Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy?: a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Aldershot u.a.
Gower
1988
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XVII, 380 S. |
| ISBN: | 0566056801 |
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| adam_text | Planning for Basic Needs: A
Soft Option or a Solid Policy?
A Basic Needs Simulation Model Applied to Kenya
ROLPH VAN DER HOEVEN
A study prepared for the International Labour Office within the framework
of the World Employment Programme
Aldershot • Brookfield USA • Hong Kong • Singapore • Sydney
Contents
List of tables xi
List of figures xiii
Preface xv
About the structure of this book xix
PAST I INTRODUCTION 1
1 DEVELOPMENT OF THE CONCEPT OF BASIC NEEDS
AND VARIOUS CRITICISMS 3
1 1 Introduction 3
1 2 Some examples of an early application of
a basic needs approach 7
1 3 Interpretation of basic needs policies 10
1 4 Elements of a basic needs approach 11
1 5 Criticisms of the basic needs approach 13
1 6 Conclusions 19
2 SOME REMARKS ON MODELLING BASIC NEEDS AND AN
OVERVIEW OF THE KENYA BASIC NEEDS MODEL 23
2 1 Questions to be answered by a basic needs model 23
PLANNING FOR BASIC NEEDS
22A brief overview of some macro models applied
in Kenya 27
2 3 Introduction to the Kenya basic needs model 32
3 AN OVERVIEW OF KENYA S DEVELOPMENT SINCE
INDEPENDENCE 39
3 1 Main characteristics of development planning 39
3 2 Income distribution and basic needs in Kenya s
development process 43
PART II DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL 51
4 THE BASIC NEEDS SUBSYSTEM 53
4 1 Input indicators 55
4 2 Output indicators 60
4 3 Education 63
4 4 Health 68
5 THE DEMOGRAPHIC SUBSYSTEM 71
5 1 Fertility 72
5 2 Mortality 76
5 3 Migration 79
5 4 Labour force participation 84
5 5 Population projections 89
6 EFFECTS OF BASIC NEEDS AND DEMOGRAPHIC
VARIABLES ON THE OTHER PARTS OF THE MODEL 95
6 1 Skill composition of the labour force 95
6 2 Labour productivity 99
6 3 Value added share in gross output 99
6 4 Changes in patterns of consumption 100
7 SUPPLY OF PRODUCTS AND FACTORS 101
7 1 Labour supply 101
7 2 Supply of capital 105
7 3 Determination of potential value added 106
vi
CONTENTS
8 DEMAND ON THE PRODUCT MARKET 113
8 1 Consumption by socio-economic group 113
8 2 Investment 119
8 3 Government expenditure and revenue 120
8 4 Imports 123
8 5 Exports 125
9 CONVERGENCY MECHANISMS 129
9 1 Introduction 129
9 2 Convergence on the foreign exchange market 131
9 3 Convergence on the product market 131
9 4 Convergence on the labour market 137
9 5 Convergence on the capital market: Determination
of investment 139
9 6 Stability of the convergency mechanism 145
10 BEHAVIOUR ON THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET 151
11 INCOME DISTRIBUTION, THE SOCIAL ACCOUNTING
MATRIX AND POVERTY DETERMINATION 155
11 1 Determination of the different employment
categories and socio-economic groups 155
11 2 Value added components 161
11 3 Distribution of primary and secondary income
among socio-economic groups 164
11 4 Distributional effects of changes in
rural-urban terms of trade 170
11 5 The social accounting matrix 172
11 6 Determination of poverty 172
PART III RESULTS OF THE ANALYSIS 181
12 EXPERIMENTING WITH THE MODEL: SCENARIO
DESIGN AND THE BASE RUN 183
12 1 Introduction 183
12 2 Scenario design in the model 187
12 3 Base run: Introduction 189
12 4 Base run: General economic characteristics 191
12 5 Base run: Demographic and basic needs
characteristics 192
vii
PLANNING FOR BASIC REEDS
12 6 Base run: Employment and income distribution
characteristics 194
1 1 Y ase run: Convergency mechanisms and social
accounting matrix 196
12 8 Validation 200
13 EXPERIMENTING WITH THE MODEL:
DOMESTIC SCENARIOS 209
13 1 Introduction 209
13 2 Increase in government expenditure (scenario 1) 210
13 3 Changes in government expenditure (scenario 2) 213
13 4 Land redistribution (scenario 3) 214
13 5 Other agricultural policies (scenario 4) 216
13 6 Efficiency in basic needs delivery 220
13 7 Policies to stimulate growth (scenario 5) 224
14 EXPERIMENTING WITH THE MODEL: SCENARIOS
REFLECTING EXTERNAL INFLUENCES AND DOMESTIC
RIGIDITIES 229
14 1 External aid and capital inflow (scenario 6) 229
14 2 Policy experiments under rigid internal and
external circumstances (scenarios 7 and 8) 232
15 CONCLUSIONS 235
15 1 Interpretation of the results of the various
policy scenarios 235
15 2 Lessons drawn: Reflections on results 242
15 3 Lessons drawn: Future research activities 245
Annex Results of the various scenarios and the base
run for some important social and economic
variables 248
APPENDICES 267
1 DETERMINATION OF VALUE ADDED, EMPLOYMENT
AND CAPITAL 269
Al 1 Value added and employment 269
A1 2 Determination of capital stock and depreciation
by sector 273
viii
CONTENTS
2 A COMPARISON BETWEEN THE OFFICIAL 1976 SOCIAL
ACCOUNTING MATRIX AND THE SOCIAL ACCOUNTING
MATRIX BUILT FOR THE MODEL 277
3 THE INPUT-OUTPUT STRUCTURE OF THE MODEL 281
A3 1 Introduction 281
A3 2 Determination of the various input-output
tables used in the model 282
A3 3 Methodology used to split a given sector in an
input-output table into two or more subsectors 293
4 PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS 297
A4 1 The choice of the production function 297
A4 2 The sectoral production functions 300
A4 3 Skilled and unskilled labour inputs 303
A4 4 Determination of the coefficients of the
production functions used in the model 303
5 AN ANALYSIS OF SMALL-SCALE FARMING BASED
ON RURAL SURVEY DATA 307
A5 1 Introduction 307
A5 2 Relation between basic needs and agricultural
production 309
A5 3 Aspects of small farm production 314
A5 4 Farm production functions 323
A5 5 Indirect effects on production 326
A5 6 Determination of the coefficients for
agricultural production functions 327
6 CALCULATION OF UNIT COSTS OF BASIC NEEDS 331
List of variables used 335
Bibliography 343
Author index 367
Subject index 371
ix
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Hoeven, Rolph van der 1948- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)128824042 |
| author_facet | Hoeven, Rolph van der 1948- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Hoeven, Rolph van der 1948- |
| author_variant | r v d h rvd rvdh |
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| callnumber-raw | HC59.7 |
| callnumber-search | HC59.7 |
| callnumber-sort | HC 259.7 |
| callnumber-subject | HC - Economic History and Conditions |
| classification_rvk | QC 347 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)19922500 (DE-599)BVBBV002498440 |
| dewey-full | 338.9/009172/4 338.96762 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 338 - Production |
| dewey-raw | 338.9/009172/4 338.96762 |
| dewey-search | 338.9/009172/4 338.96762 |
| dewey-sort | 3338.9 49172 14 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
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| geographic_facet | Developing countries - Economic policy - Econometric models Kenya Economic policy Econometric models Kenia |
| id | DE-604.BV002498440 |
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| indexdate | 2024-07-09T15:45:55Z |
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| spelling | Hoeven, Rolph van der 1948- Verfasser (DE-588)128824042 aut Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy? a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya Rolph van der Hoeven Aldershot u.a. Gower 1988 XVII, 380 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Entwicklungsländer Wirtschaftspolitik Ökonometrisches Modell Basic needs Kenya Econometric models Grundbedürfnis (DE-588)4158371-1 gnd rswk-swf Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd rswk-swf Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd rswk-swf Grundbedürfnisstrategie (DE-588)4121389-0 gnd rswk-swf Developing countries - Economic policy - Econometric models Kenya Economic policy Econometric models Kenia (DE-588)4030236-2 gnd rswk-swf Kenia (DE-588)4030236-2 g Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 s Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 s DE-604 Grundbedürfnis (DE-588)4158371-1 s Grundbedürfnisstrategie (DE-588)4121389-0 s Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 s HEBIS Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=001609482&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Hoeven, Rolph van der 1948- Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy? a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya Entwicklungsländer Wirtschaftspolitik Ökonometrisches Modell Basic needs Kenya Econometric models Grundbedürfnis (DE-588)4158371-1 gnd Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd Grundbedürfnisstrategie (DE-588)4121389-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4158371-1 (DE-588)4039798-1 (DE-588)4066493-4 (DE-588)4043212-9 (DE-588)4121389-0 (DE-588)4030236-2 |
| title | Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy? a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya |
| title_auth | Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy? a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya |
| title_exact_search | Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy? a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya |
| title_full | Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy? a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya Rolph van der Hoeven |
| title_fullStr | Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy? a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya Rolph van der Hoeven |
| title_full_unstemmed | Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy? a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya Rolph van der Hoeven |
| title_short | Planning for basic needs: a soft option or a solid policy? |
| title_sort | planning for basic needs a soft option or a solid policy a basic needs simulation model applied to kenya |
| title_sub | a basic needs simulation model applied to Kenya |
| topic | Entwicklungsländer Wirtschaftspolitik Ökonometrisches Modell Basic needs Kenya Econometric models Grundbedürfnis (DE-588)4158371-1 gnd Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd Grundbedürfnisstrategie (DE-588)4121389-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Entwicklungsländer Wirtschaftspolitik Ökonometrisches Modell Basic needs Kenya Econometric models Grundbedürfnis Modell Grundbedürfnisstrategie Developing countries - Economic policy - Econometric models Kenya Economic policy Econometric models Kenia |
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