The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
München
Verlag Dr. Hut
2022
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. Auflage |
| Schriftenreihe: | Bauingenieurwesen
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltstext http://www.dr.hut-verlag.de/978-3-8439-5132-6.html Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Literaturverzeichnis Seite 109-121 |
| Beschreibung: | xi, 125 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme 21 cm x 14.8 cm, 218 g |
| ISBN: | 9783843951326 3843951322 |
Internformat
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic |c Bernd Kaltenhäuser |
| 250 | |a 1. Auflage | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a München |b Verlag Dr. Hut |c 2022 | |
| 300 | |a xi, 125 Seiten |b Illustrationen, Diagramme |c 21 cm x 14.8 cm, 218 g | ||
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| 500 | |a Literaturverzeichnis Seite 109-121 | ||
| 502 | |b Dissertation |c Universität der Bundeswehr München |d 2022 | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804184553432023040 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
1.
INTRODUCTION........................................................................................................................................
1
1.1
MOTIVATION
..............................................................................................................................................
1
1.2
RESEARCH
QUESTIONS
.........................................................................................................................
2
1.3
METHODOLOGY
..................................................................................................................................
2
1.4
DEFINITION
OF
SIX
TRANSPORTATION
ALTERNATIVES
..................................................................................
3
1.5
CONTRIBUTIONS
.................................................................................................................................
5
1.6
THESIS
STRUCTURE
..............................................................................................................................
5
2.
LITERATURE
REVIEW
...............................................................................................................................
7
2.1
LITERATURE
ON
FORECASTS
OF
A
VS
......................................................................................................
7
2.2
LITERATURE
ON
SURVEYS
....................................................................................................................
7
2.3
LITERATURE
ON
TRAFFIC
SIMULATIONS
REGARDING
AVS
...........................................................................
8
3.
METHODOLOGY
OF
THE
SYSTEM
DYNAMICS
CALCULATION
.........................................................................
15
3.1
THE
CALCULATION
MODEL
.................................................................................................................
15
3.2
RESISTANCES
AGAINST
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
......................................................................................
16
3.3
NOTATION
USED
IN
THE
MODEL
.........................................................................................................
16
3.4
THE
INTRODUCTION
SCENARIO
FOR
PRIVATE
AND
SHARED
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
(TAS
3
AND
4)
..............
18
3.5
THE
INTRODUCTION
SCENARIO
FOR
PRIVATE
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
WITHOUT
A
STEERING
WHEEL
(TA
5)....
1
8
3.6
THE
INTRODUCTION
SCENARIO
FOR
SHARED
VEHICLES
WITHOUT
STEERING
WHEEL
(TA
6)
........................
19
3.7
THE
AGE
OF
OCCASIONAL
USERS
OF
AUTONOMOUS
TAXIS
........................................................................
19
3.8
POPULATION
WITH
ACCESS
TO
AUTONOMOUS
TAXIS
...............................................................................
20
3.9
NEW
REGISTRATIONS
OF
PRIVATE
VEHICLES
..........................................................................................
20
3.10
THE
TOTAL
NUMBER
OF
PRIVATE
VEHICLES
.........................................................................................
20
3.11
USERS
OF
AUTONOMOUS
TAXIS
.........................................................................................................
21
3.12
PEOPLE
WITHOUT
AN
OWN
VEHICLE
.................................................................................................
21
3.13
NUMBER
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
................................................................................................
22
3.14
TOTAL
NUMBER
OF
VEHICLES
...........................................................................................................
24
3.15
PROPORTION
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
............................................................................................
24
3.16
USE-WEIGHTED
PROPORTION
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
....................................................................
24
3.
17
VEHICLE
MILES
TRAVELLED
..............................................................................................................
25
3.18
TOTAL
NUMBER
OF
NEW
REGISTRATIONS
.............................................................................................
25
3.19
SURVEY
DATA
................................................................................................................................
26
3.20
FURTHER
CONSIDERATIONS
................................................................................................................
27
3.21
THE
LOOPED
MODEL
......................................................................................................................
29
4.
THE
SURVEY
........................................................................................................................................
33
4.1
OVERVIEW
......................................................................................................................................
33
4.2
TRUST
IN
THE
TECHNOLOGY
OF
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
..........................................................................
36
4.3
THE
PROTECTION
OF
PRIVACY
.............................................................................................................
37
4.4
THE
COST
OF
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
...................................................................................................
37
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
5.
PREDICTION
RESULTS
..............................................................................................................................
41
5.1
USERS
OF
AUTONOMOUS
TAXIS
............................................................................................................
41
5.2
PEOPLE
WITHOUT
AN
OWN
VEHICLE
.....................................................................................................
42
5.3
NUMBER
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
..................................................................................................
43
5.4
TOTAL
NUMBER
OF
VEHICLES
..............................................................................................................
46
5.5
PROPORTION
AND
USE-WEIGHTED
PROPORTION
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
...............................................
47
5.6
VEHICLE
MILES
TRAVELLED
.................................................................................................................
48
5.7
NEW
REGISTRATIONS
..........................................................................................................................
50
6.
SENSITIVITY
ANALYSIS
............................................................................................................................
51
6.1
INPUT-OUTPUT
CORRELATION
................................................................................................................
51
6.2
ALTERNATIVE
SCENARIOS
....................................................................................................................
53
6.3
THE
MAXIMUM
SCENARIO
................................................................................................................
54
6.4
THE
MINIMUM
SCENARIO
.................................................................................................................
59
6.5
THE
UNCONSTRAINED
MINIMUM
SCENARIO
.........................................................................................
63
6.6
THE
CANCEL-OUT
SCENARIO
................................................................................................................
67
7.
TRAFFIC
CALCULATIONS
...........................................................................................................................
71
7.1
NOTATION
........................................................................................................................................
71
7.2
THE
GIPPS
CAR-FOLLOWING
MODEL
....................................................................................................
72
7.3
THE
INTELLIGENT
DRIVER
MODEL
(IDM)
............................................................................................
74
7.4
A
COMPARISON
OF
THE
CAR-FOLLOWING
MODELS
.................................................................................
75
7.5
REACTION
AND
HEADWAY
TIME
..........................................................................................................
79
7.6
EVALUATION
OF
THE
GIPPS
MODEL
.....................................................................................................
79
8.
METHODOLOGY
OF
THE
TRAFFIC
SIMULATION
............................................................................................
83
8.1
GENERAL
METHODOLOGY
...................................................................................................................
83
8.2
THE
OPERATIONAL
PARAMETERS
OF
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
....................................................................
85
8.3
THE
IMPACT
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
ON
URBAN
TRAFFIC
..................................................................
87
8.4
THE
IMPACT
OF
CONNECTED
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
ON
URBAN
TRAFFIC
................................................
87
8.5
THE
SIMULATION
OF
FUTURE
TRAFFIC
....................................................................................................
87
9.
RESULTS
OF
THE
TRAFFIC
SIMULATION
......................................................................................................
89
9.1
PARAMETERS
FOR
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
..............................................................................................
89
9.2
THE
IMPACT
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
ON
URBAN
ROAD
TRAFFIC
.........................................................
90
9.3
THE
IMPACT
OF
CONNECTED
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
ON
URBAN
ROAD
TRAFFIC
........................................
94
9.4
PREDICTED
FUTURE
TRAFFIC
WITH
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
......................................................................
95
9.5
MAP
EXTRACT
...................................................................................................................................
97
10.
CONCLUSION
AND
OUTLOOK
..................................................................................................................
99
10.1
CONCLUSIONS
FROM
THE
PREDICTION
MODEL
.....................................................................................
99
10.2
CONCLUSIONS
FROM
THE
SURVEY
....................................................................................................
100
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
10.3
CONCLUSIONS
FROM
THE
TRAFFIC
SIMULATION
...................................................................................
101
10.4
POLICY
IMPLICATIONS
..................................................................................................................
103
10.5
OUTLOOK
....................................................................................................................................
104
LIST
OF
FIGURES
......................................................................................................................................
105
LIST
OF
TABLES
.......................................................................................................................................
107
REFERENCES...........................................................................................................................................
109
APPENDIX
.............................................................................................................................................
123
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
............................................................................................................................
125
|
| adam_txt |
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
1.
INTRODUCTION.
1
1.1
MOTIVATION
.
1
1.2
RESEARCH
QUESTIONS
.
2
1.3
METHODOLOGY
.
2
1.4
DEFINITION
OF
SIX
TRANSPORTATION
ALTERNATIVES
.
3
1.5
CONTRIBUTIONS
.
5
1.6
THESIS
STRUCTURE
.
5
2.
LITERATURE
REVIEW
.
7
2.1
LITERATURE
ON
FORECASTS
OF
A
VS
.
7
2.2
LITERATURE
ON
SURVEYS
.
7
2.3
LITERATURE
ON
TRAFFIC
SIMULATIONS
REGARDING
AVS
.
8
3.
METHODOLOGY
OF
THE
SYSTEM
DYNAMICS
CALCULATION
.
15
3.1
THE
CALCULATION
MODEL
.
15
3.2
RESISTANCES
AGAINST
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
.
16
3.3
NOTATION
USED
IN
THE
MODEL
.
16
3.4
THE
INTRODUCTION
SCENARIO
FOR
PRIVATE
AND
SHARED
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
(TAS
3
AND
4)
.
18
3.5
THE
INTRODUCTION
SCENARIO
FOR
PRIVATE
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
WITHOUT
A
STEERING
WHEEL
(TA
5).
1
8
3.6
THE
INTRODUCTION
SCENARIO
FOR
SHARED
VEHICLES
WITHOUT
STEERING
WHEEL
(TA
6)
.
19
3.7
THE
AGE
OF
OCCASIONAL
USERS
OF
AUTONOMOUS
TAXIS
.
19
3.8
POPULATION
WITH
ACCESS
TO
AUTONOMOUS
TAXIS
.
20
3.9
NEW
REGISTRATIONS
OF
PRIVATE
VEHICLES
.
20
3.10
THE
TOTAL
NUMBER
OF
PRIVATE
VEHICLES
.
20
3.11
USERS
OF
AUTONOMOUS
TAXIS
.
21
3.12
PEOPLE
WITHOUT
AN
OWN
VEHICLE
.
21
3.13
NUMBER
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
.
22
3.14
TOTAL
NUMBER
OF
VEHICLES
.
24
3.15
PROPORTION
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
.
24
3.16
USE-WEIGHTED
PROPORTION
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
.
24
3.
17
VEHICLE
MILES
TRAVELLED
.
25
3.18
TOTAL
NUMBER
OF
NEW
REGISTRATIONS
.
25
3.19
SURVEY
DATA
.
26
3.20
FURTHER
CONSIDERATIONS
.
27
3.21
THE
LOOPED
MODEL
.
29
4.
THE
SURVEY
.
33
4.1
OVERVIEW
.
33
4.2
TRUST
IN
THE
TECHNOLOGY
OF
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
.
36
4.3
THE
PROTECTION
OF
PRIVACY
.
37
4.4
THE
COST
OF
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
.
37
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
5.
PREDICTION
RESULTS
.
41
5.1
USERS
OF
AUTONOMOUS
TAXIS
.
41
5.2
PEOPLE
WITHOUT
AN
OWN
VEHICLE
.
42
5.3
NUMBER
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
.
43
5.4
TOTAL
NUMBER
OF
VEHICLES
.
46
5.5
PROPORTION
AND
USE-WEIGHTED
PROPORTION
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
.
47
5.6
VEHICLE
MILES
TRAVELLED
.
48
5.7
NEW
REGISTRATIONS
.
50
6.
SENSITIVITY
ANALYSIS
.
51
6.1
INPUT-OUTPUT
CORRELATION
.
51
6.2
ALTERNATIVE
SCENARIOS
.
53
6.3
THE
MAXIMUM
SCENARIO
.
54
6.4
THE
MINIMUM
SCENARIO
.
59
6.5
THE
UNCONSTRAINED
MINIMUM
SCENARIO
.
63
6.6
THE
CANCEL-OUT
SCENARIO
.
67
7.
TRAFFIC
CALCULATIONS
.
71
7.1
NOTATION
.
71
7.2
THE
GIPPS
CAR-FOLLOWING
MODEL
.
72
7.3
THE
INTELLIGENT
DRIVER
MODEL
(IDM)
.
74
7.4
A
COMPARISON
OF
THE
CAR-FOLLOWING
MODELS
.
75
7.5
REACTION
AND
HEADWAY
TIME
.
79
7.6
EVALUATION
OF
THE
GIPPS
MODEL
.
79
8.
METHODOLOGY
OF
THE
TRAFFIC
SIMULATION
.
83
8.1
GENERAL
METHODOLOGY
.
83
8.2
THE
OPERATIONAL
PARAMETERS
OF
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
.
85
8.3
THE
IMPACT
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
ON
URBAN
TRAFFIC
.
87
8.4
THE
IMPACT
OF
CONNECTED
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
ON
URBAN
TRAFFIC
.
87
8.5
THE
SIMULATION
OF
FUTURE
TRAFFIC
.
87
9.
RESULTS
OF
THE
TRAFFIC
SIMULATION
.
89
9.1
PARAMETERS
FOR
AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
.
89
9.2
THE
IMPACT
OF
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
ON
URBAN
ROAD
TRAFFIC
.
90
9.3
THE
IMPACT
OF
CONNECTED
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
ON
URBAN
ROAD
TRAFFIC
.
94
9.4
PREDICTED
FUTURE
TRAFFIC
WITH
AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLES
.
95
9.5
MAP
EXTRACT
.
97
10.
CONCLUSION
AND
OUTLOOK
.
99
10.1
CONCLUSIONS
FROM
THE
PREDICTION
MODEL
.
99
10.2
CONCLUSIONS
FROM
THE
SURVEY
.
100
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
10.3
CONCLUSIONS
FROM
THE
TRAFFIC
SIMULATION
.
101
10.4
POLICY
IMPLICATIONS
.
103
10.5
OUTLOOK
.
104
LIST
OF
FIGURES
.
105
LIST
OF
TABLES
.
107
REFERENCES.
109
APPENDIX
.
123
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
.
125 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| any_adam_object_boolean | 1 |
| author | Kaltenhäuser, Bernd |
| author_GND | (DE-588)133561208 |
| author_facet | Kaltenhäuser, Bernd |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Kaltenhäuser, Bernd |
| author_variant | b k bk |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV048548904 |
| classification_rvk | ZO 4660 QR 524 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1350778507 (DE-599)DNB1269206745 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften Verkehr / Transport |
| discipline_str_mv | Wirtschaftswissenschaften Verkehr / Transport |
| edition | 1. Auflage |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| genre | (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content |
| genre_facet | Hochschulschrift |
| id | DE-604.BV048548904 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:56:42Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:41:10Z |
| institution | BVB |
| institution_GND | (DE-588)10174118-2 |
| isbn | 9783843951326 3843951322 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033925328 |
| oclc_num | 1350778507 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-706 DE-83 DE-384 DE-12 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM DE-29 |
| owner_facet | DE-706 DE-83 DE-384 DE-12 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM DE-29 |
| physical | xi, 125 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme 21 cm x 14.8 cm, 218 g |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publishDateSearch | 2022 |
| publishDateSort | 2022 |
| publisher | Verlag Dr. Hut |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Bauingenieurwesen |
| spelling | Kaltenhäuser, Bernd Verfasser (DE-588)133561208 aut The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic Bernd Kaltenhäuser 1. Auflage München Verlag Dr. Hut 2022 xi, 125 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme 21 cm x 14.8 cm, 218 g txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Bauingenieurwesen Literaturverzeichnis Seite 109-121 Dissertation Universität der Bundeswehr München 2022 Zusammenfassung englisch und deutsch Verkehrsmodell (DE-588)4593441-1 gnd rswk-swf Autonomes Fahrzeug (DE-588)7714938-5 gnd rswk-swf Umfrage (DE-588)4005227-8 gnd rswk-swf Stadtverkehr (DE-588)4056783-7 gnd rswk-swf Simulation (DE-588)4055072-2 gnd rswk-swf Evaluation (DE-588)4071034-8 gnd rswk-swf Verkehrssicherheit (DE-588)4062962-4 gnd rswk-swf Fahrzeugverhalten (DE-588)4132163-7 gnd rswk-swf Marktentwicklung (DE-588)4123713-4 gnd rswk-swf Straßenverkehr (DE-588)4057931-1 gnd rswk-swf Autonome Fahrzeuge System Dynamics Verkehrssimulation (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Autonomes Fahrzeug (DE-588)7714938-5 s Stadtverkehr (DE-588)4056783-7 s Simulation (DE-588)4055072-2 s Marktentwicklung (DE-588)4123713-4 s DE-604 Straßenverkehr (DE-588)4057931-1 s Verkehrssicherheit (DE-588)4062962-4 s Fahrzeugverhalten (DE-588)4132163-7 s Verkehrsmodell (DE-588)4593441-1 s Evaluation (DE-588)4071034-8 s Umfrage (DE-588)4005227-8 s Verlag Dr. Hut (München) (DE-588)10174118-2 pbl X:MVB text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=f0a179dbc54942f8a826d65848b7827d&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext X:MVB http://www.dr.hut-verlag.de/978-3-8439-5132-6.html DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033925328&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p vlb 20220930 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#vlb |
| spellingShingle | Kaltenhäuser, Bernd The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic Verkehrsmodell (DE-588)4593441-1 gnd Autonomes Fahrzeug (DE-588)7714938-5 gnd Umfrage (DE-588)4005227-8 gnd Stadtverkehr (DE-588)4056783-7 gnd Simulation (DE-588)4055072-2 gnd Evaluation (DE-588)4071034-8 gnd Verkehrssicherheit (DE-588)4062962-4 gnd Fahrzeugverhalten (DE-588)4132163-7 gnd Marktentwicklung (DE-588)4123713-4 gnd Straßenverkehr (DE-588)4057931-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4593441-1 (DE-588)7714938-5 (DE-588)4005227-8 (DE-588)4056783-7 (DE-588)4055072-2 (DE-588)4071034-8 (DE-588)4062962-4 (DE-588)4132163-7 (DE-588)4123713-4 (DE-588)4057931-1 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic |
| title_auth | The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic |
| title_exact_search | The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic |
| title_exact_search_txtP | The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic |
| title_full | The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic Bernd Kaltenhäuser |
| title_fullStr | The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic Bernd Kaltenhäuser |
| title_full_unstemmed | The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic Bernd Kaltenhäuser |
| title_short | The market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic |
| title_sort | the market development of autonomous driving and its impact on urban traffic |
| topic | Verkehrsmodell (DE-588)4593441-1 gnd Autonomes Fahrzeug (DE-588)7714938-5 gnd Umfrage (DE-588)4005227-8 gnd Stadtverkehr (DE-588)4056783-7 gnd Simulation (DE-588)4055072-2 gnd Evaluation (DE-588)4071034-8 gnd Verkehrssicherheit (DE-588)4062962-4 gnd Fahrzeugverhalten (DE-588)4132163-7 gnd Marktentwicklung (DE-588)4123713-4 gnd Straßenverkehr (DE-588)4057931-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Verkehrsmodell Autonomes Fahrzeug Umfrage Stadtverkehr Simulation Evaluation Verkehrssicherheit Fahrzeugverhalten Marktentwicklung Straßenverkehr Hochschulschrift |
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