Verfügbarkeit: El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices

El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices: Warm Water or Hot Air?

This paper examines the historical effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle on world prices and economic activity. The analysis indicates that ENSO has economically-important and statistically-significant effects on world real commodity prices. A one-standard-deviation positive surpr...

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1. Verfasser:	Brunner, Allan D. (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2000
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 00/203
Online-Zugang:	UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext
Zusammenfassung:	This paper examines the historical effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle on world prices and economic activity. The analysis indicates that ENSO has economically-important and statistically-significant effects on world real commodity prices. A one-standard-deviation positive surprise in ENSO, for example, raises real commodity price inflation about 3-1/2 to 4 percentage points. Moreover, ENSO appears to account for almost 20 percent of commodity price inflation movements over the past several years. ENSO also has some explanatory power for world consumer price inflation and world economic activity, accounting for about 10 to 20 percent of movements in those variables
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (34 p)
ISBN:	1451874448 9781451874440

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spelling	Brunner, Allan D. Verfasser aut El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices Warm Water or Hot Air? Brunner, Allan D Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2000 1 Online-Ressource (34 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 00/203 This paper examines the historical effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle on world prices and economic activity. The analysis indicates that ENSO has economically-important and statistically-significant effects on world real commodity prices. A one-standard-deviation positive surprise in ENSO, for example, raises real commodity price inflation about 3-1/2 to 4 percentage points. Moreover, ENSO appears to account for almost 20 percent of commodity price inflation movements over the past several years. ENSO also has some explanatory power for world consumer price inflation and world economic activity, accounting for about 10 to 20 percent of movements in those variables Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/02011-9781451874440/02011-9781451874440/02011-9781451874440.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Brunner, Allan D. El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices Warm Water or Hot Air?
title	El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices Warm Water or Hot Air?
title_auth	El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices Warm Water or Hot Air?
title_exact_search	El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices Warm Water or Hot Air?
title_exact_search_txtP	El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices Warm Water or Hot Air?
title_full	El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices Warm Water or Hot Air? Brunner, Allan D
title_fullStr	El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices Warm Water or Hot Air? Brunner, Allan D
title_full_unstemmed	El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices Warm Water or Hot Air? Brunner, Allan D
title_short	El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices
title_sort	el nino and world primary commodity prices warm water or hot air
title_sub	Warm Water or Hot Air?
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