Is inflation domestic or global? :: evidence from emerging markets.
Following a period of disinflation during the 1990s and early 2000s, inflation in emerging markets has remained remarkably low and stable. Was this related to a global disinflation environment triggered by China's integration into world trade and the broader globalization in these economies, or...
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
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Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2018.
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| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | Following a period of disinflation during the 1990s and early 2000s, inflation in emerging markets has remained remarkably low and stable. Was this related to a global disinflation environment triggered by China's integration into world trade and the broader globalization in these economies, or to better domestic policies? In this paper, we review the inflation performance in a sample of 19 large emerging markets in the past couple of decades and quantify the impact of domestic and global factors in determining inflation. We document that the level, volatility, and persistence of inflation declined significantly, albeit not uniformly. Our results suggest that longer-term inflation expectations, linked to domestic factors, were the main determinant of inflation. External factors played a considerably smaller role. The results are a useful piece of evidence as emerging markets craft their monetary policies to navigate the future shift in global financial conditions. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (27 pages) |
| ISBN: | 148438427X 9781484381595 1484381599 9781484384275 |
Internformat
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Is inflation domestic or global? : |b evidence from emerging markets. |
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| 505 | 0 | |a Cover; Contents; 1 Introduction; 2 Background; 2.1 Inflation Performance in Emerging Markets; 2.2 The Globalization of Inflation Hypothesis; 2.3 Institutional Changes; 3 The Role of Domestic and Global Factors: An Empirical Assessment; 3.1 An Augmented Phillips Curve Framework; 3.1.1 Empirical Strategy; 3.1.2 Estimation Results; 3.2 Contributions to Inflation Deviations from ""Target; 3.3 Contributions to Inflation Variation; 3.4 Robustness Exercises; 3.4.1 Global Factors; 3.4.2 Extensions; 3.4.3 Inflation Expectation Horizons; 4 Conclusions; References; A Data Sources; List of Figures. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a 1 Disinflation in Emerging Markets2 Share of Countries with Double-Digit Inflation; 3 Inflation Dynamics; 4 Integration of Emerging Markets into Global Markets; 5 Adoption of Policy Frameworks; 6 Contributions to Deviation of Core Inflation from Target, by Subperiod; 7 Common Driver of Core Inflation; 8 Contributions to Deviations of Core Inflation from Target, by Country; 9 Contributions to Inflation Variation, by Country; 10 Contribution of Domestic and Global Factors to Inflation Variation, by Country; List of Tables. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a 1 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Specifications Augmented for External Factor2 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Alternative Specifications; 3 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Extensions; 4 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Varying Ination Expectation Horizon; A.1 Data sources. | |
| 520 | 3 | |a Following a period of disinflation during the 1990s and early 2000s, inflation in emerging markets has remained remarkably low and stable. Was this related to a global disinflation environment triggered by China's integration into world trade and the broader globalization in these economies, or to better domestic policies? In this paper, we review the inflation performance in a sample of 19 large emerging markets in the past couple of decades and quantify the impact of domestic and global factors in determining inflation. We document that the level, volatility, and persistence of inflation declined significantly, albeit not uniformly. Our results suggest that longer-term inflation expectations, linked to domestic factors, were the main determinant of inflation. External factors played a considerably smaller role. The results are a useful piece of evidence as emerging markets craft their monetary policies to navigate the future shift in global financial conditions. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Inflation (Finance) |z Developing countries. | |
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| 651 | 7 | |a Developing countries |2 fast | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Caselli, Francesca G., |e author. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2016003455 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Grigoli, Francesco, |e author. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2010104617 | |
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| author | Bems, Rudolfs Caselli, Francesca G. Grigoli, Francesco |
| author_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2007025340 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2016003455 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2010104617 |
| author_facet | Bems, Rudolfs Caselli, Francesca G. Grigoli, Francesco |
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| contents | Cover; Contents; 1 Introduction; 2 Background; 2.1 Inflation Performance in Emerging Markets; 2.2 The Globalization of Inflation Hypothesis; 2.3 Institutional Changes; 3 The Role of Domestic and Global Factors: An Empirical Assessment; 3.1 An Augmented Phillips Curve Framework; 3.1.1 Empirical Strategy; 3.1.2 Estimation Results; 3.2 Contributions to Inflation Deviations from ""Target; 3.3 Contributions to Inflation Variation; 3.4 Robustness Exercises; 3.4.1 Global Factors; 3.4.2 Extensions; 3.4.3 Inflation Expectation Horizons; 4 Conclusions; References; A Data Sources; List of Figures. 1 Disinflation in Emerging Markets2 Share of Countries with Double-Digit Inflation; 3 Inflation Dynamics; 4 Integration of Emerging Markets into Global Markets; 5 Adoption of Policy Frameworks; 6 Contributions to Deviation of Core Inflation from Target, by Subperiod; 7 Common Driver of Core Inflation; 8 Contributions to Deviations of Core Inflation from Target, by Country; 9 Contributions to Inflation Variation, by Country; 10 Contribution of Domestic and Global Factors to Inflation Variation, by Country; List of Tables. 1 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Specifications Augmented for External Factor2 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Alternative Specifications; 3 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Extensions; 4 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Varying Ination Expectation Horizon; A.1 Data sources. |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1076240399 |
| dewey-full | 332.4/109172/4 |
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| dewey-ones | 332 - Financial economics |
| dewey-raw | 332.4/109172/4 |
| dewey-search | 332.4/109172/4 |
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| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Electronic eBook |
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| geographic | Developing countries fast |
| geographic_facet | Developing countries |
| id | ZDB-4-EBU-on1076240399 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-11-26T14:49:32Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 148438427X 9781484381595 1484381599 9781484384275 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Bems, Rudolfs, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2007025340 Is inflation domestic or global? : evidence from emerging markets. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018. 1 online resource (27 pages) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier Print version record. Cover; Contents; 1 Introduction; 2 Background; 2.1 Inflation Performance in Emerging Markets; 2.2 The Globalization of Inflation Hypothesis; 2.3 Institutional Changes; 3 The Role of Domestic and Global Factors: An Empirical Assessment; 3.1 An Augmented Phillips Curve Framework; 3.1.1 Empirical Strategy; 3.1.2 Estimation Results; 3.2 Contributions to Inflation Deviations from ""Target; 3.3 Contributions to Inflation Variation; 3.4 Robustness Exercises; 3.4.1 Global Factors; 3.4.2 Extensions; 3.4.3 Inflation Expectation Horizons; 4 Conclusions; References; A Data Sources; List of Figures. 1 Disinflation in Emerging Markets2 Share of Countries with Double-Digit Inflation; 3 Inflation Dynamics; 4 Integration of Emerging Markets into Global Markets; 5 Adoption of Policy Frameworks; 6 Contributions to Deviation of Core Inflation from Target, by Subperiod; 7 Common Driver of Core Inflation; 8 Contributions to Deviations of Core Inflation from Target, by Country; 9 Contributions to Inflation Variation, by Country; 10 Contribution of Domestic and Global Factors to Inflation Variation, by Country; List of Tables. 1 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Specifications Augmented for External Factor2 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Alternative Specifications; 3 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Extensions; 4 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Varying Ination Expectation Horizon; A.1 Data sources. Following a period of disinflation during the 1990s and early 2000s, inflation in emerging markets has remained remarkably low and stable. Was this related to a global disinflation environment triggered by China's integration into world trade and the broader globalization in these economies, or to better domestic policies? In this paper, we review the inflation performance in a sample of 19 large emerging markets in the past couple of decades and quantify the impact of domestic and global factors in determining inflation. We document that the level, volatility, and persistence of inflation declined significantly, albeit not uniformly. Our results suggest that longer-term inflation expectations, linked to domestic factors, were the main determinant of inflation. External factors played a considerably smaller role. The results are a useful piece of evidence as emerging markets craft their monetary policies to navigate the future shift in global financial conditions. Inflation (Finance) Developing countries. Inflation (Finance) fast Developing countries fast Caselli, Francesca G., author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2016003455 Grigoli, Francesco, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2010104617 has work: Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCXhvytMgHdTr4FTYcVVY8y https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Print version: Bems, Rudolfs. Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2018 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBU FWS_PDA_EBU https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1940897 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Bems, Rudolfs Caselli, Francesca G. Grigoli, Francesco Is inflation domestic or global? : evidence from emerging markets. Cover; Contents; 1 Introduction; 2 Background; 2.1 Inflation Performance in Emerging Markets; 2.2 The Globalization of Inflation Hypothesis; 2.3 Institutional Changes; 3 The Role of Domestic and Global Factors: An Empirical Assessment; 3.1 An Augmented Phillips Curve Framework; 3.1.1 Empirical Strategy; 3.1.2 Estimation Results; 3.2 Contributions to Inflation Deviations from ""Target; 3.3 Contributions to Inflation Variation; 3.4 Robustness Exercises; 3.4.1 Global Factors; 3.4.2 Extensions; 3.4.3 Inflation Expectation Horizons; 4 Conclusions; References; A Data Sources; List of Figures. 1 Disinflation in Emerging Markets2 Share of Countries with Double-Digit Inflation; 3 Inflation Dynamics; 4 Integration of Emerging Markets into Global Markets; 5 Adoption of Policy Frameworks; 6 Contributions to Deviation of Core Inflation from Target, by Subperiod; 7 Common Driver of Core Inflation; 8 Contributions to Deviations of Core Inflation from Target, by Country; 9 Contributions to Inflation Variation, by Country; 10 Contribution of Domestic and Global Factors to Inflation Variation, by Country; List of Tables. 1 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Specifications Augmented for External Factor2 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Alternative Specifications; 3 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Extensions; 4 Hybrid Phillips Curve Estimation, Varying Ination Expectation Horizon; A.1 Data sources. Inflation (Finance) Developing countries. Inflation (Finance) fast |
| title | Is inflation domestic or global? : evidence from emerging markets. |
| title_auth | Is inflation domestic or global? : evidence from emerging markets. |
| title_exact_search | Is inflation domestic or global? : evidence from emerging markets. |
| title_full | Is inflation domestic or global? : evidence from emerging markets. |
| title_fullStr | Is inflation domestic or global? : evidence from emerging markets. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Is inflation domestic or global? : evidence from emerging markets. |
| title_short | Is inflation domestic or global? : |
| title_sort | is inflation domestic or global evidence from emerging markets |
| title_sub | evidence from emerging markets. |
| topic | Inflation (Finance) Developing countries. Inflation (Finance) fast |
| topic_facet | Inflation (Finance) Developing countries. Inflation (Finance) Developing countries |
| url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1940897 |
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