Interest rates and the spatial polarization of housing markets:

Rising within-country differences in house values are a much debated trend in the U.S. and internationally. Using new long-run regional data for 15 advanced economies, we first show that standard explanations linking growing price dispersion to rent dispersion are contradicted by an important styliz...

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Hauptverfasser: Osswald do Amaral, Francisco (VerfasserIn), Dohmen, Martin (VerfasserIn), Kohl, Sebastian ca. 20./21. Jh (VerfasserIn), Schularick, Moritz 1975- (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Bonn Universität Bonn November 2022
Köln Universität zu Köln November 2022
Schriftenreihe:ECONtribute discussion paper No. 212
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Zusammenfassung:Rising within-country differences in house values are a much debated trend in the U.S. and internationally. Using new long-run regional data for 15 advanced economies, we first show that standard explanations linking growing price dispersion to rent dispersion are contradicted by an important stylized fact: rent dispersion has increased far less than price dispersion. We then propose a new explanation: a uniform decline in real risk-free interest rates can have heterogeneous spatial effects on house values. Falling real safe rates disproportionately push up prices in large agglomerations where initial rent-price ratios are low, leading to housing market polarization on the national level.
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