Educated guessing: how to cope in an uncertain world
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York u.a.
Dekker
1983
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Popular statistics
2. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | VI, 187 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 0824770005 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Kotz, Samuel |d 1930-2010 |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)119529653 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Educated guessing |b how to cope in an uncertain world |c Samuel Kotz ; Donna F. Stroup* |
| 264 | 1 | |a New York u.a. |b Dekker |c 1983 | |
| 300 | |a VI, 187 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 1 | |a Popular statistics |v 2. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Besliskunde |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Informatietheorie |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Onzekerheid |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Probabilités | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Statistiek |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Statistique | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Waarschijnlijkheid (statistiek) |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Statistik | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Probabilities | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Statistics | |
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| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-002182178 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804117794378219520 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | CONTENTS
Preface iii
Chapter 1 Assessing Probabilities 1
1.1 Introduction 1
1.2 Probability Then and Now 3
1.3 The Law of Averages 6
1.4 The Language of Probability 8
1.5 Subjective Probability and Odds 18
Chapter 2 Reassessing Probabilities 30
2.1 Conditional Probability and Independence 30
2.2 Bayes Rule 43
2.3 The Art of Asking Questions 51
Chapter 3 Controlling Uncertainty 60
3.1 Expectation of Random Variables 60
3.2 Games of Chance 69
3.3 Lotteries 84
Chapter 4 Information Theory 90
4.1 Information as Communication 90
4.2 Entropy 91
4.3 Mutual Information 96
4.4 Applications of Information 103
vi Contents
Chapter 5 Decision Making in Uncertainty 109
5.1 The Structure of the Problem 109
5.2 Minimax Strategies 115
5.3 Bayesian Decision Making 119
5.4 Randomized Decision Rules 124
5.5 Statistical Hypothesis Testing 133
Appendix A Paradoxes of Probability 143
A.1 Nontransitivity Paradox 143
A.2 Pairwise-Worst-Best Paradox 146
A.3 Clocking Paradox 148
A.4 Simpson s Paradox 148
A.5 Pitfalls of Equal Probability 154
Appendix B Tables 159
B.I Probabilities in Rolling Two Fair Dice 159
B.2 Rank Order Distribution of Five- Card Poker Hands 160
B.3 Craps Bets: Odds and House Percentages 160
B.4 Values of -p log2 (p) 161
Appendix C Answers to Selected Exercises 164
Postscript 173
Bibliography 175
Author Index 183
Subject Index 185
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Kotz, Samuel 1930-2010 Stroup, D. |
| author_GND | (DE-588)119529653 |
| author_facet | Kotz, Samuel 1930-2010 Stroup, D. |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Kotz, Samuel 1930-2010 |
| author_variant | s k sk d s ds |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV003447130 |
| callnumber-first | Q - Science |
| callnumber-label | QA273 |
| callnumber-raw | QA273 |
| callnumber-search | QA273 |
| callnumber-sort | QA 3273 |
| callnumber-subject | QA - Mathematics |
| classification_rvk | QH 233 SK 800 SK 830 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)9442504 (DE-599)BVBBV003447130 |
| dewey-full | 519.2 |
| dewey-hundreds | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
| dewey-ones | 519 - Probabilities and applied mathematics |
| dewey-raw | 519.2 |
| dewey-search | 519.2 |
| dewey-sort | 3519.2 |
| dewey-tens | 510 - Mathematics |
| discipline | Mathematik Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV003447130 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T16:00:04Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0824770005 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-002182178 |
| oclc_num | 9442504 |
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| owner_facet | DE-384 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-20 DE-824 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| physical | VI, 187 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 1983 |
| publishDateSearch | 1983 |
| publishDateSort | 1983 |
| publisher | Dekker |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Popular statistics |
| series2 | Popular statistics |
| spelling | Kotz, Samuel 1930-2010 Verfasser (DE-588)119529653 aut Educated guessing how to cope in an uncertain world Samuel Kotz ; Donna F. Stroup* New York u.a. Dekker 1983 VI, 187 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Popular statistics 2. Besliskunde gtt Informatietheorie gtt Onzekerheid gtt Probabilités Statistiek gtt Statistique Waarschijnlijkheid (statistiek) gtt Statistik Probabilities Statistics Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 s Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 s DE-604 Stroup, D. Verfasser aut Popular statistics 2. (DE-604)BV001892950 2. HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002182178&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Kotz, Samuel 1930-2010 Stroup, D. Educated guessing how to cope in an uncertain world Popular statistics Besliskunde gtt Informatietheorie gtt Onzekerheid gtt Probabilités Statistiek gtt Statistique Waarschijnlijkheid (statistiek) gtt Statistik Probabilities Statistics Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 gnd Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4079013-7 (DE-588)4138606-1 |
| title | Educated guessing how to cope in an uncertain world |
| title_auth | Educated guessing how to cope in an uncertain world |
| title_exact_search | Educated guessing how to cope in an uncertain world |
| title_full | Educated guessing how to cope in an uncertain world Samuel Kotz ; Donna F. Stroup* |
| title_fullStr | Educated guessing how to cope in an uncertain world Samuel Kotz ; Donna F. Stroup* |
| title_full_unstemmed | Educated guessing how to cope in an uncertain world Samuel Kotz ; Donna F. Stroup* |
| title_short | Educated guessing |
| title_sort | educated guessing how to cope in an uncertain world |
| title_sub | how to cope in an uncertain world |
| topic | Besliskunde gtt Informatietheorie gtt Onzekerheid gtt Probabilités Statistiek gtt Statistique Waarschijnlijkheid (statistiek) gtt Statistik Probabilities Statistics Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 gnd Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Besliskunde Informatietheorie Onzekerheid Probabilités Statistiek Statistique Waarschijnlijkheid (statistiek) Statistik Probabilities Statistics Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie Entscheidungstheorie |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002182178&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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