpretation of thè solution procedure of
dynamic functional equations 23
Appendix 2B The concept of Nash equilibrium: a case study 27
3 Dynamic instability and economìe models 30
3.1 Introduction 30
3.2 The dynamic behaviour of an economie system in
disequilibrium 31
3.3 Dynamic instability in a stochastic framework 34
ix
3.4 Dynamic instability and structural change 35
3.5 Conclusions 38
Appendix 3 A A general concept of dynamic instability 39
Appendix 3B Ergodic theory and economics 40
4 Structural instability and economic change 43
4.1 Introduction 43
4.2 The concept of structural stability: three views 44
4.3 Structural stability: relativity and degree 46
4.4 Structural instability: plausibility and observability 49
4.5 Structural stability and the methodology of empirical sciences 51
4.6 Conclusions 54
Appendix 4A A few operational concepts of structural instability 54
Appendix 4B Structural stability and the epistemology of change 56
4B.1 Equilibrium, stability and change in ancient Greece 57
4B.2 The modern view of structural stability 60
4B.3 The topological definition of structural stability 62
4B.4 Structural stability in Thorn 65
5 Uncertainty, predictability and flexibility 71
5.1 Introduction 71
5.2 Uncertainty versus risk 72
5.3 The sources of regularity in human behaviour 79
5.4 Uncertainty and flexibility 82
5.5 Conclusions 84
Appendix 5A Decision theory and k uncertainty 85
6 Rationality and expectations 91
6.1 Introduction 91
6.2 Rationality, dynamics and constraints 92
6.3 Rational expectations and equilibrium 97
6.4 Justifications of the hypothesis of rational expectations 99
6.5 The solution procedure of models with rational expectations:
indeterminacy and instability 100
6.6 Rational expectations and adaptive rationality 104
6.7 Conclusions 104
7 Probabilistic causality and economic analysis: Suppes, Keynes,
Granger 106
7.1 Introduction 106
7.2 Suppes s probabilistic causality 107
7.3 Suppes s theory of probabilistic causality: open questions and
glimpses beyond 111
7.4 Keynes and Suppes 114
7.5 Granger s probabilistic causality 116
x
7.6 Granger and Suppes 119
7.7 Conclusions 122
Part II Keynes after Lucas
8 Lucas s scientific paradigm 127
8.1 Introduction 127
8.2 Lucas s economic vision 128
8.3 Definition of the business cycle 132
8.4 A single (monetary) shock: a double non sequitur 134
8.5 The instability of the parameter structure and economic policy 136
8.6 The empirical plausibility of Lucas s hypotheses 139
8.7 Lucas s conception of economic science 140
8.8 Conclusions 142
9 Lucas s heuristic model 143
9.1 Introduction 143
9.2 Description of the model 143
9.3 The Lucas critique : a defence 148
9.4 Limits of Lucas s heuristic model 150
9.4.1 The concept of equilibrium 150
9.4.2 The concept of disequilibrium 152
9.4.3 Dynamic instability and ergodicity: a forgotten requisite 154
9.4.4 Structural instability and uncertainty 155
9.4.5 Rationality and causality 157
9.5 Concluding observations 158
Appendix 9A The heuristic model of Sims 159
10 The real equilibrium business cycle and Lucas s attempt at a
synthesis 163
10.1 Introduction 163
10.2 The real business cycle and Lucas s heuristic model 164
10.3 The basic real business cycle model 165
10.4 Criticisms 169
10.5 Lucas s attempt at a synthesis between MBC and RBC 170
10.6 The prospects of equilibrium business cycle theory 173
10.7 Conclusions 174
11 Keynes s heuristic model: general observations 176
11.1 Introduction 176
11.2 The causal outline of the heuristic model 176
11.2.1 The particular heuristic model (flxprice) 177
11.2.2 The general heuristic model (flexprice) 189
11.3 Conclusions 193
xi
Appendix 11A The fixprice and flexprice heuristic models of the
General Theory 195
Appendix 1 IB The labour market in Keynes 195
Appendix 11C Keynes s heuristic model and IS LM 198
12 Money and production in Schumpeter and Keynes: two
dichotomies 201
12.1 Introduction 201
12.2 Schumpeter: circular flow versus development 202
12.3 Keynes: cooperative economy versus entrepreneur economy 206
12.4 A comparison between the two dichotomies 209
12.5 Conclusions 212
Appendix 12A Money and structural flexibility 214
13 Keynes s heuristic model: methodological aspects 219
13.1 Introduction 219
13.2 The heuristic model and the probabilistic argument 220
13.3 Equilibrium and disequilibrium 224
13.4 Dynamic and structural instability 228
13.5 Expectations 229
13.6 Conclusions 232
14 Conclusions 234
14.1 Introduction 234
14.2 Macroeconomics as an autonomous discipline 235
14.3 The legacy of Keynes 237
14.4 Macroeconomics as a discipline founded on rational non
demonstrative arguments 238
14.5 The contributions of new classical economics 239
14.6 Which Keynesianism today? 242
References 245
Subject index 261
Author index 266
xii
|
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| id | DE-604.BV004618161 |
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| indexdate | 2024-07-09T16:15:02Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0521392942 |
| language | English Italian |
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| spelling | Vercelli, Alessandro Verfasser aut Keynes dopo Lucas Methodological foundations of macroeconomics Keynes and Lucas Alessandro Vercelli 1. publ. Cambridge u.a. Cambridge Univ. Press 1991 XV, 269 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Aus d. Ital. übers. Keynes, John Maynard <1883-1946> ram Lucas, Robert E ram Keynes, John Maynard <1883-1946> Lucas, Robert E Keynes, John Maynard 1883-1946 (DE-588)118561804 gnd rswk-swf Lucas, Robert E. 1937-2023 (DE-588)124426115 gnd rswk-swf Macro-economie gtt Macroéconomie ram Methodologie gtt Methode Macroeconomics Methodologie (DE-588)4139716-2 gnd rswk-swf Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd rswk-swf Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd rswk-swf Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 s Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 s DE-604 Keynes, John Maynard 1883-1946 (DE-588)118561804 p Methodologie (DE-588)4139716-2 s Lucas, Robert E. 1937-2023 (DE-588)124426115 p 1\p DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002836970&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Vercelli, Alessandro Methodological foundations of macroeconomics Keynes and Lucas Keynes, John Maynard <1883-1946> ram Lucas, Robert E ram Keynes, John Maynard <1883-1946> Lucas, Robert E Keynes, John Maynard 1883-1946 (DE-588)118561804 gnd Lucas, Robert E. 1937-2023 (DE-588)124426115 gnd Macro-economie gtt Macroéconomie ram Methodologie gtt Methode Macroeconomics Methodologie (DE-588)4139716-2 gnd Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)118561804 (DE-588)124426115 (DE-588)4139716-2 (DE-588)4037174-8 (DE-588)4038971-6 |
| title | Methodological foundations of macroeconomics Keynes and Lucas |
| title_alt | Keynes dopo Lucas |
| title_auth | Methodological foundations of macroeconomics Keynes and Lucas |
| title_exact_search | Methodological foundations of macroeconomics Keynes and Lucas |
| title_full | Methodological foundations of macroeconomics Keynes and Lucas Alessandro Vercelli |
| title_fullStr | Methodological foundations of macroeconomics Keynes and Lucas Alessandro Vercelli |
| title_full_unstemmed | Methodological foundations of macroeconomics Keynes and Lucas Alessandro Vercelli |
| title_short | Methodological foundations of macroeconomics |
| title_sort | methodological foundations of macroeconomics keynes and lucas |
| title_sub | Keynes and Lucas |
| topic | Keynes, John Maynard <1883-1946> ram Lucas, Robert E ram Keynes, John Maynard <1883-1946> Lucas, Robert E Keynes, John Maynard 1883-1946 (DE-588)118561804 gnd Lucas, Robert E. 1937-2023 (DE-588)124426115 gnd Macro-economie gtt Macroéconomie ram Methodologie gtt Methode Macroeconomics Methodologie (DE-588)4139716-2 gnd Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Keynes, John Maynard <1883-1946> Lucas, Robert E Keynes, John Maynard 1883-1946 Lucas, Robert E. 1937-2023 Macro-economie Macroéconomie Methodologie Methode Macroeconomics Makroökonomie |
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