Riding the energy transition :: oil beyond 2040 /
Recent technological developments and past technology transitions suggest that the world could be on the verge of a profound shift in transportation technology. The return of the electric car and its adoption, like that of the motor vehicle in place of horses in early 20th century, could cut oil con...
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| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
[Washington, D.C.] :
International Monetary Fund,
[2017]
|
| Schriftenreihe: | IMF working paper ;
WP/17/120. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | Recent technological developments and past technology transitions suggest that the world could be on the verge of a profound shift in transportation technology. The return of the electric car and its adoption, like that of the motor vehicle in place of horses in early 20th century, could cut oil consumption substantially in the coming decades. Our analysis suggests that oil as the main fuel for transportation could have a much shorter life span left than commonly assumed. In the fast adoption scenario, oil prices could converge to the level of coal prices, about |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (43) |
| ISBN: | 1484301315 9781484301319 1484301129 9781484301128 |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 ; |
Internformat
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| 505 | 8 | |a Cover; CONTENTS; Abstract; I. Introduction: Energy Transitions; II. Transportation Revolution and the Return of the Electric Car; A. Horse vs. Car: A Historical Parallel; B. Diffusion Model for Electric Cars; C. Disappearing Hurdles on the Road to Motor-Vehicle Displacement; D. Electric Cars and Adoption of Other Technologies; III. Generating Electricity: The Sweep of Renewables; IV. Oil as the New Coal?; V. Concluding Remarks; VI. Appendix; Figures; Figure 1. Primary Energy Consumption Shares (USA, 1875-2015); Figure 2. Natural Gas, Petroleum, Renewables Over Time (USA). | |
| 505 | 8 | |a Figure 3. Oil Share of Primary Energy Use, Sectoral (USA)Figure 4. Electric Cars and Motor Vehicles (USA); Figure 5. Motor Vehicles vs. Horses (USA); Figure 6. Electric Vehicle Penetration Projection, Method I; Figure 7. Electric Vehicle Penetration Projection, Method II; Figure 8. Electric and Motor Vehicles Adoption and Prices; Figure 9. Global Consumer Technology Penetration; Figure 10. Global Spread of Smartphones; Figure 11. Global Diffusion: Power Technologies; Figure 12. Comparing Transitions, Excluding Transport (USA); Figure 13. The Decline and Fall of Coal (USA). | |
| 505 | 8 | |a Figure 14. The Rise of Oil (USA)Figure 15. Quantities and Prices of Coal and Oil (USA, 1875-2015); Figure 16. Global Oil Demand Projections, Method I; Figure 17. Global Oil Demand Projections, Method II; Figure 18. Convergence of Energy Prices in the U.S.?; Tables; Table 1. Transition Rates by Country; References. | |
| 520 | 3 | |a Recent technological developments and past technology transitions suggest that the world could be on the verge of a profound shift in transportation technology. The return of the electric car and its adoption, like that of the motor vehicle in place of horses in early 20th century, could cut oil consumption substantially in the coming decades. Our analysis suggests that oil as the main fuel for transportation could have a much shorter life span left than commonly assumed. In the fast adoption scenario, oil prices could converge to the level of coal prices, about |1 5 per barrel in 2015 prices by the early 2040s. In this possible future, oil could become the new coal. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Petroleum industry and trade. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100430 | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Petroleum as fuel. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100416 | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Pétrole |x Industrie et commerce. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a BUSINESS & ECONOMICS |x Industries |x General. |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Petroleum industry and trade |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Petroleum as fuel |2 fast | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Hasanov, Fuad, |e author. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Pande, Aditya, |e author. | |
| 758 | |i has work: |a Riding the energy transition (Text) |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCG9xtDKrYXjBxgJB9K6c4C |4 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork | ||
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Print Version: |a Cherif, Reda. |t Riding the Energy Transition: Oil Beyond 2040. |d Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,2017 |z 9781484301128 |
| 830 | 0 | |a IMF working paper ; |v WP/17/120. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 | |
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| author | Cherif, Reda Hasanov, Fuad Pande, Aditya |
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| author_facet | Cherif, Reda Hasanov, Fuad Pande, Aditya |
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| contents | Cover; CONTENTS; Abstract; I. Introduction: Energy Transitions; II. Transportation Revolution and the Return of the Electric Car; A. Horse vs. Car: A Historical Parallel; B. Diffusion Model for Electric Cars; C. Disappearing Hurdles on the Road to Motor-Vehicle Displacement; D. Electric Cars and Adoption of Other Technologies; III. Generating Electricity: The Sweep of Renewables; IV. Oil as the New Coal?; V. Concluding Remarks; VI. Appendix; Figures; Figure 1. Primary Energy Consumption Shares (USA, 1875-2015); Figure 2. Natural Gas, Petroleum, Renewables Over Time (USA). Figure 3. Oil Share of Primary Energy Use, Sectoral (USA)Figure 4. Electric Cars and Motor Vehicles (USA); Figure 5. Motor Vehicles vs. Horses (USA); Figure 6. Electric Vehicle Penetration Projection, Method I; Figure 7. Electric Vehicle Penetration Projection, Method II; Figure 8. Electric and Motor Vehicles Adoption and Prices; Figure 9. Global Consumer Technology Penetration; Figure 10. Global Spread of Smartphones; Figure 11. Global Diffusion: Power Technologies; Figure 12. Comparing Transitions, Excluding Transport (USA); Figure 13. The Decline and Fall of Coal (USA). Figure 14. The Rise of Oil (USA)Figure 15. Quantities and Prices of Coal and Oil (USA, 1875-2015); Figure 16. Global Oil Demand Projections, Method I; Figure 17. Global Oil Demand Projections, Method II; Figure 18. Convergence of Energy Prices in the U.S.?; Tables; Table 1. Transition Rates by Country; References. |
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| dewey-search | 338.2/7282 |
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| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Electronic eBook |
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| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-10-25T16:23:49Z |
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| series2 | IMF Working Papers, |
| spelling | Cherif, Reda, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2009159654 Riding the energy transition : oil beyond 2040 / by Reda Cherif, Fuad Hasanov, and Aditya Pande. [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, [2017] 1 online resource (43) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers, 1018-5941 ; WP/17/120 Print version record. Cover; CONTENTS; Abstract; I. Introduction: Energy Transitions; II. Transportation Revolution and the Return of the Electric Car; A. Horse vs. Car: A Historical Parallel; B. Diffusion Model for Electric Cars; C. Disappearing Hurdles on the Road to Motor-Vehicle Displacement; D. Electric Cars and Adoption of Other Technologies; III. Generating Electricity: The Sweep of Renewables; IV. Oil as the New Coal?; V. Concluding Remarks; VI. Appendix; Figures; Figure 1. Primary Energy Consumption Shares (USA, 1875-2015); Figure 2. Natural Gas, Petroleum, Renewables Over Time (USA). Figure 3. Oil Share of Primary Energy Use, Sectoral (USA)Figure 4. Electric Cars and Motor Vehicles (USA); Figure 5. Motor Vehicles vs. Horses (USA); Figure 6. Electric Vehicle Penetration Projection, Method I; Figure 7. Electric Vehicle Penetration Projection, Method II; Figure 8. Electric and Motor Vehicles Adoption and Prices; Figure 9. Global Consumer Technology Penetration; Figure 10. Global Spread of Smartphones; Figure 11. Global Diffusion: Power Technologies; Figure 12. Comparing Transitions, Excluding Transport (USA); Figure 13. The Decline and Fall of Coal (USA). Figure 14. The Rise of Oil (USA)Figure 15. Quantities and Prices of Coal and Oil (USA, 1875-2015); Figure 16. Global Oil Demand Projections, Method I; Figure 17. Global Oil Demand Projections, Method II; Figure 18. Convergence of Energy Prices in the U.S.?; Tables; Table 1. Transition Rates by Country; References. Recent technological developments and past technology transitions suggest that the world could be on the verge of a profound shift in transportation technology. The return of the electric car and its adoption, like that of the motor vehicle in place of horses in early 20th century, could cut oil consumption substantially in the coming decades. Our analysis suggests that oil as the main fuel for transportation could have a much shorter life span left than commonly assumed. In the fast adoption scenario, oil prices could converge to the level of coal prices, about 5 per barrel in 2015 prices by the early 2040s. In this possible future, oil could become the new coal. Petroleum industry and trade. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100430 Petroleum as fuel. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100416 Pétrole Industrie et commerce. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Petroleum industry and trade fast Petroleum as fuel fast Hasanov, Fuad, author. Pande, Aditya, author. has work: Riding the energy transition (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCG9xtDKrYXjBxgJB9K6c4C https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Print Version: Cherif, Reda. Riding the Energy Transition: Oil Beyond 2040. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,2017 9781484301128 IMF working paper ; WP/17/120. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1529322 Volltext CBO01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1529322 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Cherif, Reda Hasanov, Fuad Pande, Aditya Riding the energy transition : oil beyond 2040 / IMF working paper ; Cover; CONTENTS; Abstract; I. Introduction: Energy Transitions; II. Transportation Revolution and the Return of the Electric Car; A. Horse vs. Car: A Historical Parallel; B. Diffusion Model for Electric Cars; C. Disappearing Hurdles on the Road to Motor-Vehicle Displacement; D. Electric Cars and Adoption of Other Technologies; III. Generating Electricity: The Sweep of Renewables; IV. Oil as the New Coal?; V. Concluding Remarks; VI. Appendix; Figures; Figure 1. Primary Energy Consumption Shares (USA, 1875-2015); Figure 2. Natural Gas, Petroleum, Renewables Over Time (USA). Figure 3. Oil Share of Primary Energy Use, Sectoral (USA)Figure 4. Electric Cars and Motor Vehicles (USA); Figure 5. Motor Vehicles vs. Horses (USA); Figure 6. Electric Vehicle Penetration Projection, Method I; Figure 7. Electric Vehicle Penetration Projection, Method II; Figure 8. Electric and Motor Vehicles Adoption and Prices; Figure 9. Global Consumer Technology Penetration; Figure 10. Global Spread of Smartphones; Figure 11. Global Diffusion: Power Technologies; Figure 12. Comparing Transitions, Excluding Transport (USA); Figure 13. The Decline and Fall of Coal (USA). Figure 14. The Rise of Oil (USA)Figure 15. Quantities and Prices of Coal and Oil (USA, 1875-2015); Figure 16. Global Oil Demand Projections, Method I; Figure 17. Global Oil Demand Projections, Method II; Figure 18. Convergence of Energy Prices in the U.S.?; Tables; Table 1. Transition Rates by Country; References. Petroleum industry and trade. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100430 Petroleum as fuel. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100416 Pétrole Industrie et commerce. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Petroleum industry and trade fast Petroleum as fuel fast |
| subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100430 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100416 |
| title | Riding the energy transition : oil beyond 2040 / |
| title_auth | Riding the energy transition : oil beyond 2040 / |
| title_exact_search | Riding the energy transition : oil beyond 2040 / |
| title_full | Riding the energy transition : oil beyond 2040 / by Reda Cherif, Fuad Hasanov, and Aditya Pande. |
| title_fullStr | Riding the energy transition : oil beyond 2040 / by Reda Cherif, Fuad Hasanov, and Aditya Pande. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Riding the energy transition : oil beyond 2040 / by Reda Cherif, Fuad Hasanov, and Aditya Pande. |
| title_short | Riding the energy transition : |
| title_sort | riding the energy transition oil beyond 2040 |
| title_sub | oil beyond 2040 / |
| topic | Petroleum industry and trade. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100430 Petroleum as fuel. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100416 Pétrole Industrie et commerce. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Petroleum industry and trade fast Petroleum as fuel fast |
| topic_facet | Petroleum industry and trade. Petroleum as fuel. Pétrole Industrie et commerce. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. Petroleum industry and trade Petroleum as fuel |
| url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1529322 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT cherifreda ridingtheenergytransitionoilbeyond2040 AT hasanovfuad ridingtheenergytransitionoilbeyond2040 AT pandeaditya ridingtheenergytransitionoilbeyond2040 |