U.S. Inflation Dynamics: What Drives them Over Different Frequencies?
This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and cyclical movements, and we show that such a distinction is...
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2006
|
| Series: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 06/159 |
| Online Access: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Summary: | This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and cyclical movements, and we show that such a distinction is critical. In particular, we study traditional Phillips curve (TPC) and new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) models of inflation, and conclude that the long-run secular decline in inflation cannot be explained in terms of changes in external trade and global factor markets. These variables tend to impact inflation primarily over the business cycle. We infer that the secular decline in inflation may well reflect improved monetary policy credibility and, thus, maintaining low inflation in the long run is closely linked to anchored inflation expectations |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (27 p) |
| ISBN: | 1451864191 9781451864199 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:26Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:34Z |
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| spelling | Balakrishnan, Ravi Verfasser aut U.S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? Balakrishnan, Ravi Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2006 1 Online-Ressource (27 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 06/159 This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and cyclical movements, and we show that such a distinction is critical. In particular, we study traditional Phillips curve (TPC) and new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) models of inflation, and conclude that the long-run secular decline in inflation cannot be explained in terms of changes in external trade and global factor markets. These variables tend to impact inflation primarily over the business cycle. We infer that the secular decline in inflation may well reflect improved monetary policy credibility and, thus, maintaining low inflation in the long run is closely linked to anchored inflation expectations Online-Ausg Ouliaris, Sam Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/07583-9781451864199/07583-9781451864199/07583-9781451864199.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Balakrishnan, Ravi U.S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? |
| title | U.S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? |
| title_auth | U.S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? |
| title_exact_search | U.S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? |
| title_exact_search_txtP | U.S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? |
| title_full | U.S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? Balakrishnan, Ravi |
| title_fullStr | U.S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? Balakrishnan, Ravi |
| title_full_unstemmed | U.S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? Balakrishnan, Ravi |
| title_short | U.S. Inflation Dynamics |
| title_sort | u s inflation dynamics what drives them over different frequencies |
| title_sub | What Drives them Over Different Frequencies? |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/07583-9781451864199/07583-9781451864199/07583-9781451864199.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT balakrishnanravi usinflationdynamicswhatdrivesthemoverdifferentfrequencies AT ouliarissam usinflationdynamicswhatdrivesthemoverdifferentfrequencies |