Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence: What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe?
This paper assesses the role of international commodity prices, cyclical fluctuations, and convergence in driving inflation in 18 European emerging economies. Country specific VARs and panel estimates indicate that international commodity price shocks have a significant impact on domestic inflation,...
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2009
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| Series: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 09/41 |
| Online Access: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Summary: | This paper assesses the role of international commodity prices, cyclical fluctuations, and convergence in driving inflation in 18 European emerging economies. Country specific VARs and panel estimates indicate that international commodity price shocks have a significant impact on domestic inflation, but the inflation response is asymmetric for positive and negative shocks. Cyclical fluctuations explain a relative small share of inflation variability, and the inflation response is asymmetric during upturns and downturns. Price convergence is estimated to add nearly 3 percentage points to headline inflation, for the average country whose price level is about 50 percent relative to the EU-15 average |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (21 p) |
| ISBN: | 1451871899 9781451871890 |
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| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:30Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:39Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 1451871899 9781451871890 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Zoli, Edda Verfasser aut Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? Zoli, Edda Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2009 1 Online-Ressource (21 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 09/41 This paper assesses the role of international commodity prices, cyclical fluctuations, and convergence in driving inflation in 18 European emerging economies. Country specific VARs and panel estimates indicate that international commodity price shocks have a significant impact on domestic inflation, but the inflation response is asymmetric for positive and negative shocks. Cyclical fluctuations explain a relative small share of inflation variability, and the inflation response is asymmetric during upturns and downturns. Price convergence is estimated to add nearly 3 percentage points to headline inflation, for the average country whose price level is about 50 percent relative to the EU-15 average Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/09960-9781451871890/09960-9781451871890/09960-9781451871890.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Zoli, Edda Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? |
| title | Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? |
| title_auth | Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? |
| title_exact_search | Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? |
| title_full | Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? Zoli, Edda |
| title_fullStr | Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? Zoli, Edda |
| title_full_unstemmed | Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? Zoli, Edda |
| title_short | Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence |
| title_sort | commodity price volatility cyclical fluctuations and convergence what is ahead for inflation in emerging europe |
| title_sub | What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/09960-9781451871890/09960-9781451871890/09960-9781451871890.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT zoliedda commoditypricevolatilitycyclicalfluctuationsandconvergencewhatisaheadforinflationinemergingeurope |