Exits From Pegged Regimes: An Empirical Analysis

Using countries'' de facto exchange rate regimes during 1985-2002, this paper analyzes the determinants of exits from pegged regimes, where exits involve shifts to more or less flexible regimes, or adjustments within the existing regime. Distinguishing episodes characterized by ""...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ötker, Inci (Author)
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2003
Series:IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 03/147
Online Access:UBW01
UEI01
LCO01
SBR01
UER01
SBG01
UBG01
FAN01
UBT01
FKE01
UBY01
UBA01
FLA01
UBM01
UPA01
UBR01
FHA01
FNU01
BSB01
TUM01
Volltext
Summary:Using countries'' de facto exchange rate regimes during 1985-2002, this paper analyzes the determinants of exits from pegged regimes, where exits involve shifts to more or less flexible regimes, or adjustments within the existing regime. Distinguishing episodes characterized by ""exchange market pressure"" from orderly exits, the estimated probabilities of alternative exit episodes indicate that crises are preceded by a deterioration of economic conditions. In contrast, orderly exits to less flexible regimes are preceded by long regime duration, a decline in financial liabilities of the banking system, and an increase in official reserves. Exits to more flexible regimes are associated with both emerging market and other developing countries, and an increase in trade openness and government borrowing from banks. The results are robust to alternative sensitivity analyses and have reasonable predictive performance, confirming that economic and financial conditions and regime duration play important roles in determining the future course of exchange rate regimes
Physical Description:1 Online-Ressource (35 p)
ISBN:145185675X
9781451856750

There is no print copy available.

Interlibrary loan Place Request Caution: Not in THWS collection! Get full text