Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation:
Food prices are generally excluded from measures of inflation most closely watched by policymakers due either to their transitory nature or their higher volatility. However, in lower income countries, food price inflation is not only more volatile but also on average higher than nonfood inflation. F...
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2011
|
| Series: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 11/71 |
| Online Access: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Summary: | Food prices are generally excluded from measures of inflation most closely watched by policymakers due either to their transitory nature or their higher volatility. However, in lower income countries, food price inflation is not only more volatile but also on average higher than nonfood inflation. Food inflation is also in many cases more persistent than nonfood inflation, and shocks in many countries are propagated strongly into nonfood inflation. Under these conditions, and particularly given high global commodity price inflation in recent years, a policy focus on measures of core inflation that exclude food prices can misspecify inflation, leading to higher inflationary expectations, a downward bias to forecasts of future inflation and lags in policy responses. In constructing measures of core inflation, policymakers should therefore not assume that excluding food price inflation will provide a clearer picture of underlying inflation trends than headline inflation |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (21 p) |
| ISBN: | 1455227080 9781455227082 |
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| 520 | 3 | |a Food prices are generally excluded from measures of inflation most closely watched by policymakers due either to their transitory nature or their higher volatility. However, in lower income countries, food price inflation is not only more volatile but also on average higher than nonfood inflation. Food inflation is also in many cases more persistent than nonfood inflation, and shocks in many countries are propagated strongly into nonfood inflation. Under these conditions, and particularly given high global commodity price inflation in recent years, a policy focus on measures of core inflation that exclude food prices can misspecify inflation, leading to higher inflationary expectations, a downward bias to forecasts of future inflation and lags in policy responses. In constructing measures of core inflation, policymakers should therefore not assume that excluding food price inflation will provide a clearer picture of underlying inflation trends than headline inflation | |
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| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:24Z |
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| spelling | Walsh, James Verfasser aut Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation Walsh, James Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2011 1 Online-Ressource (21 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 11/71 Food prices are generally excluded from measures of inflation most closely watched by policymakers due either to their transitory nature or their higher volatility. However, in lower income countries, food price inflation is not only more volatile but also on average higher than nonfood inflation. Food inflation is also in many cases more persistent than nonfood inflation, and shocks in many countries are propagated strongly into nonfood inflation. Under these conditions, and particularly given high global commodity price inflation in recent years, a policy focus on measures of core inflation that exclude food prices can misspecify inflation, leading to higher inflationary expectations, a downward bias to forecasts of future inflation and lags in policy responses. In constructing measures of core inflation, policymakers should therefore not assume that excluding food price inflation will provide a clearer picture of underlying inflation trends than headline inflation Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/11747-9781455227082/11747-9781455227082/11747-9781455227082.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Walsh, James Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation |
| title | Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation |
| title_auth | Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation |
| title_exact_search | Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation |
| title_full | Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation Walsh, James |
| title_fullStr | Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation Walsh, James |
| title_full_unstemmed | Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation Walsh, James |
| title_short | Reconsidering the Role of Food Prices in Inflation |
| title_sort | reconsidering the role of food prices in inflation |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/11747-9781455227082/11747-9781455227082/11747-9781455227082.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT walshjames reconsideringtheroleoffoodpricesininflation |