The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes: 8 A treatise on probability
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
London ; Cambridge
Macmillan ; University Press
1973
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXII, 514 S. |
| ISBN: | 0333107330 0521221005 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804118114501132288 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | CONTENTS
General Introduction page ix
Editorial Foreword by R. B. Braithwaite xv
Editorial Note xxiii
Preface to the First Edition xxv
I FUNDAMENTAL IDEAS
1 THE MEANING OF PROBABILITY 3
2 PROBABILITY IN RELATION TO THE THEORY
OF KNOWLEDGE 10
3 THE MEASUREMENT OF PROBABILITIES 21
4 THE PRINCIPLE OF INDIFFERENCE 44
5 OTHER METHODS OF DETERMINING
PROBABILITIES 70
6 THE WEIGHT OF ARGUMENTS 77
7 HISTORICAL RETROSPECT 86
8 THE FREQUENCY THEORY OF PROBABILITY 100
9 THE CONSTRUCTIVE THEORY OF PART I
SUMMARISED 121
CONTENTS
II FUNDAMENTAL THEOREMS
10 introductory page 125
11 THE THEORY OF GROUPS, WITH SPECIAL
REFERENCE TO LOGICAL CONSISTENCE,
INFERENCE, AND LOGICAL PRIORITY 133
12 THE DEFINITIONS AND AXIOMS OF INFERENCE
AND PROBABILITY I44
13 THE FUNDAMENTAL THEOREMS OF NECESSARY
INFERENCE 151
14 THE FUNDAMENTAL THEOREMS OF PROBABLE
INFERENCE 158
15 NUMERICAL MEASUREMENT AND APPROXIMA-
TION OF PROBABILITIES 174
16 OBSERVATIONS ON THE THEOREMS OF
CHAPTER 14 AND THEIR DEVELOPMENTS,
INCLUDING TESTIMONY l8l
17 SOME PROBLEMS IN INVERSE PROBABILITY,
INCLUDING AVERAGES 206
III INDUCTION AND ANALOGY
18 INTRODUCTION 241
IQ THE NATURE OF ARGUMENT BY ANALOGY 247
20 THE VALUE OF MULTIPLICATION OF
INSTANCES, OR PURE INDUCTION 259
21 THE NATURE OF INDUCTIVE ARGUMENT
CONTINUED 269
22 THE JUSTIFICATION OF THESE METHODS 279
23 SOME HISTORICAL NOTES ON INDUCTION 295
NOTES ON PART III 305
Vi
CONTENTS
IV SOME PHILOSOPHICAL APPLICATIONS
OF PROBABILITY
24 THE MEANINGS OF OBJECTIVE CHANCE, AND
OF RANDOMNESS page 3II
25 SOME PROBLEMS ARISING OUT OF THE
DISCUSSION OF CHANCE 324
26 THE APPLICATION OF PROBABILITY TO
conduct 339
V THE FOUNDATIONS OF
STATISTICAL INFERENCE
27 THE NATURE OF STATISTICAL INFERENCE 359
28 THE LAW OF GREAT NUMBERS 364
29 THE USE OF A PRIORI PROBABILITIES FOR THE
PREDICTION OF STATISTICAL FREQUENCY—
THE THEOREMS OF BERNOULLI, POISSON,
AND TCHEBYCHEFF 369
30 THE MATHEMATICAL USE OF STATISTICAL
FREQUENCIES FOR THE DETERMINATION OF
PROBABILITY A POSTERIORI—THE METHODS
OF LAPLACE 400
31 THE INVERSION OF BERNOULLI’S THEOREM 419
32 THE INDUCTIVE USE OF STATISTICAL FRE-
QUENCIES FOR THE DETERMINATION OF
PROBABILITY A POSTERIORI—THE METHODS
OF LEXIS 427
33 OUTLINE OF A CONSTRUCTIVE THEORY 444
Bibliography 471
Index 507
vii
|
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| id | DE-604.BV003802369 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T16:05:09Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0333107330 0521221005 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-002404286 |
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| physical | XXII, 514 S. |
| publishDate | 1973 |
| publishDateSearch | 1973 |
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| publisher | Macmillan ; University Press |
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| spelling | Keynes, John Maynard 1883-1946 Verfasser (DE-588)118561804 aut The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes 8 A treatise on probability John Maynard Keynes London ; Cambridge Macmillan ; University Press 1973 XXII, 514 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 gnd rswk-swf Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 s DE-604 (DE-604)BV000054818 8 KOBV Fremddatenuebernahme application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002404286&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Keynes, John Maynard 1883-1946 The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4137007-7 |
| title | The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes |
| title_auth | The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes |
| title_exact_search | The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes |
| title_full | The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes 8 A treatise on probability John Maynard Keynes |
| title_fullStr | The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes 8 A treatise on probability John Maynard Keynes |
| title_full_unstemmed | The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes 8 A treatise on probability John Maynard Keynes |
| title_short | The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes |
| title_sort | the collected writings of john maynard keynes a treatise on probability |
| topic | Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002404286&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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