A plea for plausibility: toward a comparative decision theory
"This book develops an original theory of decision-making based on the concept of plausibility. The author advocates plausible reasoning as a general philosophical method and demonstrates how it can be applied to problems in argumentation theory, scientific theory choice, risk management, ethic...
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York, NY
Routledge
2023
|
| Series: | Routledge studies in contemporary philosophy
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Summary: | "This book develops an original theory of decision-making based on the concept of plausibility. The author advocates plausible reasoning as a general philosophical method and demonstrates how it can be applied to problems in argumentation theory, scientific theory choice, risk management, ethics, law, economics, and epistemology. Human decisions are conditioned by formidable uncertainty. The standard resource for dealing rationally with uncertainty is the mathematical concept of probability. The probability calculus is well-known, but since the numerical demands for applying it cannot usually be met, it is not widely applicable. By contrast, the concept of plausibility is widely applicable, but it is little known. This book relies on a generalized concept of plausibility whose strength is its adaptability. The adaptability is due to a novel form of decision theory that takes plausibilities as inputs. This form of decision theory remains applicable to decisions informed by sharp probabilities and utilities, but it can also be applied to decisions that must be made without them. It can aid in the rationally critical enterprise of discriminating good arguments from bad, and this can foster philosophical progress. A Plea for Plausibility will be of interest to scholars and advanced students working in argumentation theory, philosophy of science, ethics, epistemology, economics, law, and risk management"-- |
| Physical Description: | 257 Seiten 23 cm |
| ISBN: | 9781032402895 9781032402901 |
Staff View
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| 505 | 8 | |a Introduction -- A plausibility primer -- Credence for conclusions -- Plausibility and decision theory -- Theory choice and theory diagnosis in science -- Reasoning about risk -- Coping with moral uncertainty -- Plausible inference in legal contest -- When econs are human -- In search of philosophical method -- Epilogue: behind and beyond | |
| 520 | 3 | |a "This book develops an original theory of decision-making based on the concept of plausibility. The author advocates plausible reasoning as a general philosophical method and demonstrates how it can be applied to problems in argumentation theory, scientific theory choice, risk management, ethics, law, economics, and epistemology. Human decisions are conditioned by formidable uncertainty. The standard resource for dealing rationally with uncertainty is the mathematical concept of probability. The probability calculus is well-known, but since the numerical demands for applying it cannot usually be met, it is not widely applicable. By contrast, the concept of plausibility is widely applicable, but it is little known. This book relies on a generalized concept of plausibility whose strength is its adaptability. The adaptability is due to a novel form of decision theory that takes plausibilities as inputs. This form of decision theory remains applicable to decisions informed by sharp probabilities and utilities, but it can also be applied to decisions that must be made without them. It can aid in the rationally critical enterprise of discriminating good arguments from bad, and this can foster philosophical progress. A Plea for Plausibility will be of interest to scholars and advanced students working in argumentation theory, philosophy of science, ethics, epistemology, economics, law, and risk management"-- | |
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Record in the Search Index
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents Acknowledgments vi 1 Introduction 1 2 A plausibility primer 6 3 Credence for conclusions 22 4 Plausibility and decision theory 46 5 Theory choice and theory diagnosis in science 65 6 Reasoning about risk 87 7 Coping with moral uncertainty 102 8 Plausible inference in legal contest 121 9 When Econs are human 149 10 In search of philosophical method 167 11 Epilogue: Behind and beyond 214 Index 251
|
| adam_txt |
Contents Acknowledgments vi 1 Introduction 1 2 A plausibility primer 6 3 Credence for conclusions 22 4 Plausibility and decision theory 46 5 Theory choice and theory diagnosis in science 65 6 Reasoning about risk 87 7 Coping with moral uncertainty 102 8 Plausible inference in legal contest 121 9 When Econs are human 149 10 In search of philosophical method 167 11 Epilogue: Behind and beyond 214 Index 251 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
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| author | Welch, John R. |
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| author_facet | Welch, John R. |
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| bvnumber | BV048890813 |
| classification_rvk | CC 6960 |
| contents | Introduction -- A plausibility primer -- Credence for conclusions -- Plausibility and decision theory -- Theory choice and theory diagnosis in science -- Reasoning about risk -- Coping with moral uncertainty -- Plausible inference in legal contest -- When econs are human -- In search of philosophical method -- Epilogue: behind and beyond |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1385295757 (DE-599)BVBBV048890813 |
| discipline | Philosophie |
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| id | DE-604.BV048890813 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T21:48:22Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:49:00Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781032402895 9781032402901 |
| language | English |
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| physical | 257 Seiten 23 cm |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateSearch | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | Routledge |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Routledge studies in contemporary philosophy |
| spelling | Welch, John R. Verfasser (DE-588)106011917X aut A plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory John R. Welch New York, NY Routledge 2023 257 Seiten 23 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Routledge studies in contemporary philosophy Introduction -- A plausibility primer -- Credence for conclusions -- Plausibility and decision theory -- Theory choice and theory diagnosis in science -- Reasoning about risk -- Coping with moral uncertainty -- Plausible inference in legal contest -- When econs are human -- In search of philosophical method -- Epilogue: behind and beyond "This book develops an original theory of decision-making based on the concept of plausibility. The author advocates plausible reasoning as a general philosophical method and demonstrates how it can be applied to problems in argumentation theory, scientific theory choice, risk management, ethics, law, economics, and epistemology. Human decisions are conditioned by formidable uncertainty. The standard resource for dealing rationally with uncertainty is the mathematical concept of probability. The probability calculus is well-known, but since the numerical demands for applying it cannot usually be met, it is not widely applicable. By contrast, the concept of plausibility is widely applicable, but it is little known. This book relies on a generalized concept of plausibility whose strength is its adaptability. The adaptability is due to a novel form of decision theory that takes plausibilities as inputs. This form of decision theory remains applicable to decisions informed by sharp probabilities and utilities, but it can also be applied to decisions that must be made without them. It can aid in the rationally critical enterprise of discriminating good arguments from bad, and this can foster philosophical progress. A Plea for Plausibility will be of interest to scholars and advanced students working in argumentation theory, philosophy of science, ethics, epistemology, economics, law, and risk management"-- Plausibilität (DE-588)4174902-9 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd rswk-swf Argumentation (DE-588)4002899-9 gnd rswk-swf Plausibility (Logic) Decision making Argumentation (DE-588)4002899-9 s Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 s Plausibilität (DE-588)4174902-9 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-1-00-085276-9 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034155394&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Welch, John R. A plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory Introduction -- A plausibility primer -- Credence for conclusions -- Plausibility and decision theory -- Theory choice and theory diagnosis in science -- Reasoning about risk -- Coping with moral uncertainty -- Plausible inference in legal contest -- When econs are human -- In search of philosophical method -- Epilogue: behind and beyond Plausibilität (DE-588)4174902-9 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Argumentation (DE-588)4002899-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4174902-9 (DE-588)4113446-1 (DE-588)4002899-9 |
| title | A plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory |
| title_auth | A plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory |
| title_exact_search | A plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory |
| title_exact_search_txtP | A plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory |
| title_full | A plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory John R. Welch |
| title_fullStr | A plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory John R. Welch |
| title_full_unstemmed | A plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory John R. Welch |
| title_short | A plea for plausibility |
| title_sort | a plea for plausibility toward a comparative decision theory |
| title_sub | toward a comparative decision theory |
| topic | Plausibilität (DE-588)4174902-9 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Argumentation (DE-588)4002899-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Plausibilität Entscheidungsfindung Argumentation |
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