Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries :: some aggregate evidence /
The Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) for low-income countries (LICs) is a standardized analytical tool to monitor debt sustainability. This paper uses DSAs from three periods around the time of the global economic crisis to analyze the projected trajectories of debt ratios for a sample of LICs. Th...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, DC :
International Monetary Fund,
2012.
|
| Schriftenreihe: | IMF working paper ;
WP/12/167. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | The Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) for low-income countries (LICs) is a standardized analytical tool to monitor debt sustainability. This paper uses DSAs from three periods around the time of the global economic crisis to analyze the projected trajectories of debt ratios for a sample of LICs. The aggregate data suggest that LIC vulnerabilities improved on the whole during the period prior to the crisis, and that the crisis had a strong short-run impact on key ratios of debt (debt-to-GDP, -exports, and -fiscal revenues) and debt service (debt service-to-exports, and -revenues). Although projected debt burdens increased following the crisis, debt indicators tend to return to their pre-crisis levels over the projection horizon. This may reflect a strong and durable policy response by LICs towards the crisis, or also reflect specific assumptions on the long-run growth dividends of public external debt. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (33 pages) : illustrations |
| Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references. |
| ISBN: | 9781475549072 1475549075 1475505159 9781475505153 1475507747 9781475507744 |
| ISSN: | 2227-8885 ; |
Internformat
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| 100 | 1 | |a Baduel, Benedicte, |e author. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2012088717 | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : |b some aggregate evidence / |c Benedicte Baduel and Robert Price. |
| 260 | |a Washington, DC : |b International Monetary Fund, |c 2012. | ||
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (33 pages) : |b illustrations | ||
| 336 | |a text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a computer |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
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| 490 | 1 | |a IMF working paper, |x 2227-8885 ; |v WP/12/167 | |
| 588 | 0 | |a Online resource; title from PDF title page (EBSCO, viewed February 9, 2016). | |
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references. | ||
| 520 | 3 | |a The Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) for low-income countries (LICs) is a standardized analytical tool to monitor debt sustainability. This paper uses DSAs from three periods around the time of the global economic crisis to analyze the projected trajectories of debt ratios for a sample of LICs. The aggregate data suggest that LIC vulnerabilities improved on the whole during the period prior to the crisis, and that the crisis had a strong short-run impact on key ratios of debt (debt-to-GDP, -exports, and -fiscal revenues) and debt service (debt service-to-exports, and -revenues). Although projected debt burdens increased following the crisis, debt indicators tend to return to their pre-crisis levels over the projection horizon. This may reflect a strong and durable policy response by LICs towards the crisis, or also reflect specific assumptions on the long-run growth dividends of public external debt. | |
| 505 | 0 | |a Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Motivation and Sample; Boxes; 1. The External Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA); Tables; 1. Sample Countries; III. Results; A. Baseline ratios; Figures; 1. Evolution of Baseline Debt Ratios (PV of PPG External Debt), 2006-29; 2. Baseline Peak Average Values by DSA Vintage; 2. Debt-to-GDP: 2010 Baseline Scenario vs. 2006 and 2010 Historical Scenarios, 2006-29; B. Numerators: Trajectories of debt, debt service and financing needs; 3. Debt and Macroeconomic Projections, 2006-29; 4. Financing Needs, 2006-29; C. Changing structures of indebtedness. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a 5. Debt Accumulation Dynamics, 2006-296. Aid Flows, 2006-29; 7. Average Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29; 8. Aid Flows and Average Grant Element, 2006-29; 9. Average Interest Rate, 2006-29; 10. Nominal GDP Growth-Interest Rate Differentials, 2010-29; 11. Endogenous Debt Dynamics, 2006-29; D. Denominators: adjustments in macroeconomic projections; 12. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Comparative Analysis of Alternative Scenario of Less Favorable Terms on Public Sector Borrowing, 2006-29; 13. Macroeconomic Forecasts, 2006-29; E. Country-level heterogeneity. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a 14. External Accounts Forecasts, 2006-293. Evolution of Key Variables in DSAs; IV. Conclusions; Appendixes; Appendix Figures; Figure A1. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A2. PV of Debt-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A3. PV of Debt-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A4. Debt Service-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A5. Debt Service-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A6. PV of PPG Exernal Debt, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A7. Debt Service, 2006-29 (In billions of US). | |
| 505 | 8 | |a Figure A8. Nominal GDP, 2006-29 (In billions of US)Figure A9. Exports of Goods and Services, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A10. Government Revenue, 2006-29 (in billions of US); Figure A11. Financing Needs, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A12. New Medium and Long Term Disbursements, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A13. Debt Accumulation Rate, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A14. Nominal Debt and Nominal GDP Growth, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A15. Aid flow, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A16. Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29 (In percent). | |
| 505 | 8 | |a Figure A17. Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2006-29 (In percent)Figure A18. Nominal GDP Growth and Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A19. Real GDP Growth, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A20. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A21. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio under Historical Alternative Scenario, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A22. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Baseline vs. Historical Alternative Scenario, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSA). | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Debts, Public |x Mathematical models. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Debts, Public |z Developing countries. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Dettes publiques |x Modèles mathématiques. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a BUSINESS & ECONOMICS |x Public Finance. |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Debts, Public |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Debts, Public |x Mathematical models |2 fast | |
| 651 | 7 | |a Developing countries |2 fast | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Price, Robert, |e author. | |
| 758 | |i has work: |a Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries (Text) |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGKbxd3b8rJcgDk9cXJjvd |4 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork | ||
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| author | Baduel, Benedicte Price, Robert |
| author_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2012088717 |
| author_facet | Baduel, Benedicte Price, Robert |
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| contents | Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Motivation and Sample; Boxes; 1. The External Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA); Tables; 1. Sample Countries; III. Results; A. Baseline ratios; Figures; 1. Evolution of Baseline Debt Ratios (PV of PPG External Debt), 2006-29; 2. Baseline Peak Average Values by DSA Vintage; 2. Debt-to-GDP: 2010 Baseline Scenario vs. 2006 and 2010 Historical Scenarios, 2006-29; B. Numerators: Trajectories of debt, debt service and financing needs; 3. Debt and Macroeconomic Projections, 2006-29; 4. Financing Needs, 2006-29; C. Changing structures of indebtedness. 5. Debt Accumulation Dynamics, 2006-296. Aid Flows, 2006-29; 7. Average Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29; 8. Aid Flows and Average Grant Element, 2006-29; 9. Average Interest Rate, 2006-29; 10. Nominal GDP Growth-Interest Rate Differentials, 2010-29; 11. Endogenous Debt Dynamics, 2006-29; D. Denominators: adjustments in macroeconomic projections; 12. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Comparative Analysis of Alternative Scenario of Less Favorable Terms on Public Sector Borrowing, 2006-29; 13. Macroeconomic Forecasts, 2006-29; E. Country-level heterogeneity. 14. External Accounts Forecasts, 2006-293. Evolution of Key Variables in DSAs; IV. Conclusions; Appendixes; Appendix Figures; Figure A1. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A2. PV of Debt-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A3. PV of Debt-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A4. Debt Service-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A5. Debt Service-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A6. PV of PPG Exernal Debt, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A7. Debt Service, 2006-29 (In billions of US). Figure A8. Nominal GDP, 2006-29 (In billions of US)Figure A9. Exports of Goods and Services, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A10. Government Revenue, 2006-29 (in billions of US); Figure A11. Financing Needs, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A12. New Medium and Long Term Disbursements, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A13. Debt Accumulation Rate, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A14. Nominal Debt and Nominal GDP Growth, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A15. Aid flow, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A16. Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29 (In percent). Figure A17. Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2006-29 (In percent)Figure A18. Nominal GDP Growth and Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A19. Real GDP Growth, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A20. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A21. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio under Historical Alternative Scenario, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A22. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Baseline vs. Historical Alternative Scenario, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSA). |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)823730097 |
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ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries :</subfield><subfield code="b">some aggregate evidence /</subfield><subfield code="c">Benedicte Baduel and Robert Price.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="260" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Washington, DC :</subfield><subfield code="b">International Monetary Fund,</subfield><subfield code="c">2012.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 online resource (33 pages) :</subfield><subfield code="b">illustrations</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">computer</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">online resource</subfield><subfield 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monitor debt sustainability. This paper uses DSAs from three periods around the time of the global economic crisis to analyze the projected trajectories of debt ratios for a sample of LICs. The aggregate data suggest that LIC vulnerabilities improved on the whole during the period prior to the crisis, and that the crisis had a strong short-run impact on key ratios of debt (debt-to-GDP, -exports, and -fiscal revenues) and debt service (debt service-to-exports, and -revenues). Although projected debt burdens increased following the crisis, debt indicators tend to return to their pre-crisis levels over the projection horizon. This may reflect a strong and durable policy response by LICs towards the crisis, or also reflect specific assumptions on the long-run growth dividends of public external debt.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Motivation and Sample; Boxes; 1. The External Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA); Tables; 1. Sample Countries; III. Results; A. Baseline ratios; Figures; 1. Evolution of Baseline Debt Ratios (PV of PPG External Debt), 2006-29; 2. Baseline Peak Average Values by DSA Vintage; 2. Debt-to-GDP: 2010 Baseline Scenario vs. 2006 and 2010 Historical Scenarios, 2006-29; B. Numerators: Trajectories of debt, debt service and financing needs; 3. Debt and Macroeconomic Projections, 2006-29; 4. Financing Needs, 2006-29; C. Changing structures of indebtedness.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="8" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">5. Debt Accumulation Dynamics, 2006-296. Aid Flows, 2006-29; 7. Average Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29; 8. Aid Flows and Average Grant Element, 2006-29; 9. Average Interest Rate, 2006-29; 10. Nominal GDP Growth-Interest Rate Differentials, 2010-29; 11. Endogenous Debt Dynamics, 2006-29; D. Denominators: adjustments in macroeconomic projections; 12. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Comparative Analysis of Alternative Scenario of Less Favorable Terms on Public Sector Borrowing, 2006-29; 13. Macroeconomic Forecasts, 2006-29; E. Country-level heterogeneity.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="8" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">14. External Accounts Forecasts, 2006-293. Evolution of Key Variables in DSAs; IV. Conclusions; Appendixes; Appendix Figures; Figure A1. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A2. PV of Debt-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A3. PV of Debt-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A4. Debt Service-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A5. Debt Service-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A6. PV of PPG Exernal Debt, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A7. Debt Service, 2006-29 (In billions of US).</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="8" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Figure A8. Nominal GDP, 2006-29 (In billions of US)Figure A9. Exports of Goods and Services, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A10. Government Revenue, 2006-29 (in billions of US); Figure A11. Financing Needs, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A12. New Medium and Long Term Disbursements, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A13. Debt Accumulation Rate, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A14. Nominal Debt and Nominal GDP Growth, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A15. Aid flow, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A16. Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29 (In percent).</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="8" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Figure A17. Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2006-29 (In percent)Figure A18. Nominal GDP Growth and Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A19. Real GDP Growth, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A20. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A21. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio under Historical Alternative Scenario, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A22. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Baseline vs. Historical Alternative Scenario, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSA).</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Debts, Public</subfield><subfield code="x">Mathematical models.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Debts, Public</subfield><subfield code="z">Developing countries.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="6"><subfield code="a">Dettes publiques</subfield><subfield code="x">Modèles mathématiques.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">BUSINESS & ECONOMICS</subfield><subfield code="x">Public Finance.</subfield><subfield code="2">bisacsh</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Debts, Public</subfield><subfield code="2">fast</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Debts, Public</subfield><subfield code="x">Mathematical models</subfield><subfield code="2">fast</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Developing countries</subfield><subfield code="2">fast</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Price, Robert,</subfield><subfield code="e">author.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="758" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="i">has work:</subfield><subfield code="a">Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries (Text)</subfield><subfield code="1">https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGKbxd3b8rJcgDk9cXJjvd</subfield><subfield code="4">https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="830" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">IMF working paper ;</subfield><subfield code="v">WP/12/167.</subfield><subfield code="0">http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="l">FWS01</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-4-EBA</subfield><subfield code="q">FWS_PDA_EBA</subfield><subfield code="u">https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=568148</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="938" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ebrary</subfield><subfield code="b">EBRY</subfield><subfield code="n">ebr10627028</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="938" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">EBSCOhost</subfield><subfield code="b">EBSC</subfield><subfield code="n">568148</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="938" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">YBP Library Services</subfield><subfield code="b">YANK</subfield><subfield code="n">10691554</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="938" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">YBP Library Services</subfield><subfield code="b">YANK</subfield><subfield code="n">9927149</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="994" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">92</subfield><subfield code="b">GEBAY</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-4-EBA</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-863</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| geographic | Developing countries fast |
| geographic_facet | Developing countries |
| id | ZDB-4-EBA-ocn823730097 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-11-27T13:25:07Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781475549072 1475549075 1475505159 9781475505153 1475507747 9781475507744 |
| issn | 2227-8885 ; |
| language | English |
| oclc_num | 823730097 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
| owner_facet | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
| physical | 1 online resource (33 pages) : illustrations |
| psigel | ZDB-4-EBA |
| publishDate | 2012 |
| publishDateSearch | 2012 |
| publishDateSort | 2012 |
| publisher | International Monetary Fund, |
| record_format | marc |
| series | IMF working paper ; |
| series2 | IMF working paper, |
| spelling | Baduel, Benedicte, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2012088717 Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : some aggregate evidence / Benedicte Baduel and Robert Price. Washington, DC : International Monetary Fund, 2012. 1 online resource (33 pages) : illustrations text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier polychrome. rdacc http://rdaregistry.info/termList/RDAColourContent/1003 data file IMF working paper, 2227-8885 ; WP/12/167 Online resource; title from PDF title page (EBSCO, viewed February 9, 2016). Includes bibliographical references. The Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) for low-income countries (LICs) is a standardized analytical tool to monitor debt sustainability. This paper uses DSAs from three periods around the time of the global economic crisis to analyze the projected trajectories of debt ratios for a sample of LICs. The aggregate data suggest that LIC vulnerabilities improved on the whole during the period prior to the crisis, and that the crisis had a strong short-run impact on key ratios of debt (debt-to-GDP, -exports, and -fiscal revenues) and debt service (debt service-to-exports, and -revenues). Although projected debt burdens increased following the crisis, debt indicators tend to return to their pre-crisis levels over the projection horizon. This may reflect a strong and durable policy response by LICs towards the crisis, or also reflect specific assumptions on the long-run growth dividends of public external debt. Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Motivation and Sample; Boxes; 1. The External Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA); Tables; 1. Sample Countries; III. Results; A. Baseline ratios; Figures; 1. Evolution of Baseline Debt Ratios (PV of PPG External Debt), 2006-29; 2. Baseline Peak Average Values by DSA Vintage; 2. Debt-to-GDP: 2010 Baseline Scenario vs. 2006 and 2010 Historical Scenarios, 2006-29; B. Numerators: Trajectories of debt, debt service and financing needs; 3. Debt and Macroeconomic Projections, 2006-29; 4. Financing Needs, 2006-29; C. Changing structures of indebtedness. 5. Debt Accumulation Dynamics, 2006-296. Aid Flows, 2006-29; 7. Average Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29; 8. Aid Flows and Average Grant Element, 2006-29; 9. Average Interest Rate, 2006-29; 10. Nominal GDP Growth-Interest Rate Differentials, 2010-29; 11. Endogenous Debt Dynamics, 2006-29; D. Denominators: adjustments in macroeconomic projections; 12. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Comparative Analysis of Alternative Scenario of Less Favorable Terms on Public Sector Borrowing, 2006-29; 13. Macroeconomic Forecasts, 2006-29; E. Country-level heterogeneity. 14. External Accounts Forecasts, 2006-293. Evolution of Key Variables in DSAs; IV. Conclusions; Appendixes; Appendix Figures; Figure A1. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A2. PV of Debt-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A3. PV of Debt-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A4. Debt Service-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A5. Debt Service-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A6. PV of PPG Exernal Debt, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A7. Debt Service, 2006-29 (In billions of US). Figure A8. Nominal GDP, 2006-29 (In billions of US)Figure A9. Exports of Goods and Services, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A10. Government Revenue, 2006-29 (in billions of US); Figure A11. Financing Needs, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A12. New Medium and Long Term Disbursements, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A13. Debt Accumulation Rate, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A14. Nominal Debt and Nominal GDP Growth, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A15. Aid flow, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A16. Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29 (In percent). Figure A17. Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2006-29 (In percent)Figure A18. Nominal GDP Growth and Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A19. Real GDP Growth, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A20. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A21. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio under Historical Alternative Scenario, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A22. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Baseline vs. Historical Alternative Scenario, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSA). Debts, Public Mathematical models. Debts, Public Developing countries. Dettes publiques Modèles mathématiques. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Public Finance. bisacsh Debts, Public fast Debts, Public Mathematical models fast Developing countries fast Price, Robert, author. has work: Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGKbxd3b8rJcgDk9cXJjvd https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork IMF working paper ; WP/12/167. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=568148 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Baduel, Benedicte Price, Robert Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : some aggregate evidence / IMF working paper ; Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Motivation and Sample; Boxes; 1. The External Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA); Tables; 1. Sample Countries; III. Results; A. Baseline ratios; Figures; 1. Evolution of Baseline Debt Ratios (PV of PPG External Debt), 2006-29; 2. Baseline Peak Average Values by DSA Vintage; 2. Debt-to-GDP: 2010 Baseline Scenario vs. 2006 and 2010 Historical Scenarios, 2006-29; B. Numerators: Trajectories of debt, debt service and financing needs; 3. Debt and Macroeconomic Projections, 2006-29; 4. Financing Needs, 2006-29; C. Changing structures of indebtedness. 5. Debt Accumulation Dynamics, 2006-296. Aid Flows, 2006-29; 7. Average Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29; 8. Aid Flows and Average Grant Element, 2006-29; 9. Average Interest Rate, 2006-29; 10. Nominal GDP Growth-Interest Rate Differentials, 2010-29; 11. Endogenous Debt Dynamics, 2006-29; D. Denominators: adjustments in macroeconomic projections; 12. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Comparative Analysis of Alternative Scenario of Less Favorable Terms on Public Sector Borrowing, 2006-29; 13. Macroeconomic Forecasts, 2006-29; E. Country-level heterogeneity. 14. External Accounts Forecasts, 2006-293. Evolution of Key Variables in DSAs; IV. Conclusions; Appendixes; Appendix Figures; Figure A1. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A2. PV of Debt-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A3. PV of Debt-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A4. Debt Service-to-Exports Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A5. Debt Service-to-Revenue Ratio, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A6. PV of PPG Exernal Debt, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A7. Debt Service, 2006-29 (In billions of US). Figure A8. Nominal GDP, 2006-29 (In billions of US)Figure A9. Exports of Goods and Services, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A10. Government Revenue, 2006-29 (in billions of US); Figure A11. Financing Needs, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A12. New Medium and Long Term Disbursements, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A13. Debt Accumulation Rate, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A14. Nominal Debt and Nominal GDP Growth, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A15. Aid flow, 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A16. Grant Element in New Disbursements, 2006-29 (In percent). Figure A17. Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2006-29 (In percent)Figure A18. Nominal GDP Growth and Nominal Effective Interest Rate, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSAs); Figure A19. Real GDP Growth, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A20. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), 2006-29 (In billions of US); Figure A21. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio under Historical Alternative Scenario, 2006-29 (In percent); Figure A22. PV of Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Baseline vs. Historical Alternative Scenario, 2010-291 (In percent, 2010 DSA). Debts, Public Mathematical models. Debts, Public Developing countries. Dettes publiques Modèles mathématiques. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Public Finance. bisacsh Debts, Public fast Debts, Public Mathematical models fast |
| title | Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : some aggregate evidence / |
| title_auth | Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : some aggregate evidence / |
| title_exact_search | Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : some aggregate evidence / |
| title_full | Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : some aggregate evidence / Benedicte Baduel and Robert Price. |
| title_fullStr | Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : some aggregate evidence / Benedicte Baduel and Robert Price. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : some aggregate evidence / Benedicte Baduel and Robert Price. |
| title_short | Evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries : |
| title_sort | evolution of debt sustainability analysis in low income countries some aggregate evidence |
| title_sub | some aggregate evidence / |
| topic | Debts, Public Mathematical models. Debts, Public Developing countries. Dettes publiques Modèles mathématiques. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Public Finance. bisacsh Debts, Public fast Debts, Public Mathematical models fast |
| topic_facet | Debts, Public Mathematical models. Debts, Public Developing countries. Dettes publiques Modèles mathématiques. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Public Finance. Debts, Public Debts, Public Mathematical models Developing countries |
| url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=568148 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT baduelbenedicte evolutionofdebtsustainabilityanalysisinlowincomecountriessomeaggregateevidence AT pricerobert evolutionofdebtsustainabilityanalysisinlowincomecountriessomeaggregateevidence |