On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions:
This paper evaluates the bias of the least-squares-with-dummy-variables (LSDV) method in fiscal reaction function estimations. A growing number of studies estimate fiscal policy reaction functions-that is, relationships between the primary fiscal balance and its determinants, including public debt a...
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2006
|
| Series: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 06/182 |
| Online Access: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Summary: | This paper evaluates the bias of the least-squares-with-dummy-variables (LSDV) method in fiscal reaction function estimations. A growing number of studies estimate fiscal policy reaction functions-that is, relationships between the primary fiscal balance and its determinants, including public debt and the output gap. A previously unexplored methodological issue in these estimations is that lagged debt is not a strictly exogenous variable, which biases the LSDV estimator in short panels. We derive the bias analytically to understand its determinants and run Monte Carlo simulations to assess its likely size in empirical work. We find the bias to be smaller than the bias of the LSDV estimator in a comparable autoregressive dynamic panel model and show the LSDV method to outperform a number of alternatives in estimating fiscal reaction functions |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (29 p) |
| ISBN: | 1451864426 9781451864427 |
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MARC
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| 520 | 3 | |a This paper evaluates the bias of the least-squares-with-dummy-variables (LSDV) method in fiscal reaction function estimations. A growing number of studies estimate fiscal policy reaction functions-that is, relationships between the primary fiscal balance and its determinants, including public debt and the output gap. A previously unexplored methodological issue in these estimations is that lagged debt is not a strictly exogenous variable, which biases the LSDV estimator in short panels. We derive the bias analytically to understand its determinants and run Monte Carlo simulations to assess its likely size in empirical work. We find the bias to be smaller than the bias of the LSDV estimator in a comparable autoregressive dynamic panel model and show the LSDV method to outperform a number of alternatives in estimating fiscal reaction functions | |
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| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:22Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:30Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 1451864426 9781451864427 |
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| spelling | Celasun, Oya Verfasser aut On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions Celasun, Oya Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2006 1 Online-Ressource (29 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 06/182 This paper evaluates the bias of the least-squares-with-dummy-variables (LSDV) method in fiscal reaction function estimations. A growing number of studies estimate fiscal policy reaction functions-that is, relationships between the primary fiscal balance and its determinants, including public debt and the output gap. A previously unexplored methodological issue in these estimations is that lagged debt is not a strictly exogenous variable, which biases the LSDV estimator in short panels. We derive the bias analytically to understand its determinants and run Monte Carlo simulations to assess its likely size in empirical work. We find the bias to be smaller than the bias of the LSDV estimator in a comparable autoregressive dynamic panel model and show the LSDV method to outperform a number of alternatives in estimating fiscal reaction functions Online-Ausg Kang, Joong Shik Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/05039-9781451864427/05039-9781451864427/05039-9781451864427.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Celasun, Oya On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions |
| title | On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions |
| title_auth | On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions |
| title_exact_search | On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions |
| title_exact_search_txtP | On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions |
| title_full | On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions Celasun, Oya |
| title_fullStr | On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions Celasun, Oya |
| title_full_unstemmed | On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions Celasun, Oya |
| title_short | On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions |
| title_sort | on the properties of various estimators for fiscal reaction functions |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/05039-9781451864427/05039-9781451864427/05039-9781451864427.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT celasunoya onthepropertiesofvariousestimatorsforfiscalreactionfunctions AT kangjoongshik onthepropertiesofvariousestimatorsforfiscalreactionfunctions |