Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? :: intervention timing and its implication for force planning /
Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA :
RAND,
[2013]
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource |
| Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references. |
| ISBN: | 9780833079039 0833079034 9780833079053 0833079050 9780833079046 0833079042 |
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| 100 | 1 | |a Kavanagh, Jennifer, |d 1981- |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n2005009693 | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : |b intervention timing and its implication for force planning / |c Jennifer Kavanagh. |
| 264 | 1 | |a Santa Monica, CA : |b RAND, |c [2013] | |
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| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references. | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a Preface -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Intervention timing and temporal dependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Results -- Implications for force planning -- Acknowledgements -- Abbreviations -- Introduction -- Defining temporal dependence: a review of existing evidence -- What is temporal dependence? -- What does the literature say about intervention timing and temporal dependence? -- Interventions and timing -- Predictors of political instability -- Temporal dependence in financial markets -- Summary -- Testing for temporal interdependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Data and operationalization -- Interventions -- Political conflict -- Results -- What drives armed conflict? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Is there temporal dependence between military deployments? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Implications for force planning -- Will temporal dependence affect force requirements? -- Mechanisms of temporal dependence -- How can temporal dependence be integrated into the planning process? -- Assessing the relevance of temporal clustering -- Building temporal dependence into force planning -- Preventing clustered conflicts -- Conclusion and next steps. | |
| 588 | |a Description based on print version record and CIP data provided by publisher. | ||
| 520 | |a Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates. | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a Military planning |z United States. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Intervention (International law) |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85067543 | |
| 651 | 0 | |a United States |x Military policy |v Case studies. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Intervention (International law) |v Case studies. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Planification militaire |z États-Unis. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Intervention (Droit international) | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Intervention (Droit international) |v Études de cas. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Intervention (International law) |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Military planning |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Military policy |2 fast | |
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| 758 | |i has work: |a Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? (Text) |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGdRW7hCdGHkFhwRqPkTRC |4 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork | ||
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| contents | Preface -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Intervention timing and temporal dependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Results -- Implications for force planning -- Acknowledgements -- Abbreviations -- Introduction -- Defining temporal dependence: a review of existing evidence -- What is temporal dependence? -- What does the literature say about intervention timing and temporal dependence? -- Interventions and timing -- Predictors of political instability -- Temporal dependence in financial markets -- Summary -- Testing for temporal interdependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Data and operationalization -- Interventions -- Political conflict -- Results -- What drives armed conflict? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Is there temporal dependence between military deployments? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Implications for force planning -- Will temporal dependence affect force requirements? -- Mechanisms of temporal dependence -- How can temporal dependence be integrated into the planning process? -- Assessing the relevance of temporal clustering -- Building temporal dependence into force planning -- Preventing clustered conflicts -- Conclusion and next steps. |
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| dewey-ones | 355 - Military science |
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| spelling | Kavanagh, Jennifer, 1981- http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n2005009693 Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implication for force planning / Jennifer Kavanagh. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, [2013] 1 online resource text rdacontent computer rdamedia online resource rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references. Preface -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Intervention timing and temporal dependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Results -- Implications for force planning -- Acknowledgements -- Abbreviations -- Introduction -- Defining temporal dependence: a review of existing evidence -- What is temporal dependence? -- What does the literature say about intervention timing and temporal dependence? -- Interventions and timing -- Predictors of political instability -- Temporal dependence in financial markets -- Summary -- Testing for temporal interdependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Data and operationalization -- Interventions -- Political conflict -- Results -- What drives armed conflict? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Is there temporal dependence between military deployments? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Implications for force planning -- Will temporal dependence affect force requirements? -- Mechanisms of temporal dependence -- How can temporal dependence be integrated into the planning process? -- Assessing the relevance of temporal clustering -- Building temporal dependence into force planning -- Preventing clustered conflicts -- Conclusion and next steps. Description based on print version record and CIP data provided by publisher. Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates. Military planning United States. Intervention (International law) http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85067543 United States Military policy Case studies. Intervention (International law) Case studies. Planification militaire États-Unis. Intervention (Droit international) Intervention (Droit international) Études de cas. Intervention (International law) fast Military planning fast Military policy fast United States fast Case studies fast Case studies. lcgft http://id.loc.gov/authorities/genreForms/gf2017026140 Études de cas. rvmgf has work: Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGdRW7hCdGHkFhwRqPkTRC https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Print version: Kavanagh, Jennifer, 1981- Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? Santa Monica, CA : RAND, [2013] 9780833079015 (DLC) 2013016406 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=630229 Volltext CBO01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=630229 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Kavanagh, Jennifer, 1981- Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implication for force planning / Preface -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Intervention timing and temporal dependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Results -- Implications for force planning -- Acknowledgements -- Abbreviations -- Introduction -- Defining temporal dependence: a review of existing evidence -- What is temporal dependence? -- What does the literature say about intervention timing and temporal dependence? -- Interventions and timing -- Predictors of political instability -- Temporal dependence in financial markets -- Summary -- Testing for temporal interdependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Data and operationalization -- Interventions -- Political conflict -- Results -- What drives armed conflict? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Is there temporal dependence between military deployments? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Implications for force planning -- Will temporal dependence affect force requirements? -- Mechanisms of temporal dependence -- How can temporal dependence be integrated into the planning process? -- Assessing the relevance of temporal clustering -- Building temporal dependence into force planning -- Preventing clustered conflicts -- Conclusion and next steps. Military planning United States. Intervention (International law) http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85067543 Intervention (International law) Case studies. Planification militaire États-Unis. Intervention (Droit international) Intervention (Droit international) Études de cas. Intervention (International law) fast Military planning fast Military policy fast |
| subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85067543 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/genreForms/gf2017026140 |
| title | Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implication for force planning / |
| title_auth | Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implication for force planning / |
| title_exact_search | Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implication for force planning / |
| title_full | Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implication for force planning / Jennifer Kavanagh. |
| title_fullStr | Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implication for force planning / Jennifer Kavanagh. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implication for force planning / Jennifer Kavanagh. |
| title_short | Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : |
| title_sort | are u s military interventions contagious over time intervention timing and its implication for force planning |
| title_sub | intervention timing and its implication for force planning / |
| topic | Military planning United States. Intervention (International law) http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85067543 Intervention (International law) Case studies. Planification militaire États-Unis. Intervention (Droit international) Intervention (Droit international) Études de cas. Intervention (International law) fast Military planning fast Military policy fast |
| topic_facet | Military planning United States. Intervention (International law) United States Military policy Case studies. Intervention (International law) Case studies. Planification militaire États-Unis. Intervention (Droit international) Intervention (Droit international) Études de cas. Military planning Military policy United States Case studies Case studies. Études de cas. |
| url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=630229 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kavanaghjennifer areusmilitaryinterventionscontagiousovertimeinterventiontiminganditsimplicationforforceplanning |