Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information:
We study the effects of oil-price shocks on the U.S. economy combining narrative and quantitative approaches. After examining daily oil-related events since 1984, we classify them into various event types. We then develop measures of exogenous shocks that avoid endogeneity and predictability concern...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2012
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 12/19 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | We study the effects of oil-price shocks on the U.S. economy combining narrative and quantitative approaches. After examining daily oil-related events since 1984, we classify them into various event types. We then develop measures of exogenous shocks that avoid endogeneity and predictability concerns. Estimation results indicate that oil-price shocks have had substantial and statistically significant effects during the last 25 years. In contrast, traditional VAR approaches imply much weaker and insignificant effects for the same period. This discrepancy stems from the inability of VARs to separate exogenous oil-supply shocks from endogenous oil-price fluctuations driven by changes in oil demand |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (42 p) |
ISBN: | 1463931816 9781463931810 |
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spelling | Wu, Tao Verfasser aut Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information Wu, Tao Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2012 1 Online-Ressource (42 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 12/19 We study the effects of oil-price shocks on the U.S. economy combining narrative and quantitative approaches. After examining daily oil-related events since 1984, we classify them into various event types. We then develop measures of exogenous shocks that avoid endogeneity and predictability concerns. Estimation results indicate that oil-price shocks have had substantial and statistically significant effects during the last 25 years. In contrast, traditional VAR approaches imply much weaker and insignificant effects for the same period. This discrepancy stems from the inability of VARs to separate exogenous oil-supply shocks from endogenous oil-price fluctuations driven by changes in oil demand Online-Ausg Cavallo, Michele Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/12571-9781463931810/12571-9781463931810/12571-9781463931810.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Wu, Tao Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information |
title | Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information |
title_auth | Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information |
title_exact_search | Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information |
title_exact_search_txtP | Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information |
title_full | Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information Wu, Tao |
title_fullStr | Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information Wu, Tao |
title_full_unstemmed | Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information Wu, Tao |
title_short | Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information |
title_sort | measuring oil price shocks using market based information |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/12571-9781463931810/12571-9781463931810/12571-9781463931810.xml |
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