Exchange-Rate Dark Matter:
Dark matter accounts for 83 percent of the matter in the universe and plays a central role in cosmology modeling. This paper argues that an analogous form of dark matter plays a similarly important role in international macroeconomics. Exchange-rate dark matter is invisible, but its existence can be...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2012
|
| Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 12/66 |
| Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 URL des Erstveröffentlichers |
| Zusammenfassung: | Dark matter accounts for 83 percent of the matter in the universe and plays a central role in cosmology modeling. This paper argues that an analogous form of dark matter plays a similarly important role in international macroeconomics. Exchange-rate dark matter is invisible, but its existence can be inferred from observations on real exchange rates and interest rates. I first show that dark matter is the dominant driver of short- and medium-term changes in real exchange rates for the G-7 countries; accounting for more than 90 percent of the variance at the five-year horizon. I then develop a model in which risk shocks account for dark matter''s role as a driver of exchange-rate dynamics and other macro variables |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (63 p) |
| ISBN: | 1463938438 9781463938437 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:18Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:25Z |
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| spelling | Evans, Martin D. D. Verfasser aut Exchange-Rate Dark Matter Evans, Martin D. D Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2012 1 Online-Ressource (63 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 12/66 Dark matter accounts for 83 percent of the matter in the universe and plays a central role in cosmology modeling. This paper argues that an analogous form of dark matter plays a similarly important role in international macroeconomics. Exchange-rate dark matter is invisible, but its existence can be inferred from observations on real exchange rates and interest rates. I first show that dark matter is the dominant driver of short- and medium-term changes in real exchange rates for the G-7 countries; accounting for more than 90 percent of the variance at the five-year horizon. I then develop a model in which risk shocks account for dark matter''s role as a driver of exchange-rate dynamics and other macro variables Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/12667-9781463938437/12667-9781463938437/12667-9781463938437.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Evans, Martin D. D. Exchange-Rate Dark Matter |
| title | Exchange-Rate Dark Matter |
| title_auth | Exchange-Rate Dark Matter |
| title_exact_search | Exchange-Rate Dark Matter |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Exchange-Rate Dark Matter |
| title_full | Exchange-Rate Dark Matter Evans, Martin D. D |
| title_fullStr | Exchange-Rate Dark Matter Evans, Martin D. D |
| title_full_unstemmed | Exchange-Rate Dark Matter Evans, Martin D. D |
| title_short | Exchange-Rate Dark Matter |
| title_sort | exchange rate dark matter |
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