Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy: Lessons From Gabon
While models based on Friedman''s (1957) permanent-income hypothesis can provide oilproducing countries with long-run fiscal targets, they usually abstract from short-run costs associated with consolidation. This paper proposes a model that takes such adjustment costs (or ""habit...
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2006
|
| Series: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 06/193 |
| Online Access: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Summary: | While models based on Friedman''s (1957) permanent-income hypothesis can provide oilproducing countries with long-run fiscal targets, they usually abstract from short-run costs associated with consolidation. This paper proposes a model that takes such adjustment costs (or ""habits"") into account. Further operational realism is added by permitting differential interest rates on sovereign debt and financial assets. The approach is applied to Gabon, where oil reserves are expected to be exhausted in 30 years. The results suggest that Gabon''s current fiscal-policy stance cannot be maintained, while the presence of habits justifies smoothing the bulk of the adjustment toward the sustainable level over three to five years |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (30 p) |
| ISBN: | 1451864531 9781451864533 |
Staff View
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| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:27Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:36Z |
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| spelling | Olters, Jan-Peter Verfasser aut Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy Lessons From Gabon Olters, Jan-Peter Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2006 1 Online-Ressource (30 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 06/193 While models based on Friedman''s (1957) permanent-income hypothesis can provide oilproducing countries with long-run fiscal targets, they usually abstract from short-run costs associated with consolidation. This paper proposes a model that takes such adjustment costs (or ""habits"") into account. Further operational realism is added by permitting differential interest rates on sovereign debt and financial assets. The approach is applied to Gabon, where oil reserves are expected to be exhausted in 30 years. The results suggest that Gabon''s current fiscal-policy stance cannot be maintained, while the presence of habits justifies smoothing the bulk of the adjustment toward the sustainable level over three to five years Online-Ausg Leigh, Daniel Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/04819-9781451864533/04819-9781451864533/04819-9781451864533.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Olters, Jan-Peter Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy Lessons From Gabon |
| title | Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy Lessons From Gabon |
| title_auth | Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy Lessons From Gabon |
| title_exact_search | Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy Lessons From Gabon |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy Lessons From Gabon |
| title_full | Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy Lessons From Gabon Olters, Jan-Peter |
| title_fullStr | Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy Lessons From Gabon Olters, Jan-Peter |
| title_full_unstemmed | Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy Lessons From Gabon Olters, Jan-Peter |
| title_short | Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy |
| title_sort | natural resource depletion habit formation and sustainable fiscal policy lessons from gabon |
| title_sub | Lessons From Gabon |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/04819-9781451864533/04819-9781451864533/04819-9781451864533.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT oltersjanpeter naturalresourcedepletionhabitformationandsustainablefiscalpolicylessonsfromgabon AT leighdaniel naturalresourcedepletionhabitformationandsustainablefiscalpolicylessonsfromgabon |