The Estimation of Financial Conditions Indices for the Major OECD Countries: = Estimation des indices des conditions financières pour les grands pays de l'OCDE

Financial conditions indices (FCIs) have been developed to summarise financial conditions and also supplement more traditional macroeconomic forecasting. They capture market expectations but also quantitative and survey information. This paper seeks to provide up to date financial conditions indices...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Davis, E. Philip (Author)
Other Authors: Kirby, Simon (Contributor), Warren, James (Contributor)
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:English
Published: Paris OECD Publishing 2016
Series:OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.1335
Subjects:
Online Access:DE-862
DE-863
Summary:Financial conditions indices (FCIs) have been developed to summarise financial conditions and also supplement more traditional macroeconomic forecasting. They capture market expectations but also quantitative and survey information. This paper seeks to provide up to date financial conditions indices for six countries, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States, as well as the euro area, updating earlier results by the OECD. The addition of the period of the financial crisis period has made radical changes to the original results of the FCI estimation. Country-specific estimates provide a number of wrong signs and insignificant coefficients. We find in general that the panel (and NiGEM) based FCIs are more satisfactory. Furthermore, a promising avenue for further research is the dynamic factor/principal components approach.
Physical Description:1 Online-Ressource (29 Seiten) 21 x 29.7cm.