The economics of political transitions :: implications for the Arab Spring /
"Over the past two years, ongoing political transitions in many Arab countries have led to social unrest and an economic downturn. This paper examines comparable historical episodes of political instability to derive implications for the near- and medium-term economic outlook in the Arab countr...
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| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Corporate Author: | |
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
[Washington, D.C.] :
International Monetary Fund,
©2013.
|
| Series: | IMF working paper ;
WP/13/69. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | DE-862 DE-863 |
| Summary: | "Over the past two years, ongoing political transitions in many Arab countries have led to social unrest and an economic downturn. This paper examines comparable historical episodes of political instability to derive implications for the near- and medium-term economic outlook in the Arab countries in transition. In general, past episodes of political instability were characterized by a sharp deterioration in macroeconomic outcomes and a sluggish recovery over the medium term. Recent economic developments in the Arab countries in transition seem to be unfolding along similar lines, although the weak external environment and large fiscal vulnerabilities could result in a prolonged slump"--Abstract. |
| Item Description: | Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Mar. 20, 2013). "Middle East and Central Asia Department"--Page 2 of pdf. "March 2013"--Page 2 of pdf. |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (13 pages) : color illustrations. |
| Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references (page 11). |
| ISBN: | 9781475580181 1475580185 9781475569643 1475569645 |
Staff View
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| 500 | |a "Middle East and Central Asia Department"--Page 2 of pdf. | ||
| 500 | |a "March 2013"--Page 2 of pdf. | ||
| 520 | |a "Over the past two years, ongoing political transitions in many Arab countries have led to social unrest and an economic downturn. This paper examines comparable historical episodes of political instability to derive implications for the near- and medium-term economic outlook in the Arab countries in transition. In general, past episodes of political instability were characterized by a sharp deterioration in macroeconomic outcomes and a sluggish recovery over the medium term. Recent economic developments in the Arab countries in transition seem to be unfolding along similar lines, although the weak external environment and large fiscal vulnerabilities could result in a prolonged slump"--Abstract. | ||
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references (page 11). | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Sample Selection and Methodology; Table; 1. Political Instability Events Since 1980; III. Main Findings; A.Output; Figures; 1. Real GDP Growth; 2. Output Gap; B.Consumption and Investment; 3. Unemployment Rate; 4. Gross Fixed Public Capital Formation; 5. Gross Fixed Private Capital Formation; C.Fiscal Positions; 6. Overall Fiscal Balance; 7. Current Account Balance; D.External Balances and International Reserves; E.Exchange Rates and Inflation; 8. Selected Financial Flows; 9. Nominal Currency Depreciation and Inflation During the Crisis. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a 10. Aggregate Real Effective Exchange Rate IndexIV. Conclusion; References; Data Appendix. | |
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| author | Khandelwal, Padamja Roitman, Agustin |
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| contents | Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Sample Selection and Methodology; Table; 1. Political Instability Events Since 1980; III. Main Findings; A.Output; Figures; 1. Real GDP Growth; 2. Output Gap; B.Consumption and Investment; 3. Unemployment Rate; 4. Gross Fixed Public Capital Formation; 5. Gross Fixed Private Capital Formation; C.Fiscal Positions; 6. Overall Fiscal Balance; 7. Current Account Balance; D.External Balances and International Reserves; E.Exchange Rates and Inflation; 8. Selected Financial Flows; 9. Nominal Currency Depreciation and Inflation During the Crisis. 10. Aggregate Real Effective Exchange Rate IndexIV. Conclusion; References; Data Appendix. |
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| indexdate | 2025-04-11T08:41:18Z |
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| series | IMF working paper ; |
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| spelling | Khandelwal, Padamja, author. The economics of political transitions : implications for the Arab Spring / Padamja Khandelwal and Agustin Roitman. [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2013. 1 online resource (13 pages) : color illustrations. text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier IMF working paper ; WP/13/69 Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Mar. 20, 2013). "Middle East and Central Asia Department"--Page 2 of pdf. "March 2013"--Page 2 of pdf. "Over the past two years, ongoing political transitions in many Arab countries have led to social unrest and an economic downturn. This paper examines comparable historical episodes of political instability to derive implications for the near- and medium-term economic outlook in the Arab countries in transition. In general, past episodes of political instability were characterized by a sharp deterioration in macroeconomic outcomes and a sluggish recovery over the medium term. Recent economic developments in the Arab countries in transition seem to be unfolding along similar lines, although the weak external environment and large fiscal vulnerabilities could result in a prolonged slump"--Abstract. Includes bibliographical references (page 11). Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Sample Selection and Methodology; Table; 1. Political Instability Events Since 1980; III. Main Findings; A.Output; Figures; 1. Real GDP Growth; 2. Output Gap; B.Consumption and Investment; 3. Unemployment Rate; 4. Gross Fixed Public Capital Formation; 5. Gross Fixed Private Capital Formation; C.Fiscal Positions; 6. Overall Fiscal Balance; 7. Current Account Balance; D.External Balances and International Reserves; E.Exchange Rates and Inflation; 8. Selected Financial Flows; 9. Nominal Currency Depreciation and Inflation During the Crisis. 10. Aggregate Real Effective Exchange Rate IndexIV. Conclusion; References; Data Appendix. Middle East Economic conditions. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh86008065 Middle East Politics and government. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85090511 Economic development Middle East. Equilibrium (Economics) http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85044538 Moyen-Orient Conditions économiques. Moyen-Orient Politique et gouvernement. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economics General. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Reference. bisacsh Economic development fast Economic history fast Equilibrium (Economics) fast Politics and government fast Middle East fast Roitman, Agustin, author. International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Department. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2004029012 IMF working paper ; WP/13/69. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 |
| spellingShingle | Khandelwal, Padamja Roitman, Agustin The economics of political transitions : implications for the Arab Spring / IMF working paper ; Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Sample Selection and Methodology; Table; 1. Political Instability Events Since 1980; III. Main Findings; A.Output; Figures; 1. Real GDP Growth; 2. Output Gap; B.Consumption and Investment; 3. Unemployment Rate; 4. Gross Fixed Public Capital Formation; 5. Gross Fixed Private Capital Formation; C.Fiscal Positions; 6. Overall Fiscal Balance; 7. Current Account Balance; D.External Balances and International Reserves; E.Exchange Rates and Inflation; 8. Selected Financial Flows; 9. Nominal Currency Depreciation and Inflation During the Crisis. 10. Aggregate Real Effective Exchange Rate IndexIV. Conclusion; References; Data Appendix. Economic development Middle East. Equilibrium (Economics) http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85044538 BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economics General. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Reference. bisacsh Economic development fast Economic history fast Equilibrium (Economics) fast Politics and government fast |
| subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh86008065 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85090511 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85044538 |
| title | The economics of political transitions : implications for the Arab Spring / |
| title_auth | The economics of political transitions : implications for the Arab Spring / |
| title_exact_search | The economics of political transitions : implications for the Arab Spring / |
| title_full | The economics of political transitions : implications for the Arab Spring / Padamja Khandelwal and Agustin Roitman. |
| title_fullStr | The economics of political transitions : implications for the Arab Spring / Padamja Khandelwal and Agustin Roitman. |
| title_full_unstemmed | The economics of political transitions : implications for the Arab Spring / Padamja Khandelwal and Agustin Roitman. |
| title_short | The economics of political transitions : |
| title_sort | economics of political transitions implications for the arab spring |
| title_sub | implications for the Arab Spring / |
| topic | Economic development Middle East. Equilibrium (Economics) http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85044538 BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economics General. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Reference. bisacsh Economic development fast Economic history fast Equilibrium (Economics) fast Politics and government fast |
| topic_facet | Middle East Economic conditions. Middle East Politics and government. Economic development Middle East. Equilibrium (Economics) Moyen-Orient Conditions économiques. Moyen-Orient Politique et gouvernement. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economics General. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Reference. Economic development Economic history Politics and government Middle East |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT khandelwalpadamja theeconomicsofpoliticaltransitionsimplicationsforthearabspring AT roitmanagustin theeconomicsofpoliticaltransitionsimplicationsforthearabspring AT internationalmonetaryfundmiddleeastandcentralasiadepartment theeconomicsofpoliticaltransitionsimplicationsforthearabspring AT khandelwalpadamja economicsofpoliticaltransitionsimplicationsforthearabspring AT roitmanagustin economicsofpoliticaltransitionsimplicationsforthearabspring AT internationalmonetaryfundmiddleeastandcentralasiadepartment economicsofpoliticaltransitionsimplicationsforthearabspring |