Notes on the theory of choice:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Boulder, Colorado
Westview Press
[1988]
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| Schriftenreihe: | Underground classics in economics
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Klappentext |
| Beschreibung: | xv, 207 Seiten |
| ISBN: | 0813375533 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents Preface........................... ............................................................. xiii 1. Introduction ......................................................... 1 Normative Applications.............................................................. 4 Descriptive Applications .......................................................... 5 Problems ......................................................................................6 2. Preference Relations and Revealed Preference............................7 Binary Relations...................................................... 7 Preference Relations .................................................................. 8 Revealed Preference Theory.....................................................11 Concluding Remarks.................... 15 Problems ....................................................................................16 3. Ordinal Utility................................................................................19 Finite X ....................................................................................19 Countably Infinite X................................................................ 22 Uncountable X ........................................................................24 Uniqueness ................................................................................26 Bells and Whistles......................................................... 26 Problems ............................................................. 28 4. Choice Under Uncertainty: Formulations and
Representations............................................. 31 NM Models ................................................................................32 Savage Style Models ................................................................ 33 Anscombe-Aumann . .............................................................38 Problems ....................................................................................39 5. von Neumann-Morgenstern Expected Utility ..........................43 Finite Prize Spaces .............................................................. . 43 The Mixture Space Theorem.....................................................52 Simple Probability Distributions............................................. 57 Non-simple Probability Measures and the Sure-thing Principle.........................................................59 ix
x Bounded Utility ........................................................................ 63 Continuity ................................................................................65 Problems ....................................................................................68 6. Utility Functions for Money.........................................................71 Basic Properties and Definitions............................................. 71 Decreasing, Increasing, and Constant Risk Aversion ... 74 Comparison of the Risk Aversion of .Two Totreps..................77 Proof of Theorem (6.7).................................................. 80 Relative Risk Aversion .................................. 81 Normative Uses of These Properties ................... 82 On Descriptive Applications and “Stronger Measures of Risk Aversion”................................. 88 Problems .............................................. 92 7. Horse Race Lotteries and Roulette Wheels ..............................99 The Choice Set ...................................................................... 100 Я as a Mixture Space................... 102 First Roulette and then the Horses........................................105 State Dependent and State Independent Utility .... 108 Problems .................................................................................. Ill 8. Subjective Probability ...............................................................115 Probability Measures...............................................................116 Qualitative
Probability...........................................................117 Basics of the Savage Approach............................................... 120 Fine and Tight Qualitative Probabilities ............................122 The Savage Theory...................................................................124 Problems .................................................................................. 125 9. Savage’s Theory of Choice Under Uncertainty........................127 The Savage Formulation.......................................... 127 The Seven Savage Axioms ....................................................... 128 The Savage Development ....................................................... 132 Problems ................................................................. 136 10. Conditional Preference, Conditional Probability, and Contingent Choice ...........................................................139 Conditional Preference and Conditional Probability . . . 139
xi Choosing an Action Contingent Upon New Information 141 Problems ................................................................................. 144 11. Independence, Exchangeability, and de Finetti’sTheorem 145 Some Bedtime Reading.......................................................... 145 de Finetti’s Theorem.............................................................. 157 de Finetti’s Theorem as the Fundamental Theorem of (Most) Statistics ........................................... 159 Bayesian Inference and de Finetti’s Theorem As Normative Decision Tools ........................................... 160 Unanimous Priors ..................................................................162 Problems ...............................................................................163 12. Normative Uses of These Models on Subproblems.... 165 The Basic Problem..................................................................166 Variation #1: Statistical Dependence Between xand y . 167 Variation #2: Discretion as to y........................................... 169 Variation #3: Temporal Resolution of Uncertainty ... 171 Summary................................................................................. 175 Problems ..................................................................... ... . 176 13. Dynamic Choice Theory and the Choice of Opportunity Sets 181 Basic Setup..............................................................................181 The Standard Model.............................................................. 183 Changing Tastes and Sophisticated
Choice............................185 Preference for Flexibility .................................. 187 Discussion ... :..................................................................189 Problems ......................................................... 190 14. The Experimental Evidence ...................................................191 The Allais Paradox .................................................................. 192 The Ellsberg Paradox.............................................................. 195 Framing Effects ......................................................................196 Summary.......................................... 198 Problems ................................................................................. 198 References.........................................................................................201 Index.................................................................................................205
NOTES ON THE THEORY OF CHOICE David M. Kreps In this book, Professor Kreps presents a first course on the basic models of choice theory that underlie much of economic theory. This course, taught for several years at the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, gives the student an introduction to the axiomatic method of economic analysis, without placing too heavy a demand on mathematical sophistication. The course begins with the basics of choice and revealed preference theory and then discusses numerical representations of ordinal preference. Models with uncertainty come next: First is von Neumann-Morgenstern utility, and then choice under uncer tainty with subjective uncertainty, using the formulation of Anscombe and Aumann, and then sketching the development of Savage s classic theory. Finally, the course delves into a number of special topics, including de Finetti s theorem, modeling choice on a part of a larger problem, dynamic choice, and the empirical evidence against the classic models. David M. Kreps is the Paul E. Holden Professor of Economics in the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University.
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| language | English |
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| spelling | Kreps, David M. 1950- Verfasser (DE-588)11388589X aut Notes on the theory of choice David M. Kreps Theory of choice Boulder, Colorado Westview Press [1988] xv, 207 Seiten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Underground classics in economics Consommateurs - Préférences Consommateurs - Préférences ram Demande (Théorie économique) Incertitude Incertitude ram Jeux, Théorie des Jeux, théorie des ram Keuzegedrag gtt Micro-economie gtt Microéconomie Microéconomie ram Offre et demande ram Onzekerheid gtt Utilité (Économie politique) Utilité (économie politique) ram Consumers' preferences Demand (Economic theory) Game theory Microeconomics Uncertainty Utility theory Konsumtheorie (DE-588)4165121-2 gnd rswk-swf Nutzentheorie (DE-588)4131868-7 gnd rswk-swf Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Konsumtheorie (DE-588)4165121-2 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s DE-604 Nutzentheorie (DE-588)4131868-7 s Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=000515976&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=000515976&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Klappentext |
| spellingShingle | Kreps, David M. 1950- Notes on the theory of choice Consommateurs - Préférences Consommateurs - Préférences ram Demande (Théorie économique) Incertitude Incertitude ram Jeux, Théorie des Jeux, théorie des ram Keuzegedrag gtt Micro-economie gtt Microéconomie Microéconomie ram Offre et demande ram Onzekerheid gtt Utilité (Économie politique) Utilité (économie politique) ram Consumers' preferences Demand (Economic theory) Game theory Microeconomics Uncertainty Utility theory Konsumtheorie (DE-588)4165121-2 gnd Nutzentheorie (DE-588)4131868-7 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4165121-2 (DE-588)4131868-7 (DE-588)4114528-8 |
| title | Notes on the theory of choice |
| title_alt | Theory of choice |
| title_auth | Notes on the theory of choice |
| title_exact_search | Notes on the theory of choice |
| title_full | Notes on the theory of choice David M. Kreps |
| title_fullStr | Notes on the theory of choice David M. Kreps |
| title_full_unstemmed | Notes on the theory of choice David M. Kreps |
| title_short | Notes on the theory of choice |
| title_sort | notes on the theory of choice |
| topic | Consommateurs - Préférences Consommateurs - Préférences ram Demande (Théorie économique) Incertitude Incertitude ram Jeux, Théorie des Jeux, théorie des ram Keuzegedrag gtt Micro-economie gtt Microéconomie Microéconomie ram Offre et demande ram Onzekerheid gtt Utilité (Économie politique) Utilité (économie politique) ram Consumers' preferences Demand (Economic theory) Game theory Microeconomics Uncertainty Utility theory Konsumtheorie (DE-588)4165121-2 gnd Nutzentheorie (DE-588)4131868-7 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Consommateurs - Préférences Demande (Théorie économique) Incertitude Jeux, Théorie des Jeux, théorie des Keuzegedrag Micro-economie Microéconomie Offre et demande Onzekerheid Utilité (Économie politique) Utilité (économie politique) Consumers' preferences Demand (Economic theory) Game theory Microeconomics Uncertainty Utility theory Konsumtheorie Nutzentheorie Mathematisches Modell |
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