Proxy warfare in strategic competition: state motivations and future trends
The authors used both quantitative analysis and case studies of China, Iran, and Russia to examine the causes and likely future trends in proxy wars: civil wars in which at least one local warring party receives material support from an external state. The purpose of the project was to provide insig...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , , , , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, Calif.
RAND Corporation
[2023]
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Research report
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA300/RRA307-2/RAND_RRA307-2.pdf |
| Zusammenfassung: | The authors used both quantitative analysis and case studies of China, Iran, and Russia to examine the causes and likely future trends in proxy wars: civil wars in which at least one local warring party receives material support from an external state. The purpose of the project was to provide insight into the determinants of state support for violent nonstate actors, assess the risks that third-party support poses to U.S. overseas contingency operations, and analyze policy options available to the United States to counter such foreign support. With the renewed focus in many regions on strategic competition, there seems to be a growing risk that states will feel increasingly threatened by their rivals and take greater steps to counteract these threats in the years to come. The case studies highlight how such an environment can often, though not always, lead to an increased interest in supporting proxy warfare. Of even greater concern is the fact that geopolitical drivers of proxy warfare can often be self-reinforcing. The states considered in the case studies were usually able to develop at least a rudimentary capability for proxy warfare very quickly, within a couple of years, often building on the capabilities of prior efforts or regimes. Beyond this baseline capability, however, a relatively lengthy period of learning and growth to better develop proxy warfare capabilities appears to be common |
| Beschreibung: | "Prepared for the United States Army; approved for public release; distribution unlimited. "RAND Arroyo Center. |
| Beschreibung: | xviii, 210 Seiten Illustrationen 23 cm |
| ISBN: | 9781977410535 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Proxy warfare in strategic competition |b state motivations and future trends |c Stephen Watts, Bryan Frederick, Nathan Chandler, Mark Toukan, Christian Curriden, Erik E. Mueller, Edward Geist, Ariane M. Tabatabai, Sara Plana, Brandon Corbin, Jeffrey Martini |
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| 505 | 8 | |a CHAPTER One: Introduction -- CHAPTER Two: Overview of the Causes of Proxy Wars -- CHAPTER Three: Quantitative Assessment of Proxy War Trends and Drivers -- CHAPTER Four: Russia's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Five: China's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Six: Iran's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Seven: Summary of Findings and Policy Recommendations -- APPENDIX A: Appendix to the Quantitative Assessment of Proxy War Trends and Drivers | |
| 520 | 3 | |a The authors used both quantitative analysis and case studies of China, Iran, and Russia to examine the causes and likely future trends in proxy wars: civil wars in which at least one local warring party receives material support from an external state. The purpose of the project was to provide insight into the determinants of state support for violent nonstate actors, assess the risks that third-party support poses to U.S. overseas contingency operations, and analyze policy options available to the United States to counter such foreign support. With the renewed focus in many regions on strategic competition, there seems to be a growing risk that states will feel increasingly threatened by their rivals and take greater steps to counteract these threats in the years to come. The case studies highlight how such an environment can often, though not always, lead to an increased interest in supporting proxy warfare. Of even greater concern is the fact that geopolitical drivers of proxy warfare can often be self-reinforcing. The states considered in the case studies were usually able to develop at least a rudimentary capability for proxy warfare very quickly, within a couple of years, often building on the capabilities of prior efforts or regimes. Beyond this baseline capability, however, a relatively lengthy period of learning and growth to better develop proxy warfare capabilities appears to be common | |
| 653 | 0 | |a Proxy war / Forecasting | |
| 653 | 0 | |a Proxy war / Case studies | |
| 653 | 0 | |a Civil war / Case studies | |
| 653 | 0 | |a Civil war | |
| 653 | 0 | |a Proxy war | |
| 653 | 6 | |a Case studies | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Frederick, Bryan A. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Chandler, Nathan |d 1982- |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Toukan, Mark |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Curriden, Christian |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Mueller, Erik E. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Geist, Edward |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Tabatabai, Ariane |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Plana, Sara |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Corbin, Brandon |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Martini, Jeffrey |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA300/RRA307-2/RAND_RRA307-2.pdf |
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-034253468 | ||
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| author | Watts, Stephen Frederick, Bryan A. Chandler, Nathan 1982- Toukan, Mark Curriden, Christian Mueller, Erik E. Geist, Edward Tabatabai, Ariane Plana, Sara Corbin, Brandon Martini, Jeffrey |
| author_GND | (DE-588)1152014137 |
| author_facet | Watts, Stephen Frederick, Bryan A. Chandler, Nathan 1982- Toukan, Mark Curriden, Christian Mueller, Erik E. Geist, Edward Tabatabai, Ariane Plana, Sara Corbin, Brandon Martini, Jeffrey |
| author_role | aut aut aut aut aut aut aut aut aut aut aut |
| author_sort | Watts, Stephen |
| author_variant | s w sw b a f ba baf n c nc m t mt c c cc e e m ee eem e g eg a t at s p sp b c bc j m jm |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV048990101 |
| contents | CHAPTER One: Introduction -- CHAPTER Two: Overview of the Causes of Proxy Wars -- CHAPTER Three: Quantitative Assessment of Proxy War Trends and Drivers -- CHAPTER Four: Russia's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Five: China's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Six: Iran's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Seven: Summary of Findings and Policy Recommendations -- APPENDIX A: Appendix to the Quantitative Assessment of Proxy War Trends and Drivers |
| ctrlnum | (DE-599)BVBBV048990101 |
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| id | DE-604.BV048990101 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T22:06:50Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:52:10Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781977410535 |
| language | English |
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| physical | xviii, 210 Seiten Illustrationen 23 cm |
| publishDate | 2023 |
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| publisher | RAND Corporation |
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| series2 | Research report |
| spelling | Watts, Stephen Verfasser (DE-588)1152014137 aut Proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends Stephen Watts, Bryan Frederick, Nathan Chandler, Mark Toukan, Christian Curriden, Erik E. Mueller, Edward Geist, Ariane M. Tabatabai, Sara Plana, Brandon Corbin, Jeffrey Martini Santa Monica, Calif. RAND Corporation [2023] xviii, 210 Seiten Illustrationen 23 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Research report "Prepared for the United States Army; approved for public release; distribution unlimited. "RAND Arroyo Center. CHAPTER One: Introduction -- CHAPTER Two: Overview of the Causes of Proxy Wars -- CHAPTER Three: Quantitative Assessment of Proxy War Trends and Drivers -- CHAPTER Four: Russia's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Five: China's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Six: Iran's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Seven: Summary of Findings and Policy Recommendations -- APPENDIX A: Appendix to the Quantitative Assessment of Proxy War Trends and Drivers The authors used both quantitative analysis and case studies of China, Iran, and Russia to examine the causes and likely future trends in proxy wars: civil wars in which at least one local warring party receives material support from an external state. The purpose of the project was to provide insight into the determinants of state support for violent nonstate actors, assess the risks that third-party support poses to U.S. overseas contingency operations, and analyze policy options available to the United States to counter such foreign support. With the renewed focus in many regions on strategic competition, there seems to be a growing risk that states will feel increasingly threatened by their rivals and take greater steps to counteract these threats in the years to come. The case studies highlight how such an environment can often, though not always, lead to an increased interest in supporting proxy warfare. Of even greater concern is the fact that geopolitical drivers of proxy warfare can often be self-reinforcing. The states considered in the case studies were usually able to develop at least a rudimentary capability for proxy warfare very quickly, within a couple of years, often building on the capabilities of prior efforts or regimes. Beyond this baseline capability, however, a relatively lengthy period of learning and growth to better develop proxy warfare capabilities appears to be common Proxy war / Forecasting Proxy war / Case studies Civil war / Case studies Civil war Proxy war Case studies Frederick, Bryan A. Verfasser aut Chandler, Nathan 1982- Verfasser aut Toukan, Mark Verfasser aut Curriden, Christian Verfasser aut Mueller, Erik E. Verfasser aut Geist, Edward Verfasser aut Tabatabai, Ariane Verfasser aut Plana, Sara Verfasser aut Corbin, Brandon Verfasser aut Martini, Jeffrey Verfasser aut https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA300/RRA307-2/RAND_RRA307-2.pdf |
| spellingShingle | Watts, Stephen Frederick, Bryan A. Chandler, Nathan 1982- Toukan, Mark Curriden, Christian Mueller, Erik E. Geist, Edward Tabatabai, Ariane Plana, Sara Corbin, Brandon Martini, Jeffrey Proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends CHAPTER One: Introduction -- CHAPTER Two: Overview of the Causes of Proxy Wars -- CHAPTER Three: Quantitative Assessment of Proxy War Trends and Drivers -- CHAPTER Four: Russia's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Five: China's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Six: Iran's Use of Proxy Warfare -- CHAPTER Seven: Summary of Findings and Policy Recommendations -- APPENDIX A: Appendix to the Quantitative Assessment of Proxy War Trends and Drivers |
| title | Proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends |
| title_auth | Proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends |
| title_exact_search | Proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends |
| title_full | Proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends Stephen Watts, Bryan Frederick, Nathan Chandler, Mark Toukan, Christian Curriden, Erik E. Mueller, Edward Geist, Ariane M. Tabatabai, Sara Plana, Brandon Corbin, Jeffrey Martini |
| title_fullStr | Proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends Stephen Watts, Bryan Frederick, Nathan Chandler, Mark Toukan, Christian Curriden, Erik E. Mueller, Edward Geist, Ariane M. Tabatabai, Sara Plana, Brandon Corbin, Jeffrey Martini |
| title_full_unstemmed | Proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends Stephen Watts, Bryan Frederick, Nathan Chandler, Mark Toukan, Christian Curriden, Erik E. Mueller, Edward Geist, Ariane M. Tabatabai, Sara Plana, Brandon Corbin, Jeffrey Martini |
| title_short | Proxy warfare in strategic competition |
| title_sort | proxy warfare in strategic competition state motivations and future trends |
| title_sub | state motivations and future trends |
| url | https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA300/RRA307-2/RAND_RRA307-2.pdf |
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