Identifying future-proof science:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Oxford; New York
Oxford Universtiy Press
2023
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| Ausgabe: | first edition |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | xv, 263 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9780192862730 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents Preface List of Figures ix xiii 1. What Is Future-Proof Science? 1 Science and Scepticism 2 Misleading Evidence 3 Approximate Truth 4 Future-Proof Science 5 Outline of the Book 1 1 6 10 13 19 2. The Historical Challenge to Future-Proof Science: The Debate So Far 1 Frustration and Miscommunication in the ‘Scientific Realism Debate’ 23 23 2 Stanford’s Scientific Scepticism: Death by a Thousand Qualifications? 3 The Historical Challenge: AreWe Epistemically Privileged? 4 Weight of Evidence Judgements: Scientists vs Philosophers 29 38 43 3. Meckel’s Successful Prediction of Gill Slits: A Case of Misleading Evidence? 1 2 3 4 5 6 52 52 54 60 63 Introduction The Gill Slit Prediction: Success fromFalsity? A Response? Von Baer The Argument from EmpiricalKnowledge Conclusion 4. The Tiktaalik ‘Missing Link’ Novel Predictive Success and the Evidence for Evolution 67 72 76 76 1 Introduction 2 Tiktaalik: An Impressive Novel Predictive Success of Evolution Theory? 3 The Full Body of Evidence 4 The ‘Consensus Approach’ to Evolution 5 Conclusion 5. The Judgement of the Scientific Community: Lessons from Continental Drift 1 Introduction 2 Was There a Consensus Regarding the Truth of Continental Permanency? 78 87 91 98 100 100 102
CONTENTS viii 3 Tackling the Threshold Problem (i): Analysing Community Dynamics 4 Tackling the Threshold Problem (ii): Trust Based on Past Reliability 5 Conclusion 6. Fundamental Physics and the Special Vulnerability to Underdetermination 1 2 3 4 5 6 111 120 127 130 Introduction The Sommerfeld Miracle In Search of a Principled Epistemic Distinction Rejecting Calls for a Principled Epistemic Distinction Interpreting Claims from Fundamental Physics Conclusion 130 133 141 150 155 162 7. Do We Know How the DinosaursDied? 1 Introduction 2 3 4 5 6 164 164 168 171 179 186 188 Assessing the Opposition—First Pass Assessing the Opposition—Second Pass Should We Believe the Alvarez Hypothesis? Coda on Approximate Truth Concluding Thoughts 8. Scientific Knowledge ina Pandemic 1 Misuse and Abuse of‘Scientific Consensus’ 2 When Was the Cause of Covid-19 Known with Certainty? 2.1 Kinds and Outliers 190 190 192 193 196 203 213 2.2 The Empirical Route to Future-Proof Science 3 The Mesosome Objection 4 Concluding Thoughts 9. Core Argument, Objections, Replies, and Outlook 1 Can We Identify Future-Proof Science? 1.1 The Criteria for Future-Proof Science 1.2 The Core Argument Behind the Criteria 1.3 Identifying Future-Proof Science in Practice 2 Objections and Replies 2.1 ‘Truth is not decided by a show of hands’ 2.2 When Is a Scientific Community Sufficiently Diverse for Future-Proof Science? 2.3 Counterexamples 2.4 Is the Sun a Star? 3 Implications for School Education 4 Outlook Bibliography Index 216 216 216 219 221 223 223 227 229 232 234 237 241 261
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| adam_txt |
Contents Preface List of Figures ix xiii 1. What Is Future-Proof Science? 1 Science and Scepticism 2 Misleading Evidence 3 Approximate Truth 4 Future-Proof Science 5 Outline of the Book 1 1 6 10 13 19 2. The Historical Challenge to Future-Proof Science: The Debate So Far 1 Frustration and Miscommunication in the ‘Scientific Realism Debate’ 23 23 2 Stanford’s Scientific Scepticism: Death by a Thousand Qualifications? 3 The Historical Challenge: AreWe Epistemically Privileged? 4 Weight of Evidence Judgements: Scientists vs Philosophers 29 38 43 3. Meckel’s Successful Prediction of Gill Slits: A Case of Misleading Evidence? 1 2 3 4 5 6 52 52 54 60 63 Introduction The Gill Slit Prediction: Success fromFalsity? A Response? Von Baer The Argument from EmpiricalKnowledge Conclusion 4. The Tiktaalik ‘Missing Link’ Novel Predictive Success and the Evidence for Evolution 67 72 76 76 1 Introduction 2 Tiktaalik: An Impressive Novel Predictive Success of Evolution Theory? 3 The Full Body of Evidence 4 The ‘Consensus Approach’ to Evolution 5 Conclusion 5. The Judgement of the Scientific Community: Lessons from Continental Drift 1 Introduction 2 Was There a Consensus Regarding the Truth of Continental Permanency? 78 87 91 98 100 100 102
CONTENTS viii 3 Tackling the Threshold Problem (i): Analysing Community Dynamics 4 Tackling the Threshold Problem (ii): Trust Based on Past Reliability 5 Conclusion 6. Fundamental Physics and the Special Vulnerability to Underdetermination 1 2 3 4 5 6 111 120 127 130 Introduction The Sommerfeld Miracle In Search of a Principled Epistemic Distinction Rejecting Calls for a Principled Epistemic Distinction Interpreting Claims from Fundamental Physics Conclusion 130 133 141 150 155 162 7. Do We Know How the DinosaursDied? 1 Introduction 2 3 4 5 6 164 164 168 171 179 186 188 Assessing the Opposition—First Pass Assessing the Opposition—Second Pass Should We Believe the Alvarez Hypothesis? Coda on Approximate Truth Concluding Thoughts 8. Scientific Knowledge ina Pandemic 1 Misuse and Abuse of‘Scientific Consensus’ 2 When Was the Cause of Covid-19 Known with Certainty? 2.1 Kinds and Outliers 190 190 192 193 196 203 213 2.2 The Empirical Route to Future-Proof Science 3 The Mesosome Objection 4 Concluding Thoughts 9. Core Argument, Objections, Replies, and Outlook 1 Can We Identify Future-Proof Science? 1.1 The Criteria for Future-Proof Science 1.2 The Core Argument Behind the Criteria 1.3 Identifying Future-Proof Science in Practice 2 Objections and Replies 2.1 ‘Truth is not decided by a show of hands’ 2.2 When Is a Scientific Community Sufficiently Diverse for Future-Proof Science? 2.3 Counterexamples 2.4 Is the Sun a Star? 3 Implications for School Education 4 Outlook Bibliography Index 216 216 216 219 221 223 223 227 229 232 234 237 241 261 |
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| spelling | Vickers, Peter Verfasser (DE-588)1122137745 aut Identifying future-proof science Peter Vickers first edition Oxford; New York Oxford Universtiy Press 2023 xv, 263 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 gnd rswk-swf Skeptizismus (DE-588)4055225-1 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 s Skeptizismus (DE-588)4055225-1 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 9780192862730 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033876312&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
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| title | Identifying future-proof science |
| title_auth | Identifying future-proof science |
| title_exact_search | Identifying future-proof science |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Identifying future-proof science |
| title_full | Identifying future-proof science Peter Vickers |
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| title_short | Identifying future-proof science |
| title_sort | identifying future proof science |
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