The dynamics of rational deliberation:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Mass. u.a.
Harvard Univ. Press
1990
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | X, 199 S. Ill., graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 067421885X |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804118400940638208 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Preface vii
1 Principles of Rational Decision 1
Two Paradigms of Rational Decision 1 • Expected
Utility 3 • The Theory of Games 12 • Integrating the
Two Paradigms 26
2. Dynamic Deliberation: Equilibria 28
Deliberational Dynamics and Game Theory 28 •
Deliberational Equilibria 29 • Games Played by Bayesian
Deliberators 32 • Equilibrium Selection 34 • The Bayes
Dynamics 35 • Refinements of the Nash Equilibrium for
the Normal Form 38 • Refinements of the Nash
Equilibrium for the Extensive Form 44 • Correlated
Equilibria 52 • Equilibria and Rationality 61
O Dynamic Deliberation: Stability 62
Dynamic Stability of Equilibria 62 • Imprecise Priors
and Elicitation through Deliberation 66 • Structural
Stability I 73 • Structural Stability 11 80 • Stability
and Rationality 85
4 The Value of Knowledge 87
Good Thinking 88 • Probable Knoidedge 92 • Ramsey s
Anticipation 93 • Dynamic Probability and Generalized
Learning 96 • Generalized Learning Generalized 98 •
vi Contents
Generalized Causal Decision Theory 100 • Deliberational
Equilibrium Reconsidered 101 • M Is for Martingale 105
D Dynamic Coherence 107
Pumping Gold 108 • Coherent Expectations 109 •
Utility 110 • Prevision and Measure 111 • Coherent
Preferences and Upper and Lower Probabilities 112 •
Dynamic Coherence 114 • Bayes Rule 116 • Bayes
Method 118 • Probability Kinematics 119 • Black Box
Learning and Higher Order Probabilities 121 • Rules and
Reference 123 • Coherence and Deliberation 124
6 Good Habits 126
On the Rational Stability of Good Habits 127 • Finite
Iterated Prisoner s Dilemma 129 • Beyond Common
Knowledge of Rationality 130 • Choosing Good
Habits 134 • fust Habits 137 • The Social Contract
Revisited 140 • Taking Turns 141 • Good Habits and
Game Theory 143
/ Prospects for a Theory of Rational
Deliberation 145
Consistency Proofs 145 • Causal Independence and
Rationalizability 147 • Nash Equilibrium
Reconsidered 149 • Dynamics 150 • Fictitious Play by
Carnapians 151 • More Sophisticated Deliberators 152 •
The Tracing Procedure 154 • Toward a Theory of
Dynamic Deliberation 159
Appendix. Deliberational Dynamics
on Your Personal Computer 163
Notes 171
References 181
Index 197
|
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| id | DE-604.BV004197528 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T16:09:42Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 067421885X |
| language | English |
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| physical | X, 199 S. Ill., graph. Darst. |
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| publishDateSearch | 1990 |
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| publisher | Harvard Univ. Press |
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| spelling | Skyrms, Brian 1938- Verfasser (DE-588)14049801X aut The dynamics of rational deliberation Brian Skyrms Cambridge, Mass. u.a. Harvard Univ. Press 1990 X, 199 S. Ill., graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Besliskunde gtt Ethiek gtt Jeux, Théorie des Jeux, Théorie des ram Speltheorie gtt Statistique bayésienne Statistique bayésienne ram Teoria dos jogos larpcal Ethik Bayesian statistical decision theory Game theory Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4144220-9 gnd rswk-swf Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd rswk-swf Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4144220-9 s Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 s DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002614790&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Skyrms, Brian 1938- The dynamics of rational deliberation Besliskunde gtt Ethiek gtt Jeux, Théorie des Jeux, Théorie des ram Speltheorie gtt Statistique bayésienne Statistique bayésienne ram Teoria dos jogos larpcal Ethik Bayesian statistical decision theory Game theory Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4144220-9 gnd Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4144220-9 (DE-588)4056243-8 |
| title | The dynamics of rational deliberation |
| title_auth | The dynamics of rational deliberation |
| title_exact_search | The dynamics of rational deliberation |
| title_full | The dynamics of rational deliberation Brian Skyrms |
| title_fullStr | The dynamics of rational deliberation Brian Skyrms |
| title_full_unstemmed | The dynamics of rational deliberation Brian Skyrms |
| title_short | The dynamics of rational deliberation |
| title_sort | the dynamics of rational deliberation |
| topic | Besliskunde gtt Ethiek gtt Jeux, Théorie des Jeux, Théorie des ram Speltheorie gtt Statistique bayésienne Statistique bayésienne ram Teoria dos jogos larpcal Ethik Bayesian statistical decision theory Game theory Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4144220-9 gnd Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Besliskunde Ethiek Jeux, Théorie des Speltheorie Statistique bayésienne Teoria dos jogos Ethik Bayesian statistical decision theory Game theory Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie Spieltheorie |
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