Made in Mexico :: energy reform and manufacturing growth /

This paper assesses the real effects of the energy reform in Mexico by looking at its impact on manufacturing output through changes in energy prices. Using sub-sector and state-level manufacturing output data, along with past variation in energy prices, we find electricity prices--relative to oil a...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Alvarez, Jorge (Author), Valencia, Fabian (Author)
Corporate Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:English
Published: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2015.
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/15/45.
Subjects:
Online Access:DE-862
DE-863
Summary:This paper assesses the real effects of the energy reform in Mexico by looking at its impact on manufacturing output through changes in energy prices. Using sub-sector and state-level manufacturing output data, along with past variation in energy prices, we find electricity prices--relative to oil and gas--to be more important in the manufacturing process, with a one standard deviation reduction in electricity prices leading to a 2.8 percent increase in manufacturing output. Our estimated elasticities together with plausible reductions in electricity tariffs derived from the energy reform, could increase manufacturing output by up to 3.6 percent, and overall real GDP by 0.6 percent. Larger reductions are possible over the long run if increased efficiency in the sector leads electricity prices to converge to U.S. levels. Moreover, including the impact of lower electricity tariffs on the services sector, could lead to significantly larger effects on GDP. Accounting for endogeneity of unit labor costs in a panel VAR setting leads to an additional indirect channel which amplifies the impact of electricity prices on output--Abstract.
Item Description:"February 2015."
"Western Hemisphere Department."
Physical Description:1 online resource (30 pages) : color illustrations
Bibliography:Includes bibliographical references (pages 28-30).
ISBN:1498333214
9781498342513
1498342515
9781498333214
ISSN:2227-8885 ;

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