Problems of world modeling: political and social implications
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Mass.
Ballinger
1977
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XVIII, 423 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 088410656X |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents List of Figures xi List of Tables xv Preface xvii Introduction: Background and Purpose of the Volume and the Conference 1 Chapter One The Context of the Conference 3 Hayward R. Alker, Jr. Chapter Two Toward Drift Models and Steering Models 5 Karl W. Deutsch Part I General Problems of World Modeling Chapter Three Relevance for Policy: A Brief Exchange among Erwin Solomon, Karl W. Deutsch, Hayward R. Alker, Jr. v і1 13
vi Contents Chapter Four Some Issues Raised by Previous World Models 17 Hayward R. Alker, Jr. and Ann Tickner Introduction An Outline of the World Models Analysis Dimensions of Controversy Conclusion Selected References Chapter Five The Bariloche Model 17 18 24 30 30 33 Carlos Ma!Imann Chapter Six How Should We Model Policy Makers? 47 William D. Nordhaus Chapter Seven Major Accounting Problems for a World Model 57 Richard Stone Introduction Accounting Frameworks: Economics Accounting Frameworks: The Environment Accounting Frameworks: Social Demography Choosing the Pieces Putting the Pieces Together Conclusions A List of Works Cited Chapter Eight Discussion on Accounting Approaches among Walter Isard, Anatol Rapoport, Otto Eckstein, Hayward R. Alker, Jr. Walter Isard Anatol Rapoport Otto Eckstein Hayward R. Alker, Jr. Part II Politics and Classes 57 58 68 71 76 78 79 81 85 §g 09 o9 95
Contents vii Chapter Nine World Resources and the World Middle Class 97 Nathan Keyfitz Chapter Ten The New Interimperial System 117 Helio Jaguaribe Introductory Remarks The New System The American Empire The Soviet Empire The New Stratification Empire and Imperialism New Soviet Primacy China New Autonomy Three Third Worlds Destabilizing Factions World Authority Concluding Remarks Chapter Eleven More Self-Reliance as an Alternative Policy 117 118 119 120 120 122 123 123 124 123 126 128 129 131 Dieter Senghaas Chapter Twelve Challenge to Models: How Can Patterns of International Dependence and Participation be Quantified and Simulated? 137 Fernando Henrique Cardoso Karl W. Deutsch’s Questions Fernando Henrique Cardoso’s Reply Chapter Thirteen X The New International Economic Order: Social Implications and Political Requirements 141 142 145 Celso Lafer Models after World War II The Legitimacy Crisis Collaboration, Consensus, and Reciprocity Conclusions 145 146 147 149
viii Contents Part III The Data Question 151 Chapter Fourteen Data Priorities for Modeling GlobalDependence 153 Bruce Russett Chapter Fifteen Further Analyses on Global Dependence: An Exchange with Bruce Russett 161 Dieter Senghaas Chapter Sixteen Problems of Data Availability and Quality 165 Charles Lewis Taylor Chapter Seventeen An Example of Data Use: Mail Flows in the European Balance of Power, 1890-1920 169 Richard L. Merritt and Caleb M. Clark Part IV Toward More Comprehensive Models 207 Chapter Eighteen Two Kinds of Complexity: Within Numerical Integration and beyond It 209 Bruno Fritsch Chapter Nineteen When National Security Policies Bred Collective Insecurity: The War of the Pacific in A World Politics Simulation 215 James P. Bennett and Hayward R. Alker, Jr. Introduction Conceptualization of Actors, Goals, and the Structure of the World System Measuring Structural Characteristics, Their Components, Changes, Value-Relevant Consequences Explanatory Mechanisms 215 219 222 230
Contents ix Alternative Pasts and a Program of Diagnostic and Normative Analysis Bibliography Case Study Bibliography Chapter Twenty Machiavelli in Machina: Or Politics among Hexagons Stuart A. Bremer and Michael Mihaika Introduction The Multistate System Decision-Making Rules A Typical Run Some Tentative Generalizations A Preliminary Experiment Directions for Future Research References Chapter Twenty-one Societal Development as the Quintessence of World Development 267 295 299 303 303 306 309 317 324 332 334 336 339 P.N. Rastogi The Dynamics of Societal Systems: A Brief Overview of Theory and Methodology System Simulation and Viability Themes of Inference and Validation The Course of Four Societal Systems The Problem of Prediction in Societal Systems A Performance Panel for Societal Systems The Concept of Societal Development Societal Development and Ecological Factors The Quality of Societal Life Societal Models as the Base of Regional and World Models Societal Development and World Development Bibliography Chapter Twenty-two Information Systems for World Models 341 344 347 349 358 362 362 369 371 371 374 375 379 Manfred Kochen Introduction Desiderata for an Information System to Improve Learning in the Model-Building Community A Suggested Information System 379 381 387
x Contents Retrospect and Prospect Conclusion Bibliography 393 397 398 Conclusion Some Suggestions and Prospects 401 Chapter Twenty-three World Order and the Problems of Values, Identities, and Community Formation 403 Saul Mend/ovitz Chapter Twenty-four Four Major Areas of Concern 411 Candido Mendes Index 413 About the Editors and Contributors 421
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| spelling | Problems of world modeling political and social implications ed. by Karl W. Deutsch ... Cambridge, Mass. Ballinger 1977 XVIII, 423 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Internationale betrekkingen gtt Modellen gtt Relations internationales - Modèles mathématiques Relations économiques internationales - Modèles mathématiques Internationale Wirtschaftsordnung fes Internationale Politik Mathematisches Modell Weltwirtschaft International economic relations Mathematical models International relations Mathematical models Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd rswk-swf Theorie (DE-588)4059787-8 gnd rswk-swf Trend (DE-588)4138150-6 gnd rswk-swf Weltmodell (DE-588)4065443-6 gnd rswk-swf Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd rswk-swf Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd rswk-swf Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 gnd rswk-swf Politik (DE-588)4046514-7 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift gnd-content Weltmodell (DE-588)4065443-6 s DE-604 Politik (DE-588)4046514-7 s Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 s Trend (DE-588)4138150-6 s Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 s Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 s Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 s Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 s Theorie (DE-588)4059787-8 s Deutsch, Karl W. 1912-1992 Sonstige (DE-588)118678035 oth Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002068574&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Problems of world modeling political and social implications Internationale betrekkingen gtt Modellen gtt Relations internationales - Modèles mathématiques Relations économiques internationales - Modèles mathématiques Internationale Wirtschaftsordnung fes Internationale Politik Mathematisches Modell Weltwirtschaft International economic relations Mathematical models International relations Mathematical models Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd Theorie (DE-588)4059787-8 gnd Trend (DE-588)4138150-6 gnd Weltmodell (DE-588)4065443-6 gnd Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 gnd Politik (DE-588)4046514-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4065468-0 (DE-588)4059787-8 (DE-588)4138150-6 (DE-588)4065443-6 (DE-588)4039798-1 (DE-588)4072885-7 (DE-588)4066399-1 (DE-588)4056995-0 (DE-588)4046514-7 (DE-588)1071861417 |
| title | Problems of world modeling political and social implications |
| title_auth | Problems of world modeling political and social implications |
| title_exact_search | Problems of world modeling political and social implications |
| title_full | Problems of world modeling political and social implications ed. by Karl W. Deutsch ... |
| title_fullStr | Problems of world modeling political and social implications ed. by Karl W. Deutsch ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Problems of world modeling political and social implications ed. by Karl W. Deutsch ... |
| title_short | Problems of world modeling |
| title_sort | problems of world modeling political and social implications |
| title_sub | political and social implications |
| topic | Internationale betrekkingen gtt Modellen gtt Relations internationales - Modèles mathématiques Relations économiques internationales - Modèles mathématiques Internationale Wirtschaftsordnung fes Internationale Politik Mathematisches Modell Weltwirtschaft International economic relations Mathematical models International relations Mathematical models Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd Theorie (DE-588)4059787-8 gnd Trend (DE-588)4138150-6 gnd Weltmodell (DE-588)4065443-6 gnd Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 gnd Politik (DE-588)4046514-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Internationale betrekkingen Modellen Relations internationales - Modèles mathématiques Relations économiques internationales - Modèles mathématiques Internationale Wirtschaftsordnung Internationale Politik Mathematisches Modell Weltwirtschaft International economic relations Mathematical models International relations Mathematical models Theorie Trend Weltmodell Modell Wirtschaft Statistik Politik Konferenzschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002068574&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT deutschkarlw problemsofworldmodelingpoliticalandsocialimplications |