Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (Bace) Approach

This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included variab...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Doppelhofer, Gernot (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Miller, Ronald I.. (MitwirkendeR), Sala-i-Martin, Xavier (MitwirkendeR)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Paris OECD Publishing 2000
Schriftenreihe:OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.266
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Zusammenfassung:This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included variables. The weights applied to individual regressions are justified on Bayesian grounds in a way similar to the well-known Schwarz criterion. Of 32 explanatory variables we find 11 to be robustly partially correlated with long-term growth and another five variables to be marginally related. Of all the variables considered, the strongest evidence is for the initial level of real GDP per capita ...
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (44 p.) 21 x 29.7cm.
DOI:10.1787/834681262223