Decision advantage: intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar
"The argument of this book is that intelligence, or "competitive learning" is a measurable, buildable form of power that makes a predictable difference to outcomes in international politics. Employing skills in information engineering, its practitioners start with natural advantages a...
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
New York, NY
Oxford University Press
[2022]
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Zusammenfassung: | "The argument of this book is that intelligence, or "competitive learning" is a measurable, buildable form of power that makes a predictable difference to outcomes in international politics. Employing skills in information engineering, its practitioners start with natural advantages and disadvantages in "knowing." This "terrain of uncertainty" is simply the distribution of advantageous knowledge, including innovation, education, science and the arts. Sound intelligence strategy entails mapping the terrain of uncertainty, and then employing intelligence systems, including platforms, sensors, communications, and analysis, to learn and decide more quickly and usefully than one's opponent does. An intelligence "opponent" is any competitor who threatens to defeat you by outwitting you, rendering you more ignorant, or deceiving you. Such a competitor may even be an ally whose intelligence is so flawed that he fails to understand that his best interests are coincident with your own. Intelligence power or "readiness" has four parts: the number, coherence, flexibility of collection systems; the capacity to deploy those systems against policy-irrelevant unknowns (the anticipation function, or finding black swans); the capacity to deploy them against policy-relevant ones (the "transmission" function that supports current strategy and operations); and the capacity for selective secrecy (the timely keeping and releasing of secrets). States maximizing these capacities will be better prepared for gaining decision-advantages than others, but whether this power is used correctly in any given moment depends on how the power is employed in service to decision-making. Of course, such is the case for all forms of power. Done well, intelligence has systemic effects because it contributes to the competitive unveiling of international politics-a form of transparency based less on good will than self-interest. Counterintelligence (CI), which uses the same instruments as positive intelligence but for the purpose of manipulating the learning of others (denial, influence or deception), may darken international politics from time to time, but it cannot in theory outpace competitive learning because it needs the latter in order to succeed. Counterintelligence cannot work-indeed creates dangerous vulnerabilities for the user-when the user's positive intelligence is weak. So, as all states compete to improve their intelligence capabilities, the capacity to achieve advantages through manipulation often lags behind, and over time will tend to decline"-- |
Beschreibung: | xvii, 603 Seiten Illustrationen, Karten |
ISBN: | 9780197508046 |
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505 | 8 | |a Intelligence and decision advantage in international politics -- The Spanish Armada -- Gaining decision-advantage in the Anglo-Spanish War -- Intelligence lessons from the Spanish Armada -- Battlefield intelligence : the battles of First Manassas and Chancellorsville during the US Civil War -- Gaining advantage : First Manassas and Chancellorsville -- Intelligence lessons from the Battlefields -- Intelligence for the chase : The hunt for President Abraham Lincoln's assassin, John Wilkes Booth -- Intelligence support to diplomacy -- Knowledge and diplomacy in the era of total war -- Gaining diplomatic advantages before WWI -- Intelligence and decision in 1938 -- A theory of intelligence in international politics -- The 21st century intelligence terrain of uncertainty -- Appendix 1. Report by Nuño Da Silva, Portuguese pilot captured by Francis Drake, 19 January, 1578 -- 2.Excerpt from Nuño Da Silva's "Memory from Northern Costa Rica" -- 3. Propositions about intelligence power | |
520 | 3 | |a "The argument of this book is that intelligence, or "competitive learning" is a measurable, buildable form of power that makes a predictable difference to outcomes in international politics. Employing skills in information engineering, its practitioners start with natural advantages and disadvantages in "knowing." This "terrain of uncertainty" is simply the distribution of advantageous knowledge, including innovation, education, science and the arts. Sound intelligence strategy entails mapping the terrain of uncertainty, and then employing intelligence systems, including platforms, sensors, communications, and analysis, to learn and decide more quickly and usefully than one's opponent does. An intelligence "opponent" is any competitor who threatens to defeat you by outwitting you, rendering you more ignorant, or deceiving you. Such a competitor may even be an ally whose intelligence is so flawed that he fails to understand that his best interests are coincident with your own. | |
520 | 3 | |a Intelligence power or "readiness" has four parts: the number, coherence, flexibility of collection systems; the capacity to deploy those systems against policy-irrelevant unknowns (the anticipation function, or finding black swans); the capacity to deploy them against policy-relevant ones (the "transmission" function that supports current strategy and operations); and the capacity for selective secrecy (the timely keeping and releasing of secrets). States maximizing these capacities will be better prepared for gaining decision-advantages than others, but whether this power is used correctly in any given moment depends on how the power is employed in service to decision-making. Of course, such is the case for all forms of power. Done well, intelligence has systemic effects because it contributes to the competitive unveiling of international politics-a form of transparency based less on good will than self-interest. | |
520 | 3 | |a Counterintelligence (CI), which uses the same instruments as positive intelligence but for the purpose of manipulating the learning of others (denial, influence or deception), may darken international politics from time to time, but it cannot in theory outpace competitive learning because it needs the latter in order to succeed. Counterintelligence cannot work-indeed creates dangerous vulnerabilities for the user-when the user's positive intelligence is weak. So, as all states compete to improve their intelligence capabilities, the capacity to achieve advantages through manipulation often lags behind, and over time will tend to decline"-- | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | Contents List ofFigures Preface Acknowledgments ix xi xv 1. Intelligence and Decision Advantage in International Politics 1 2. The Spanish Armada 24 3. Gaining Decision Advantage in the Anglo-Spanish War 51 4. Intelligence Lessons from the Spanish Armada 93 5. Battlefield Intelligence: The Battles of First Manassas and Chancellorsville during the US Civil War 115 6. Gaining Advantage: First Manassas and Chancellorsville 160 7. Intelligence Lessons from the Battlefield 200 8. Intelligence for the Chase: The Hunt for President Abraham ■ Lincolns Assassin, John Wilkes Booth 221 9. Intelligence Support to Diplomacy 251 10. Knowledge and Diplomacy in the Era of Total War 263 11. Gaining Diplomatic Advantages before World War I 320 12. Intelligence and Decision in 1938 362 13. A Theory of Intelligence in International Politics 405 14. The Twenty-First-Century Terrain of Uncertainty 441 Appendix 1 : Report by Nuño de Silva, Portuguese Pilot Captured by Francis Drake, 19 January, 1578 Appendix 2: Excerptfrom Nuño de Silva’s “Memoryfrom Northern Costa Rica” 475 Appendix 3: Propositions about Intelligence Power Notes Bibliography Index 473 479 487 577 591
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adam_txt |
Contents List ofFigures Preface Acknowledgments ix xi xv 1. Intelligence and Decision Advantage in International Politics 1 2. The Spanish Armada 24 3. Gaining Decision Advantage in the Anglo-Spanish War 51 4. Intelligence Lessons from the Spanish Armada 93 5. Battlefield Intelligence: The Battles of First Manassas and Chancellorsville during the US Civil War 115 6. Gaining Advantage: First Manassas and Chancellorsville 160 7. Intelligence Lessons from the Battlefield 200 8. Intelligence for the Chase: The Hunt for President Abraham ■ Lincolns Assassin, John Wilkes Booth 221 9. Intelligence Support to Diplomacy 251 10. Knowledge and Diplomacy in the Era of Total War 263 11. Gaining Diplomatic Advantages before World War I 320 12. Intelligence and Decision in 1938 362 13. A Theory of Intelligence in International Politics 405 14. The Twenty-First-Century Terrain of Uncertainty 441 Appendix 1 : Report by Nuño de Silva, Portuguese Pilot Captured by Francis Drake, 19 January, 1578 Appendix 2: Excerptfrom Nuño de Silva’s “Memoryfrom Northern Costa Rica” 475 Appendix 3: Propositions about Intelligence Power Notes Bibliography Index 473 479 487 577 591 |
any_adam_object | 1 |
any_adam_object_boolean | 1 |
author | Sims, Jennifer E. |
author_GND | (DE-588)1274373875 |
author_facet | Sims, Jennifer E. |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | Sims, Jennifer E. |
author_variant | j e s je jes |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV048488777 |
contents | Intelligence and decision advantage in international politics -- The Spanish Armada -- Gaining decision-advantage in the Anglo-Spanish War -- Intelligence lessons from the Spanish Armada -- Battlefield intelligence : the battles of First Manassas and Chancellorsville during the US Civil War -- Gaining advantage : First Manassas and Chancellorsville -- Intelligence lessons from the Battlefields -- Intelligence for the chase : The hunt for President Abraham Lincoln's assassin, John Wilkes Booth -- Intelligence support to diplomacy -- Knowledge and diplomacy in the era of total war -- Gaining diplomatic advantages before WWI -- Intelligence and decision in 1938 -- A theory of intelligence in international politics -- The 21st century intelligence terrain of uncertainty -- Appendix 1. Report by Nuño Da Silva, Portuguese pilot captured by Francis Drake, 19 January, 1578 -- 2.Excerpt from Nuño Da Silva's "Memory from Northern Costa Rica" -- 3. Propositions about intelligence power |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1347217794 (DE-599)BVBBV048488777 |
dewey-full | 327.12 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 327 - International relations |
dewey-raw | 327.12 |
dewey-search | 327.12 |
dewey-sort | 3327.12 |
dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
discipline | Politologie |
discipline_str_mv | Politologie |
era | Geschichte gnd |
era_facet | Geschichte |
format | Book |
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illustrated | Illustrated |
index_date | 2024-07-03T20:41:05Z |
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institution | BVB |
isbn | 9780197508046 |
language | English |
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physical | xvii, 603 Seiten Illustrationen, Karten |
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publisher | Oxford University Press |
record_format | marc |
spelling | Sims, Jennifer E. Verfasser (DE-588)1274373875 aut Decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar Jennifer E. Sims New York, NY Oxford University Press [2022] © 2022 xvii, 603 Seiten Illustrationen, Karten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Intelligence and decision advantage in international politics -- The Spanish Armada -- Gaining decision-advantage in the Anglo-Spanish War -- Intelligence lessons from the Spanish Armada -- Battlefield intelligence : the battles of First Manassas and Chancellorsville during the US Civil War -- Gaining advantage : First Manassas and Chancellorsville -- Intelligence lessons from the Battlefields -- Intelligence for the chase : The hunt for President Abraham Lincoln's assassin, John Wilkes Booth -- Intelligence support to diplomacy -- Knowledge and diplomacy in the era of total war -- Gaining diplomatic advantages before WWI -- Intelligence and decision in 1938 -- A theory of intelligence in international politics -- The 21st century intelligence terrain of uncertainty -- Appendix 1. Report by Nuño Da Silva, Portuguese pilot captured by Francis Drake, 19 January, 1578 -- 2.Excerpt from Nuño Da Silva's "Memory from Northern Costa Rica" -- 3. Propositions about intelligence power "The argument of this book is that intelligence, or "competitive learning" is a measurable, buildable form of power that makes a predictable difference to outcomes in international politics. Employing skills in information engineering, its practitioners start with natural advantages and disadvantages in "knowing." This "terrain of uncertainty" is simply the distribution of advantageous knowledge, including innovation, education, science and the arts. Sound intelligence strategy entails mapping the terrain of uncertainty, and then employing intelligence systems, including platforms, sensors, communications, and analysis, to learn and decide more quickly and usefully than one's opponent does. An intelligence "opponent" is any competitor who threatens to defeat you by outwitting you, rendering you more ignorant, or deceiving you. Such a competitor may even be an ally whose intelligence is so flawed that he fails to understand that his best interests are coincident with your own. Intelligence power or "readiness" has four parts: the number, coherence, flexibility of collection systems; the capacity to deploy those systems against policy-irrelevant unknowns (the anticipation function, or finding black swans); the capacity to deploy them against policy-relevant ones (the "transmission" function that supports current strategy and operations); and the capacity for selective secrecy (the timely keeping and releasing of secrets). States maximizing these capacities will be better prepared for gaining decision-advantages than others, but whether this power is used correctly in any given moment depends on how the power is employed in service to decision-making. Of course, such is the case for all forms of power. Done well, intelligence has systemic effects because it contributes to the competitive unveiling of international politics-a form of transparency based less on good will than self-interest. Counterintelligence (CI), which uses the same instruments as positive intelligence but for the purpose of manipulating the learning of others (denial, influence or deception), may darken international politics from time to time, but it cannot in theory outpace competitive learning because it needs the latter in order to succeed. Counterintelligence cannot work-indeed creates dangerous vulnerabilities for the user-when the user's positive intelligence is weak. So, as all states compete to improve their intelligence capabilities, the capacity to achieve advantages through manipulation often lags behind, and over time will tend to decline"-- Geschichte gnd rswk-swf Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 gnd rswk-swf Aufklärung Militär (DE-588)4143395-6 gnd rswk-swf Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd rswk-swf Militärische Planung (DE-588)4169951-8 gnd rswk-swf International relations / Decision making Strategic planning Intelligence service Military intelligence Relations internationales / Prise de décision Planification stratégique Service des renseignements Service des renseignements militaires Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 s Aufklärung Militär (DE-588)4143395-6 s Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 s Militärische Planung (DE-588)4169951-8 s Geschichte z DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-0-19-750806-0 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033866291&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Sims, Jennifer E. Decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar Intelligence and decision advantage in international politics -- The Spanish Armada -- Gaining decision-advantage in the Anglo-Spanish War -- Intelligence lessons from the Spanish Armada -- Battlefield intelligence : the battles of First Manassas and Chancellorsville during the US Civil War -- Gaining advantage : First Manassas and Chancellorsville -- Intelligence lessons from the Battlefields -- Intelligence for the chase : The hunt for President Abraham Lincoln's assassin, John Wilkes Booth -- Intelligence support to diplomacy -- Knowledge and diplomacy in the era of total war -- Gaining diplomatic advantages before WWI -- Intelligence and decision in 1938 -- A theory of intelligence in international politics -- The 21st century intelligence terrain of uncertainty -- Appendix 1. Report by Nuño Da Silva, Portuguese pilot captured by Francis Drake, 19 January, 1578 -- 2.Excerpt from Nuño Da Silva's "Memory from Northern Costa Rica" -- 3. Propositions about intelligence power Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 gnd Aufklärung Militär (DE-588)4143395-6 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Militärische Planung (DE-588)4169951-8 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4057952-9 (DE-588)4143395-6 (DE-588)4072885-7 (DE-588)4169951-8 |
title | Decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar |
title_auth | Decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar |
title_exact_search | Decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar |
title_exact_search_txtP | Decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar |
title_full | Decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar Jennifer E. Sims |
title_fullStr | Decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar Jennifer E. Sims |
title_full_unstemmed | Decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar Jennifer E. Sims |
title_short | Decision advantage |
title_sort | decision advantage intelligence in international politics from the spanish armada to cyberwar |
title_sub | intelligence in international politics from the Spanish Armada to cyberwar |
topic | Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 gnd Aufklärung Militär (DE-588)4143395-6 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Militärische Planung (DE-588)4169951-8 gnd |
topic_facet | Strategie Aufklärung Militär Internationale Politik Militärische Planung |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033866291&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT simsjennifere decisionadvantageintelligenceininternationalpoliticsfromthespanisharmadatocyberwar |