Evaluating Policy Rules Under Imperfect Credibility:

Evaluation of policy rules using empirical macroeconomic models is usually done on the assumption that the rules are perfectly credible. However, there are usually circumstances that cause the authorities to abandon any given rule. The public's expectations reflect this possibility. In the pape...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Masson, Paul R. (Author)
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 1991
Series:IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 91/128
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Summary:Evaluation of policy rules using empirical macroeconomic models is usually done on the assumption that the rules are perfectly credible. However, there are usually circumstances that cause the authorities to abandon any given rule. The public's expectations reflect this possibility. In the paper, credibility is assumed to depend on the probability that the authorities will abandon a rule because the resulting utility exceeds that from maintaining the rule. Simulations of a disinflation policy leading to price stability are presented. Its credibility varies over time, depending on the paths for output and inflation
Physical Description:1 Online-Ressource (24 p)
ISBN:1451855028
9781451855029