Foresight in science: picking the winners
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
London u.a.
Pinter
1984
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XIV, 166 S. |
| ISBN: | 086187496X |
Staff View
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000 c 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV000424963 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 00000000000000.0 | ||
| 007 | t | ||
| 008 | 870612s1984 |||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 020 | |a 086187496X |9 0-86187-496-X | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)11186628 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV000424963 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rakddb | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-12 | ||
| 050 | 0 | |a Q180.G7 | |
| 082 | 0 | |a 338.941 |2 19 | |
| 100 | 1 | |a Irvine, John |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Foresight in science |b picking the winners |c John Irvine and Ben R. Martin |
| 264 | 1 | |a London u.a. |b Pinter |c 1984 | |
| 300 | |a XIV, 166 S. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Investigación | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Politique scientifique et technique - Grande-Bretagne | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Prévision technologique | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Recherche - Grande-Bretagne | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Recherche - Prévision | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Wetenschapsbeleid |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Research |x Forecasting | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Research |z Great Britain | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Science and state |z Great Britain | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Technological forecasting | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Wissenschaftsförderung |0 (DE-588)4245713-0 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 651 | 4 | |a Großbritannien | |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a Wissenschaftsförderung |0 (DE-588)4245713-0 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | |5 DE-604 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Martin, Ben R. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m HEBIS Datenaustausch |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=000262936&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-000262936 | ||
Record in the Search Index
| _version_ | 1804114885818187776 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Foresight in Science
Picking the Winners
John Irvine and Ben R Martin
v tMr’v ; yb ybnlrcbo Bibüolhek
I*
3 d^rTi-chn HochcebuSa Darmstadt
i
%
^ Inv -Mr
:qs^i CDS
Frances Pinter (Publishers)
London and Dover, N H
Contents
List of figures and tables ix
Preface and acknowledgements xi
Foreword by Sir Ronald Mason, FRS xiii
1 Introduction: the role of strategic research 1
1 1 Basic research in the new economic context 1
1 2 The concept of strategic research 2
1 3 Strategic research as a policy concern 5
1 4 Origins and structure of the book 8
References 12
2 Learning from history: retrospective studies of innovation 15
2 1 Science, technology and the innovation process 15
2 2 Project Hindsight 16
2 3 TRACES 18
2 4 Interactions of science and technology in the
innovative process 21
2 5 Study of biomedical science by Comroe and Dripps 22
2 6 Other restrospective studies 23
2 7 Lessons from retrospective studies of innovation 24
References 27
3 Research forecasting in France 29
3 1 Introduction 29
3 2 Basic research: forecasting activity by the CNRS 30
3 3 Strategic and applied research: forecasting activity
by the Ministry of Industry and Research 3 3
3 4 Forecasting activity by industry 39
References 43
4 Research forecasting in West Germany 45
4 1 Introduction 45
4 2 Basic research: forecasting activity by the DFG
and MPG
45
VI
CONTENTS
421 Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) 45
422 The Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (MPG) 48
4 3 Strategie and applied research: forecasting activity
by the BMFT and FhG 51
431 Federal Ministry for Research and
Technology (BMFT) 51
432 Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft (FhG) 56
4 4 Forecasting activity by industry 58
References 65
5 Research forecasting in the United States 67
5 1 Introduction 67
5 2 Forecasting in basic science: NSF and NAS 67
521 The COSPUP field surveys 68
522 NSF studies commissioned from consultancies 76
5 3 Forecasting in strategic and applied research: the DoE 83
5 4 Overall research forecasting: OSTP 85
5 5 Research forecasting: science-based firms 88
5 6 Research forecasting: consultancies 93
References 101
6 Research forecasting in Japan 105
6 1 Introduction 105
6 2 Forecasting of fundamental research: Monbusho 105
6 3 Forecasting of strategic research and basic technology:
the STA 107
631 The STA thirty-year forecasts 107
632 The STA ERATO programme 114
6 4 Forecasting of basic technology: MITI 117
6 5 Forecasting of strategic and applied research:
industry 124
6 6 Forecasting of strategic and applied research:
consultancy organisations 130
References 134
7 Learning from others: cross-national comparisons 137
7 1 Introduction 137
7 2 Lessons from national research-funding agencies 137
7 3 Lessons from government departments, ministries
and agencies 140
7 4 Lessons from industry 144
CONTENTS
vii
8 Conclusions: future options for picking scientific winners 149
8 1 Approaches to research forecasting: a summary 149
8 2 Macro-level strategic research forecasting:
an option for Britain 151
821 The aims of macro-level forecasting 153
822 General nature of macro-level forecasting 154
823 Procedures for undertaking the macro-level
forecast 156
824 Establishing macro-level forecasting on a
continuing basis 158
References 161
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Irvine, John Martin, Ben R. |
| author_facet | Irvine, John Martin, Ben R. |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Irvine, John |
| author_variant | j i ji b r m br brm |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV000424963 |
| callnumber-first | Q - Science |
| callnumber-label | Q180 |
| callnumber-raw | Q180.G7 |
| callnumber-search | Q180.G7 |
| callnumber-sort | Q 3180 G7 |
| callnumber-subject | Q - General Science |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)11186628 (DE-599)BVBBV000424963 |
| dewey-full | 338.941 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 338 - Production |
| dewey-raw | 338.941 |
| dewey-search | 338.941 |
| dewey-sort | 3338.941 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01674nam a2200469 c 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV000424963</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">00000000000000.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">870612s1984 |||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">086187496X</subfield><subfield code="9">0-86187-496-X</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)11186628</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV000424963</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rakddb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-12</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="050" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Q180.G7</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">338.941</subfield><subfield code="2">19</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Irvine, John</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Foresight in science</subfield><subfield code="b">picking the winners</subfield><subfield code="c">John Irvine and Ben R. Martin</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">London u.a.</subfield><subfield code="b">Pinter</subfield><subfield code="c">1984</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">XIV, 166 S.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Investigación</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Politique scientifique et technique - Grande-Bretagne</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Prévision technologique</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Recherche - Grande-Bretagne</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Recherche - Prévision</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Wetenschapsbeleid</subfield><subfield code="2">gtt</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Research</subfield><subfield code="x">Forecasting</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Research</subfield><subfield code="z">Great Britain</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Science and state</subfield><subfield code="z">Great Britain</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Technological forecasting</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Wissenschaftsförderung</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4245713-0</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Großbritannien</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Wissenschaftsförderung</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4245713-0</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="5">DE-604</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Martin, Ben R.</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="m">HEBIS Datenaustausch</subfield><subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield><subfield code="u">http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=000262936&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA</subfield><subfield code="3">Inhaltsverzeichnis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-000262936</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| geographic | Großbritannien |
| geographic_facet | Großbritannien |
| id | DE-604.BV000424963 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T15:13:50Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 086187496X |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-000262936 |
| oclc_num | 11186628 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 |
| physical | XIV, 166 S. |
| publishDate | 1984 |
| publishDateSearch | 1984 |
| publishDateSort | 1984 |
| publisher | Pinter |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Irvine, John Verfasser aut Foresight in science picking the winners John Irvine and Ben R. Martin London u.a. Pinter 1984 XIV, 166 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Investigación Politique scientifique et technique - Grande-Bretagne Prévision technologique Recherche - Grande-Bretagne Recherche - Prévision Wetenschapsbeleid gtt Research Forecasting Research Great Britain Science and state Great Britain Technological forecasting Wissenschaftsförderung (DE-588)4245713-0 gnd rswk-swf Großbritannien Wissenschaftsförderung (DE-588)4245713-0 s DE-604 Martin, Ben R. Verfasser aut HEBIS Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=000262936&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Irvine, John Martin, Ben R. Foresight in science picking the winners Investigación Politique scientifique et technique - Grande-Bretagne Prévision technologique Recherche - Grande-Bretagne Recherche - Prévision Wetenschapsbeleid gtt Research Forecasting Research Great Britain Science and state Great Britain Technological forecasting Wissenschaftsförderung (DE-588)4245713-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4245713-0 |
| title | Foresight in science picking the winners |
| title_auth | Foresight in science picking the winners |
| title_exact_search | Foresight in science picking the winners |
| title_full | Foresight in science picking the winners John Irvine and Ben R. Martin |
| title_fullStr | Foresight in science picking the winners John Irvine and Ben R. Martin |
| title_full_unstemmed | Foresight in science picking the winners John Irvine and Ben R. Martin |
| title_short | Foresight in science |
| title_sort | foresight in science picking the winners |
| title_sub | picking the winners |
| topic | Investigación Politique scientifique et technique - Grande-Bretagne Prévision technologique Recherche - Grande-Bretagne Recherche - Prévision Wetenschapsbeleid gtt Research Forecasting Research Great Britain Science and state Great Britain Technological forecasting Wissenschaftsförderung (DE-588)4245713-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Investigación Politique scientifique et technique - Grande-Bretagne Prévision technologique Recherche - Grande-Bretagne Recherche - Prévision Wetenschapsbeleid Research Forecasting Research Great Britain Science and state Great Britain Technological forecasting Wissenschaftsförderung Großbritannien |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=000262936&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT irvinejohn foresightinsciencepickingthewinners AT martinbenr foresightinsciencepickingthewinners |