Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries:
Accurate and timely information on the current state of economic activity is an important requirement for the policymaking process. Delays in the publication of official statistics mean that a complete picture of economic developments within a particular period emerges only some time after that peri...
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2003
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| Schriftenreihe: | OECD Economics Department Working Papers
no.364 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | Accurate and timely information on the current state of economic activity is an important requirement for the policymaking process. Delays in the publication of official statistics mean that a complete picture of economic developments within a particular period emerges only some time after that period has elapsed. The research described in this paper develops a set of econometric models that provide estimates of GDP growth for a number of major OECD countries and zones in the two quarters following the last quarter for which official data have been published. These models exploit the considerable amount of monthly conjunctural information that becomes available before the release of official national accounts data. Information is incorporated from both 'soft' indicators, such as business surveys, and 'hard' indicators, such as industrial production and retail sales, and use is made of different frequencies of data and a variety of estimation techniques. An automated procedure is ... |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (49 p.) 21 x 29.7cm. |
| DOI: | 10.1787/275257320252 |
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| spelling | Sédillot, Franck VerfasserIn aut Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries Franck, Sédillot and Nigel, Pain = Modèles de prévision de la croissance du PIB réel dans certains pays de l'OCDE, à l'aide d'indicateurs conjoncturels / Franck, Sédillot et Nigel, Pain Modèles de prévision de la croissance du PIB réel dans certains pays de l'OCDE, à l'aide d'indicateurs conjoncturels Paris OECD Publishing 2003 1 Online-Ressource (49 p.) 21 x 29.7cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.364 Accurate and timely information on the current state of economic activity is an important requirement for the policymaking process. Delays in the publication of official statistics mean that a complete picture of economic developments within a particular period emerges only some time after that period has elapsed. The research described in this paper develops a set of econometric models that provide estimates of GDP growth for a number of major OECD countries and zones in the two quarters following the last quarter for which official data have been published. These models exploit the considerable amount of monthly conjunctural information that becomes available before the release of official national accounts data. Information is incorporated from both 'soft' indicators, such as business surveys, and 'hard' indicators, such as industrial production and retail sales, and use is made of different frequencies of data and a variety of estimation techniques. An automated procedure is ... Economics Pain, Nigel MitwirkendeR ctb FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/275257320252 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Sédillot, Franck Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries Economics |
| title | Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries |
| title_alt | Modèles de prévision de la croissance du PIB réel dans certains pays de l'OCDE, à l'aide d'indicateurs conjoncturels |
| title_auth | Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries |
| title_exact_search | Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries |
| title_full | Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries Franck, Sédillot and Nigel, Pain = Modèles de prévision de la croissance du PIB réel dans certains pays de l'OCDE, à l'aide d'indicateurs conjoncturels / Franck, Sédillot et Nigel, Pain |
| title_fullStr | Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries Franck, Sédillot and Nigel, Pain = Modèles de prévision de la croissance du PIB réel dans certains pays de l'OCDE, à l'aide d'indicateurs conjoncturels / Franck, Sédillot et Nigel, Pain |
| title_full_unstemmed | Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries Franck, Sédillot and Nigel, Pain = Modèles de prévision de la croissance du PIB réel dans certains pays de l'OCDE, à l'aide d'indicateurs conjoncturels / Franck, Sédillot et Nigel, Pain |
| title_short | Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries |
| title_sort | indicator models of real gdp growth in selected oecd countries |
| topic | Economics |
| topic_facet | Economics |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1787/275257320252 |
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